Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

147

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$359

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 37% +$23

Other

14% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-28	-$27	96¢	$-27	+$0	09-30 06:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	-14	-$14	100¢	$-14	$0	09-30 06:12
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-28	-$1	4¢	$-1	$0	09-30 06:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	-14	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	09-30 06:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$28	0	56	-56	open	—	09-30 06:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	2	$14	0	28	-28	open	—	09-30 06:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$10	0	20	-20	No	$0	08-31 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-13 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x097b8c…
10-23 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfb05bd…
10-23 01:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb5df16…
10-23 01:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x512f23…
10-22 22:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x62a6d2…
10-22 22:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7f5ab3…
10-22 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6fe4c3…
10-22 18:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe3e3fb…
10-22 14:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x91d4c7…
10-22 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa89105…
10-22 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6f3b79…
10-22 08:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9a9cac…
10-22 07:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfee12e…
10-22 05:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6c5941…
10-22 05:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x788d9f…
10-22 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe223b7…
10-22 03:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc51d6b…
10-22 03:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7d9081…
10-22 02:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5e3409…
10-22 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0b8436…
10-22 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x771652…
10-21 23:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeb3e2d…
10-21 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x459289…
10-21 14:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x972e6f…
10-21 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9211a0…
10-21 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x82f6c2…
10-21 08:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2369d3…
10-21 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc902bc…
10-21 06:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x44fea1…
10-21 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x930f6d…
10-21 00:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1db4cd…
10-21 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7cd055…
10-20 21:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc4e407…
10-20 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x62d07f…
10-20 20:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5184dd…
10-20 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf2a619…
10-20 07:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0cc8b1…
10-20 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a1e5e…
10-20 04:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdd4229…
10-20 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4e4ce8…
10-19 23:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf7dd47…
10-19 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f4b6a…
10-19 22:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x882f71…
10-19 20:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc0614b…
10-19 14:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4eed33…
10-19 14:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4c6984…
10-19 13:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x151b25…
10-19 13:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd02822…
10-19 12:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0c3c5b…
10-19 10:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x81a53b…
10-19 08:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa300ea…
10-19 04:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8b714d…
10-18 18:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfe9334…
10-18 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2cd2ad…
10-18 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x61b3f1…
10-18 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x79ef05…
10-18 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xff3cfb…
10-18 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x39499a…
10-18 08:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x72f7de…
10-18 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x68df46…
10-18 04:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd581c7…
10-18 03:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9c3264…
10-18 03:08:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe3ddcb…
10-18 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0638b9…
10-18 02:04:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4421de…
10-18 01:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x54f7d8…
10-17 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5b1483…
10-17 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfb1af7…
10-17 21:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd03796…
10-17 18:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0b5d8e…
10-17 17:20:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x37825b…
10-17 14:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe7907d…
10-17 13:14:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xba947a…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe6f1a4…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf6f791…
10-17 12:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8fc6ac…
10-17 11:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x49eb6d…
10-17 11:03:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf08461…
10-17 04:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf1c189…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc55c0b…
10-17 01:12:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6f5798…
10-16 20:55:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf4f460…
10-16 20:24:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbcc4f1…
10-16 20:14:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb04615…
10-16 20:12:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x536262…
10-16 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x805b3d…
10-16 12:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6b7042…
10-16 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x76692c…
10-16 04:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1db127…
10-16 00:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x91bb91…
10-16 00:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd6bd37…
10-15 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x820d31…
10-15 18:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd32a65…
10-15 16:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x782632…
10-15 12:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9c9fe3…
10-15 11:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf23bbe…
10-15 10:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x65e830…
10-15 10:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa9be82…
10-15 05:25:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8855a8…
10-15 02:27:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6abb44…