Expensive-Dynamite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.9%

Resolved

Trades

613

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-09 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 45% $-3

Other

8% 33% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 335 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $133?	3	$15	28	1	+27	Yes	$-1	05-07 14:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	7	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-18 14:09
Ethereum above 2,350 on May 3, 7AM ET?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 10:04
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-18 13:59
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-18 13:59
Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 3, 8PM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 22:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$4	38	0	+38	open	—	05-31 20:34
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$4	29	0	+29	open	—	05-31 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-21 23:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$4	13	0	+13	open	—	05-21 23:45
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-31 21:29
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-26 22:45
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-19 02:50
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-19 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	05-19 20:59
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-19 04:00
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-18 23:59
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 4 above $400?	2	$4	14	14	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 14:47
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 21:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-07 12:54
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-21 17:39
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-21 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-31 20:34
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-21 17:44
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-21 23:20
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-21 23:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:44:43	eth updown 15m 1781047800	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x28096d…
06-09 23:29:43	xrp updown 15m 1781046900	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0be271…
06-09 23:14:46	btc updown 15m 1781046000	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x276eb8…
06-09 23:14:45	eth updown 15m 1781046000	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x72edb6…
06-09 23:14:45	xrp updown 15m 1781046000	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x14e654…
06-09 22:29:43	btc updown 15m 1781043300	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x935d79…
06-09 21:59:57	xrp updown 15m 1781041500	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xef9c65…
06-09 21:59:43	eth updown 15m 1781041500	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe129b5…
06-09 21:44:46	bnb updown 15m 1781040600	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xee5da3…
06-09 20:59:49	sol updown 15m 1781037900	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcf6134…
06-09 20:59:43	btc updown 15m 1781037900	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xef29bf…
06-09 20:59:43	xrp updown 15m 1781037900	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x645a5a…
06-09 19:59:45	xrp updown 15m 1781034300	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4aad95…
06-09 19:44:52	btc updown 15m 1781033400	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1a6157…
06-09 19:44:49	sol updown 15m 1781033400	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6b2a79…
06-09 19:44:45	doge updown 15m 1781033400	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x92fc2e…
06-09 19:44:45	eth updown 15m 1781033400	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3486fa…
06-09 19:14:57	btc updown 15m 1781031600	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x049518…
06-09 19:14:48	xrp updown 15m 1781031600	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd02062…
06-09 18:44:42	eth updown 15m 1781029800	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9dbeb7…
06-09 18:24:57	hype updown 5m 1781029200	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x26b2de…
06-09 17:59:51	eth updown 15m 1781027100	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xda9be8…
06-09 17:59:45	eth updown 5m 1781027700	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1afe94…
06-09 17:59:43	doge updown 5m 1781027700	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcd3436…
06-09 17:49:52	hype updown 5m 1781027100	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb91680…
06-09 17:44:54	sol updown 15m 1781026200	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7593d4…
06-09 17:44:51	eth updown 15m 1781026200	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9c39ee…
06-09 17:44:42	btc updown 15m 1781026200	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa6b543…
06-09 17:39:49	sol updown 5m 1781026500	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd0a768…
06-09 17:39:46	eth updown 5m 1781026500	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x047a91…
06-01 06:14:50	hype updown 15m 1780293600	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x329593…
06-01 03:29:47	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x23f161…
06-01 02:59:49	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7f953f…
06-01 02:59:49	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x798dc3…
06-01 02:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf75a00…
06-01 02:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x04bb36…
06-01 02:44:53	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6b09fe…
06-01 02:29:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2acf7a…
06-01 02:29:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x214e40…
06-01 02:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3492b0…
06-01 01:59:43	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x910cfe…
06-01 01:29:54	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7218e1…
06-01 01:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x67704d…
06-01 00:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x292373…
06-01 00:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x57e3ec…
06-01 00:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x20dcfc…
06-01 00:44:45	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf11000…
06-01 00:14:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x46a9e8…
05-31 23:14:53	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcab5b8…
05-31 22:59:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4ec729…
05-31 22:59:49	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf56caa…
05-31 22:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbef8ed…
05-31 22:34:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5ffec5…
05-31 22:29:55	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4af811…
05-31 22:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xca5dfc…
05-31 22:29:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb1fd56…
05-31 22:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8b452d…
05-31 22:29:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0b0e14…
05-31 22:14:57	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xeee379…
05-31 21:44:55	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8be942…
05-31 21:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x826337…
05-31 21:44:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x685a2b…
05-31 21:39:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x640d25…
05-31 21:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0bd8d6…
05-31 21:39:45	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe4f5bb…
05-31 21:29:59	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc0869c…
05-31 21:29:59	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x772d59…
05-31 21:29:57	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9b1c9a…
05-31 21:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x88e550…
05-31 21:29:46	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3a98d6…
05-31 20:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf9bc61…
05-31 20:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xe13419…
05-31 20:34:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdeae9d…
05-31 20:34:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x857f85…
05-31 20:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x08ece4…
05-31 20:09:46	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x676f69…
05-31 20:09:43	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x36a938…
05-26 22:45:02	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0c7979…
05-26 22:45:00	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf5f250…
05-26 22:44:58	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaa73ba…
05-26 22:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd4f95a…
05-26 22:44:43	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaa02dd…
05-26 22:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7d5198…
05-26 22:34:55	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe3ed78…
05-26 22:34:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa31934…
05-26 22:34:42	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfcf33c…
05-26 22:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe98a9b…
05-26 22:30:01	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x32f29f…
05-26 22:29:43	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfdcc2a…
05-26 22:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xe1f336…
05-26 22:29:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x089255…
05-26 22:24:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdfcfed…
05-26 22:24:49	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9e4fa1…
05-26 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xaa837d…
05-26 22:24:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xeaff1f…
05-26 22:19:46	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdd758f…
05-26 22:19:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa951c3…
05-26 22:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc58e99…
05-22 00:25:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9f8e41…
05-22 00:20:03	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5f860d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	463	$53.2K	4,944	06-09 23:44
Essential-Surplus 0xa5b1…c6dc	457	$11.2K	1,555	05-26 22:45
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	452	$18.0K	3,645	06-09 23:44
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	427	$10.1K	2,274	06-09 23:43
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	420	$17.7K	3,344	06-09 23:44
(anonymous) 0x0443…ea0f	417	$3.00K	435	06-09 23:44
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	414	$121.2K	9,132	06-01 03:27
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	413	$958	4,069	06-09 23:44