Past-Neighbour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$510

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-26 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

82% 36% -$1

Sports

16% 100% +$20

Crypto

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No		+10	$9	93¢	$9	+$1	09-15 03:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	2	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	09-16 00:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$85	112	0	+112	Yes	+$27	07-24 10:31
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$81	101	0	+101	Yes	+$20	05-07 07:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$38	40	0	+40	Yes	+$2	10-26 03:40
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	01-20 07:39
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$12	40	0	+40	No	-$12	01-14 04:01
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	06-15 08:43
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	-$10	06-15 08:31
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	06-23 09:18
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	-$10	06-15 08:32
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	09-15 03:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	01-06 08:30
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	09-15 03:37
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	01-06 08:34
Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	09-15 03:38
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	3	$6	29	0	+29	No	-$6	07-30 04:35
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	07-08 07:47
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	07-08 07:47
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	1	$5	19	0	+19	Yes	+$14	07-08 07:47
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	06-15 08:42
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	06-15 08:44
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?	3	$4	60	0	+60	No	-$4	08-12 12:10
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	06-24 06:54
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	1	$2	15	0	+15	No	-$2	06-16 05:54
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	06-16 05:53
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	06-23 09:20
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	1	$1	8	0	+8	Yes	+$7	06-23 09:18
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	+$4	03-11 17:46
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	06-16 05:55
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	06-16 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:40:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xe62438…
09-16 00:38:46	Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x54425b…
09-15 03:38:03	Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x02ba0e…
09-15 03:37:42	Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x17c726…
09-15 03:37:19	Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2f081c…
09-15 03:36:27	Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x7bef88…
08-12 12:10:01	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x687117…
08-12 12:10:01	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x356a71…
08-12 07:24:57	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x923ea3…
07-30 04:35:20	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x771fb1…
07-27 03:33:46	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x7e5ad6…
07-27 03:33:36	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x9a5ae5…
07-24 10:31:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x678e30…
07-24 10:30:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0xe4991f…
07-08 07:47:56	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc35b1f…
07-08 07:47:34	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf5bb25…
07-08 07:47:13	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x25b91a…
06-24 06:55:53	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x102432…
06-24 06:54:28	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd2c33b…
06-23 09:20:16	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5e98f8…
06-23 09:19:32	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd23fc8…
06-23 09:18:55	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc7d2fd…
06-23 09:18:19	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8aafb7…
06-23 09:17:55	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x507739…
06-16 05:55:49	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb586a5…
06-16 05:55:34	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2e9bf8…
06-16 05:55:13	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc29ab9…
06-16 05:54:33	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x3d4049…
06-16 05:53:21	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x37ce96…
06-15 08:44:51	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7082c2…
06-15 08:43:25	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd90615…
06-15 08:42:52	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x417891…
06-15 08:32:16	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x06d09d…
06-15 08:31:33	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xca2e88…
05-07 07:08:24	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	101	80¢	$81	0x33591f…
03-11 17:46:23	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9b2c40…
01-20 07:39:30	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x445e1b…
01-20 07:39:16	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xcbe477…
01-14 04:01:20	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x052d61…
01-06 08:34:55	will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe93910…
01-06 08:30:43	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x72d9fd…