Narrow-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$280

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

Trades

13,048

lifetime

Volume

$48.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 05-15 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 17% +$280

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 576 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770876000	22	$370	400	400	+0	open	—	02-12 06:15
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	32	$342	332	300	+32	open	—	05-15 03:50
btc updown 15m 1770815700	5	$339	264	263	+1	open	—	02-11 13:31
btc updown 15m 1771137900	2	$293	148	148	+0	open	—	02-15 07:02
eth updown 15m 1775780100	14	$256	239	228	+11	open	—	04-10 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	34	$244	650	200	+450	Down	+$350	05-14 05:05
btc updown 15m 1775780100	8	$219	370	350	+20	open	—	04-10 00:30
btc updown 5m 1772841600	4	$217	220	200	+20	open	—	03-07 00:05
xrp updown 15m 1770865200	5	$212	120	120	+0	open	—	02-12 03:17
btc updown 5m 1771082400	2	$207	313	0	+313	open	—	02-14 15:24
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	8	$206	200	200	+0	Down	+$194	05-13 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$203	199	149	+50	open	—	05-15 07:49
btc updown 5m 1775455500	3	$203	201	101	+100	open	—	04-06 06:10
btc updown 15m 1770883200	9	$192	500	0	+500	open	—	02-12 08:14
btc updown 5m 1773499800	4	$189	166	146	+21	open	—	03-14 14:55
sol updown 15m 1770901200	9	$175	130	130	+0	open	—	02-12 13:16
xrp updown 5m 1775190300	10	$174	230	203	+27	open	—	04-03 04:30
xrp updown 5m 1775371200	8	$173	170	160	+10	open	—	04-05 06:45
btc updown 5m 1774676400	3	$164	150	150	+0	open	—	03-28 05:45
btc updown 5m 1774593000	4	$145	127	127	+0	open	—	03-27 06:35
eth updown 5m 1775187600	17	$143	150	130	+20	open	—	04-03 03:45
eth updown 15m 1775710800	11	$142	159	127	+32	open	—	04-09 05:15
btc updown 5m 1775300700	8	$138	129	117	+12	open	—	04-04 11:10
btc updown 5m 1775624100	13	$135	130	130	+0	open	—	04-08 05:00
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	26	$129	181	131	+50	Down	+$81	05-13 11:04
sol updown 5m 1773455400	2	$129	127	127	+0	open	—	03-14 02:35
btc updown 5m 1772472900	3	$125	141	90	+51	open	—	03-02 17:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	22	$122	211	142	+69	open	—	05-13 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$121	125	75	+50	Down	+$13	05-13 07:50
xrp updown 5m 1775301600	4	$119	100	110	-10	open	—	04-04 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 08:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	78	12¢	$9	0xbfcd45…
05-15 08:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x2417eb…
05-15 08:24:48	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x31e6de…
05-15 08:24:48	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x1bab1c…
05-15 08:24:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xc777ed…
05-15 08:24:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x6f5183…
05-15 08:24:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x04ed8e…
05-15 08:24:44	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xc4af73…
05-15 08:24:44	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8819f1…
05-15 08:24:44	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0x7984ca…
05-15 08:24:44	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x5f1414…
05-15 08:24:39	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x9dd77f…
05-15 08:24:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xed7221…
05-15 08:24:35	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xc5c9c2…
05-15 08:24:35	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc4cd59…
05-15 08:24:35	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xb10c93…
05-15 08:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe88bc2…
05-15 08:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xd837a7…
05-15 08:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xd73fe9…
05-15 08:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xc996fb…
05-15 08:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xc31760…
05-15 08:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xa6497a…
05-15 08:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x7c7280…
05-15 08:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x5be6d4…
05-15 08:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x5383f4…
05-15 08:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x406b59…
05-15 08:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x2d1f8b…
05-15 08:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x27f119…
05-15 08:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1f486b…
05-15 08:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xd680e3…
05-15 08:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4002d2…
05-15 08:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xf6a4cc…
05-15 08:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa22caa…
05-15 08:24:28	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xc3cb00…
05-15 08:24:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x6eb4f7…
05-15 08:24:28	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x63867b…
05-15 08:24:27	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xf2e9f0…
05-15 08:24:27	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x796c77…
05-15 08:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x680339…
05-15 08:24:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x28d033…
05-15 08:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0xd3eedc…
05-15 08:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc0269d…
05-15 08:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x749e6a…
05-15 08:24:18	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x372db6…
05-15 08:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x15b282…
05-15 08:24:11	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xbb857d…
05-15 08:24:11	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x276b68…
05-15 08:23:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xfee4fe…
05-15 08:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xac6a7a…
05-15 08:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xac4a84…
05-15 08:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x26e247…
05-15 08:22:45	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x9d94db…
05-15 08:22:36	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0xcb8cd9…
05-15 08:22:36	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xbc53ed…
05-15 08:22:36	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x67f3cf…
05-15 08:22:36	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x55e05a…
05-15 08:22:36	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x1b4990…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf978f5…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc8696f…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc1f6d0…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0xb72ee3…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa2cc5a…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9ea8d3…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7cee9a…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x79ccb3…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x458a4c…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x33dccd…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1a8a3e…
05-15 08:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x191b0a…
05-15 08:14:32	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x87e81d…
05-15 08:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x0f6eef…
05-15 08:14:12	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x22fd30…
05-15 08:14:11	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfe2b40…
05-15 07:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x34e379…
05-15 07:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x12c44e…
05-15 07:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xf743ed…
05-15 07:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xb65d66…
05-15 07:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x76e330…
05-15 07:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x5fc313…
05-15 07:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4c01d2…
05-15 07:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x99a412…
05-15 07:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xd5deb6…
05-15 07:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xcb8a0f…
05-15 07:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x888ebb…
05-15 07:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	170	7¢	$12	0x193fcb…
05-15 07:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x18a0ed…
05-15 07:59:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x058076…
05-15 07:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xe37426…
05-15 07:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb81c15…
05-15 07:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x066320…
05-15 07:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x043720…
05-15 07:59:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0xec4753…
05-15 07:59:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x94cd4c…
05-15 07:59:18	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x1a314b…
05-15 07:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0xfd2527…
05-15 07:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xeac10a…
05-15 07:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xdc8ee0…
05-15 07:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa8dc54…
05-15 07:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x5425b1…
05-15 07:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x18aa1f…