Frightening-Semantics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

658

Trades

1,272

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 11-03 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

99% 80% -$97

Politics

0% 92% +$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 75% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	21	$597	349	349	+0	Yes	-$84	10-10 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 10?	4	$519	260	260	+0	No	+$0	10-10 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 7?	1	$510	510	0	+510	No	+$1	07-07 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 14?	1	$505	506	0	+506	Yes	+$1	07-14 21:13
atp feldbau kecmano 2026 07 13 set totals 2pt5	1	$504	504	0	+504	Over 2.5	+$1	07-13 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 18?	1	$501	502	0	+502	No	+$1	07-18 15:59
atp choinsk gaston 2026 07 12 set totals 2pt5	1	$496	501	0	+501	Over 2.5	+$5	07-12 13:59
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 8pt5	1	$460	461	0	+461	Under	+$1	07-08 11:05
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	1	$440	441	0	+441	Under	+$1	07-12 02:52
will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	1	$406	406	0	+406	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 3?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	07-03 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 13?	4	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	10-13 01:07
wta kotliar ristic 2026 07 29 set handicap away 1pt5	1	$396	400	0	+400	Kotliar	+$4	07-30 10:44
atp kym tsitsip 2026 07 15 match total 22pt5	2	$377	378	0	+378	Over	+$0	07-16 12:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?	5	$358	450	0	+450	No	+$92	07-05 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 7?	1	$355	356	0	+356	No	+$0	07-06 13:08
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 7pt5	8	$351	352	0	+352	Under	+$1	07-19 20:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 18?	6	$348	175	175	+0	No	+$2	10-18 04:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 11?	3	$298	299	0	+299	No	+$1	07-11 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	1	$270	273	0	+273	No	+$3	09-22 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18?	1	$252	254	0	+254	No	+$1	09-18 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?	1	$250	250	0	+250	Yes	+$0	07-17 15:47
wta selekhm ito 2026 08 01 set handicap home 1pt5	1	$245	250	0	+250	Ito	+$5	08-01 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 19?	14	$243	122	122	+0	No	+$1	10-19 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 2?	2	$212	215	0	+215	No	+$3	07-02 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 26?	1	$201	203	0	+203	No	+$2	07-26 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-19 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 30?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	06-30 10:34
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 btts first half	1	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	06-24 02:44
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	1	$197	200	0	+200	Yes	+$3	06-25 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x353d67…
11-03 16:00:54	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5f35be…
11-03 15:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3d72f5…
11-03 15:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3dbc28…
11-03 15:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8b61d6…
11-03 15:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e7525…
11-03 15:06:03	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa9e6c6…
11-03 13:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x5ade5f…
11-03 12:22:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3?	No	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x567fc5…
11-03 10:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 3?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9c983c…
11-03 10:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on November 3?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xde533c…
11-03 10:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 3?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x323707…
11-03 10:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 3?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5c3fc1…
11-03 10:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xcfec3d…
11-03 10:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0c8630…
11-03 09:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x12ad5c…
11-03 08:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9bbac8…
11-03 08:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 3?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2b7f62…
11-03 08:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0368c3…
11-03 07:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xed231e…
11-03 05:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6558fc…
11-03 05:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6e467a…
11-03 02:52:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on November 3?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1210b9…
11-03 02:50:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x36d190…
11-02 23:02:37	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7df3f0…
11-02 22:33:19	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7af3c2…
11-02 22:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe23c1b…
11-02 21:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 2?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x2fd00d…
11-02 21:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb430a5…
11-02 21:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 2?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3ac4e9…
11-02 19:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x63cfa3…
11-02 19:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf536f0…
11-02 19:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc02925…
11-02 18:34:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xec9ba2…
11-02 16:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x329e28…
11-02 16:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 2?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x752207…
11-02 15:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x91d06b…
11-02 15:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2c99bb…
11-02 15:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xae70d4…
11-02 15:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x0cecc9…
11-02 15:04:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x68a490…
11-02 14:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0818c5…
11-02 14:38:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe36b06…
11-02 14:06:31	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on November 2?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1584b8…
11-02 13:58:21	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on November 2?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x610af7…
11-02 12:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x661ead…
11-02 12:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95dfe2…
11-02 12:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on November 2?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb62ecb…
11-02 11:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x040dfe…
11-02 11:13:13	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xabf0e7…
11-02 11:12:49	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 2?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7b2b6d…
11-02 11:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x02ec07…
11-02 11:11:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9bbc3b…
11-02 11:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7cb89e…
11-02 11:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 2?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe93d66…
11-02 11:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 2?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xb273f9…
11-02 11:01:21	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 2?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4685d6…
11-02 10:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xdb0a1f…
11-02 10:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x856727…
11-02 10:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x795947…
11-02 10:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xfc9799…
11-02 10:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x6246a8…
11-02 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x8afed6…
11-02 09:59:15	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac8968…
11-02 09:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x08bd1e…
11-02 08:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb55557…
11-02 08:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x96ac92…
11-02 08:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9a3585…
11-02 06:53:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0aef96…
11-02 06:51:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 2?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0f575a…
11-02 06:03:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9daa7e…
11-02 05:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe00c91…
11-02 05:54:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 2?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6e956f…
11-02 04:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5421aa…
11-02 03:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 2?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb19f38…
11-02 03:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6abddc…
11-02 03:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x13b5e3…
11-02 02:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd63499…
11-02 00:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x09d6c5…
11-01 21:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b6b48…
11-01 20:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1809fe…
11-01 20:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba7d96…
11-01 19:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x51162c…
11-01 19:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x980c8a…
11-01 15:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7d88ad…
11-01 14:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56a223…
11-01 14:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48f198…
11-01 11:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa32117…
11-01 11:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7d7851…
11-01 11:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0fa1bc…
11-01 11:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd52a7d…
11-01 10:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x388f4d…
11-01 08:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb7a1a7…
11-01 08:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xede97e…
11-01 07:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4421df…
11-01 07:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on November 1?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x446902…
11-01 07:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd60ca5…
11-01 06:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x30c46a…
11-01 06:56:07	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x56905d…
11-01 04:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 1?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x49c1d7…