Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

187

Trades

1,663

lifetime

Volume

$161.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$377

1 position

First seen

2026-06-15

last 10-27 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 60% -$1,702

Other

35% 43% -$2,967

Politics

1% 100% +$65

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes		+570	$391	66¢	$377	-$14	10-27 05:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	7	$5.8K	3,061	3,061	+0	No	+$161	09-22 07:09
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	6	$5.5K	2,802	2,802	-0	Yes	+$102	09-21 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	10	$5.3K	3,769	3,769	+0	Down	-$935	09-20 17:29
will bitcoin dip to 85k in september 2026	2	$5.2K	2,770	2,770	+0	Yes	-$3	09-22 08:32
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	8	$5.1K	2,934	2,934	+0	No	+$810	09-01 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$4.4K	2,895	2,895	+0	Down	+$197	09-20 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$4.1K	2,486	2,486	+0	Down	+$134	09-20 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$4.0K	2,260	2,260	+0	Up	+$16	09-20 17:38
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	8	$3.3K	2,031	2,031	-0	No	-$340	10-09 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	55	$3.3K	1,558	2,558	-1,000	Up	+$191	10-09 11:08
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	20	$3.2K	2,623	2,623	+0	Yes	-$93	09-01 08:15
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	17	$2.9K	2,735	2,735	+0	No	-$34	09-20 15:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	11	$2.8K	2,093	2,093	+0	Yes	+$179	09-22 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	5	$2.6K	2,450	758	+1,692	Up	+$279	09-22 08:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	4	$2.6K	1,715	1,200	+515	Down	+$86	10-09 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$2.6K	1,475	1,475	+0	Up	+$352	09-20 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	15	$2.5K	1,033	2,033	-1,000	Up	+$7	09-20 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$2.4K	1,113	2,113	-1,000	Down	-$79	10-09 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:30 UTC	7	$2.3K	4,418	4,418	+0	Down	-$741	09-22 07:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	2,500	2,000	+500	No	-$715	09-15 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:25 UTC	3	$2.2K	1,272	1,272	+0	Down	+$160	09-22 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$2.1K	1,133	1,133	+0	Down	+$113	09-20 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:20 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,255	1,255	+0	Down	+$69	09-22 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$2.1K	1,142	1,142	+0	Up	+$66	09-20 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$2.0K	1,040	1,040	+0	Down	-$2	09-20 17:52
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$2.0K	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	10-09 11:05
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	2	$1.9K	2,070	0	+2,070	No	+$207	09-30 03:32
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?	2	$1.9K	2,077	0	+2,077	No	+$222	09-02 08:25
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	3	$1.8K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	09-22 10:46
will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	4	$1.8K	3,060	3,060	+0	No	-$1,433	09-28 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:37:24	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x2fcb80…
10-26 22:18:51	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	500	78¢	$390	0x7991c2…
10-26 22:18:41	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	No	SELL	531	0¢	$2	0xb09a4b…
10-26 09:13:24	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x2542ed…
10-26 09:13:23	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xe0f6e7…
10-23 08:08:24	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x349ed4…
10-23 07:10:59	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	No	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x247bcf…
10-23 07:10:47	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	No	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x307dda…
10-23 06:44:24	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0xb8e326…
10-20 08:36:07	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	362	74¢	$269	0x36f34e…
10-20 08:33:53	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x067c54…
10-20 04:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	227	11¢	$25	0x69fc1b…
10-20 04:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xc9a017…
10-20 03:23:27	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	87¢	$112	0x25d221…
10-16 11:17:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	219	95¢	$208	0x8bc711…
10-15 08:53:50	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	219	84¢	$184	0x02c106…
10-15 08:35:44	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	84¢	$254	0x3cd354…
10-15 08:35:31	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x60dc56…
10-15 08:35:22	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x2344e4…
10-14 09:37:17	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa92147…
10-14 09:36:22	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x39298e…
10-13 03:42:12	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0x81dde7…
10-13 03:33:18	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	35¢	$19	0xe6bca2…
10-09 16:44:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xe32959…
10-09 16:44:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1,200	89¢	$1,070	0xa7d60f…
10-09 16:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	594	84¢	$500	0xbd6c4b…
10-09 16:44:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	606	83¢	$500	0x02089a…
10-09 16:43:35	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	198	40¢	$80	0x362ec1…
10-09 11:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1,113	98¢	$1,091	0x6e9f1a…
10-09 11:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x1f2177…
10-09 11:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x4ae895…
10-09 11:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xb6ed91…
10-09 11:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	500	60¢	$300	0x84265c…
10-09 11:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	649	99¢	$643	0xf66088…
10-09 11:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x74969c…
10-09 11:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xf6a99d…
10-09 11:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x9ef6b2…
10-09 11:08:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	255	95¢	$242	0x8684a3…
10-09 11:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	255	78¢	$200	0x9ed50d…
10-09 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	654	85¢	$556	0x038cb3…
10-09 11:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	654	76¢	$500	0x42861f…
10-09 11:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xc061b7…
10-09 11:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x9fa945…
10-09 11:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0x63f4a7…
10-09 11:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x6491c2…
10-09 11:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x00e40c…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xfeb044…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xcdfe65…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xbeaec2…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xa6156d…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x7d50f0…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0x5e8810…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x3e8810…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x28d97b…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x1a0cdf…
10-09 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	32	55¢	$18	0x190f3d…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0xd47da3…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xc3ddfb…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xa5dd7c…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	61	55¢	$34	0x90ab3e…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0x85e7fe…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x792f44…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x6d8309…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x6c0b24…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x6167e1…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x50a15f…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x3489ef…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x312c5a…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x2d8d54…
10-09 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x1a9a9b…
10-09 11:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xf1ae48…
10-09 11:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x52390f…
10-09 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb694e9…
10-09 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xad25a0…
10-09 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x331f0f…
10-09 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x180a63…
10-09 11:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x137a23…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xeaedcd…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xaea816…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa34dd7…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa23c50…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x884f0e…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x735f0a…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x6335e1…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x5144c4…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x2bd8c5…
10-09 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x1f4549…
10-09 11:05:07	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,102	96¢	$1,056	0x3a4255…
10-09 11:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	500	55¢	$275	0xcc0e9b…
10-09 11:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	659	98¢	$645	0x46d67c…
10-09 11:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x051cca…
10-09 11:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xa1c588…
10-09 11:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	246	81¢	$200	0xe5bdea…
10-09 11:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	640	33¢	$211	0x94fa72…
10-09 11:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xbc1e86…
10-09 11:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x8b6cad…
10-09 11:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xc96368…
10-09 09:00:54	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x761da6…
10-09 08:46:04	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x6bd636…
10-09 08:13:43	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2,031	73¢	$1,479	0x1a4886…