Fortunate-Cardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$573

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

621

Trades

1,616

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-01 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 54% -$446

Other

22% 57% -$128

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$261	167	167	+0	Down	+$22	10-02 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 19:20 UTC	9	$229	202	202	+0	Down	-$5	06-27 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$213	243	243	+0	Up	-$19	10-02 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:30 UTC	2	$210	111	111	+0	Down	+$12	09-25 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 11:55 UTC	10	$194	218	194	+24	Down	+$2	06-20 11:59
rus ore lok 2026 04 18 lok	2	$181	97	96	+0	Yes	+$12	04-18 11:00
bun hof dor 2026 04 18 hof	2	$170	87	87	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:35
bun b04 aug 2026 04 18 aug	3	$164	85	85	+0	Yes	+$6	04-18 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 11:45 UTC	4	$157	96	96	+0	Up	+$15	06-20 11:49
kor bch inc 2026 04 18 draw	2	$145	85	85	+0	Yes	+$25	04-18 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$141	73	73	+0	Down	+$1	10-02 20:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 17:30 UTC	4	$131	174	174	+0	Down	+$31	06-27 17:34
j1100 ver jef 2026 04 18 ver	2	$130	66	66	+0	Yes	+$2	04-18 07:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 18:25 UTC	4	$124	97	97	+0	Up	+$4	06-27 18:29
bl2 bie fcn 2026 04 18 draw	2	$123	71	70	+1	Yes	+$18	04-18 12:58
j1100 cer kyo 2026 04 18 cer	3	$115	59	59	+0	Yes	+$3	04-18 08:52
tur kar eyu 2026 04 18 eyu	2	$114	65	65	+0	Yes	+$15	04-18 13:30
bun pau koe 2026 04 17 draw	2	$114	65	64	+0	Yes	+$14	04-17 20:32
epl new bou 2026 04 18 bou	4	$113	64	64	+0	Yes	+$4	04-18 15:57
sea udi par 2026 04 18 par	2	$111	61	60	+0	Yes	+$10	04-18 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 17:55 UTC	4	$111	266	266	+0	Down	-$1	06-27 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	7	$111	89	89	+0	Up	-$1	10-02 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 19:05 UTC	4	$110	96	96	+0	Down	+$2	06-27 19:10
epl new bou 2026 04 18 draw	2	$109	154	152	+2	No	-$61	04-18 15:42
aus syd per 2026 04 18 draw	2	$109	60	60	+0	Yes	+$9	04-18 11:38
itsb mod fro 2026 04 18 fro	2	$108	57	57	+0	Yes	+$5	04-18 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 11:50 UTC	2	$107	146	146	+0	Down	+$22	06-20 11:51
bun uni wol 2026 04 18 wol	2	$106	56	56	+0	Yes	+$6	04-18 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$104	66	66	+0	Up	+$4	06-27 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$103	71	71	+0	Down	+$3	11-01 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xc701f5…
11-01 20:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x37e98d…
11-01 20:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0xafeda4…
11-01 20:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	123	14¢	$17	0x79b56d…
11-01 20:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	123	36¢	$44	0xe498de…
11-01 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	86¢	$55	0xa96e10…
11-01 19:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0xb5b3a6…
11-01 19:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0xbf651d…
11-01 19:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0xc0837c…
11-01 19:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xc2827e…
11-01 19:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xa649b2…
11-01 19:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	58	64¢	$37	0x883fb3…
11-01 19:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x7b8894…
11-01 19:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xed9539…
11-01 19:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x5d35d7…
11-01 19:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	29	91¢	$27	0x3ba1a6…
11-01 19:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x19550c…
11-01 18:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xa79f8c…
11-01 18:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xa9f5f7…
11-01 18:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33	47¢	$16	0xe7fdaf…
11-01 18:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x322257…
11-01 18:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x1ff297…
11-01 18:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x6bfdf0…
11-01 18:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x778440…
11-01 18:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x41d932…
11-01 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x61c9e0…
11-01 18:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2cd868…
11-01 18:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0xeee0e6…
11-01 18:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4220b4…
11-01 18:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0x80db47…
11-01 18:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbed68f…
11-01 18:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x1c0821…
11-01 18:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x462f25…
11-01 18:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3ce9b1…
11-01 18:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcc9632…
11-01 18:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd9be35…
11-01 18:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x3e771a…
11-01 18:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x432d1a…
11-01 18:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x02b090…
11-01 18:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x51759b…
11-01 18:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x11793b…
11-01 18:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7e6cd6…
11-01 18:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xe14fa6…
11-01 18:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6a4ef3…
11-01 18:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x951884…
11-01 18:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x3d2f6f…
11-01 18:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4c72a7…
11-01 18:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x4cf22c…
11-01 18:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xbe7347…
11-01 17:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xc6cb4a…
11-01 17:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4a8ccc…
11-01 17:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x431329…
11-01 17:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x48f5f1…
11-01 16:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xa7c6cf…
11-01 16:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0x73f1a9…
11-01 16:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	8¢	$9	0x5d4542…
10-19 09:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x44e753…
10-19 09:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xb9347e…
10-19 09:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6cfc9c…
10-19 09:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	39	14¢	$6	0x282626…
10-19 09:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	39	37¢	$15	0x0f059f…
10-19 09:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x8a3520…
10-19 09:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x16567c…
10-19 09:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xc8adee…
10-19 09:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xd82868…
10-19 09:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x3a75f4…
10-19 09:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xbb64ef…
10-19 09:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x7c0059…
10-19 09:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0xa3d7be…
10-19 09:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xcab3dc…
10-19 09:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x2aaa4c…
10-19 09:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5af0e9…
10-19 09:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x268b91…
10-19 09:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x87dbcf…
10-19 09:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xe5fb74…
10-02 21:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x2ad294…
10-02 21:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x05d43d…
10-02 21:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xc727fe…
10-02 21:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xb7ed61…
10-02 21:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x656f86…
10-02 21:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0x453c34…
10-02 21:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0xddcecd…
10-02 21:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x8040aa…
10-02 21:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x2051fd…
10-02 21:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x8e379b…
10-02 21:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0x42416a…
10-02 21:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0xd2f626…
10-02 21:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	41	40¢	$16	0x0bf4a1…
10-02 21:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1d02bc…
10-02 21:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0xc55dc4…
10-02 21:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb64a4f…
10-02 21:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2885fd…
10-02 21:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xf843ee…
10-02 21:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x43eb9e…
10-02 21:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd65bd2…
10-02 21:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5ac347…
10-02 21:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4e9a19…
10-02 21:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	114	3¢	$3	0x410bd4…
10-02 21:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf64730…
10-02 21:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdb72a4…