Dull-Guideline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

1,715

Trades

2,548

lifetime

Volume

$7.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-25 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 70% -$107

Politics

2% 43% +$8

Other

2% 40% -$12

Tech

0% 50% +$18

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-57	-$18	8¢	$-4	+$13	05-08 10:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	13	$80	100	100	+0	Down	+$40	05-02 09:44
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	8	$62	112	108	+5	No	+$22	05-01 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$46	50	50	+0	Down	+$26	05-02 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	11	$35	50	50	+0	Down	+$15	05-02 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	7	$32	30	30	+0	Down	+$8	05-07 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$28	20	40	-20	Down	+$0	05-04 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$28	40	20	+20	Up	+$12	05-03 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	8	$27	40	40	+0	Up	+$11	05-05 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$27	40	40	+0	Up	+$11	05-05 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-07 07:49
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$23	0	25	-25	No	-$1	04-30 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	6	$22	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	05-02 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	8	$22	40	40	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$14	05-03 11:04
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$21	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 18:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	04-27 03:04
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	2	$20	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 03:03
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-27 03:03
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-27 03:04
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	04-27 03:08
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-27 03:08
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-27 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$19	20	20	+0	Up	+$11	05-03 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$18	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 05:04
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$18	0	60	-60	Yes	+$18	05-08 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$18	12	12	+0	Down	-$2	05-09 16:55
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$18	0	57	-57	open	—	05-08 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$18	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-04 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	6	$17	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-04 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	6	$17	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-04 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 15:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x75114e…
06-25 15:39:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf65dc9…
06-12 22:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x6928bb…
06-12 22:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3c1978…
06-12 22:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x78ef4e…
06-12 22:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd8449b…
06-12 20:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x18ce13…
06-12 20:34:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5d0c50…
06-12 18:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x00a602…
06-12 16:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x63d000…
06-12 16:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb21ac1…
06-12 16:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x65d9d9…
06-12 16:24:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0ca7ec…
06-12 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x43c71f…
06-12 15:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xb9e0c6…
06-12 14:34:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xcb8a27…
06-12 14:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xfaf369…
06-12 13:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xecedee…
06-12 13:19:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x87ca95…
06-12 13:19:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa9b5e2…
06-12 13:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x9442ab…
06-12 13:14:57	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x55d6a9…
06-12 13:14:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2d1fc2…
06-12 13:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xe92dca…
06-12 13:14:25	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc591f2…
06-12 13:14:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3d22bd…
06-12 12:59:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9221e9…
06-12 12:44:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xb1c762…
06-12 12:44:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa54d56…
06-12 12:44:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x3bea59…
06-12 12:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xfe9230…
06-12 12:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xda26d7…
06-12 12:04:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x8e7885…
06-12 12:04:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7790d9…
06-12 11:54:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x666192…
06-12 11:54:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa6f4cc…
06-12 11:49:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x27ca50…
06-12 11:05:00	XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x6b94a5…
06-12 11:04:40	XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x4dbf99…
06-12 10:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xaefbf2…
06-12 10:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5dbc49…
06-12 10:54:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x5a6863…
06-12 10:39:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa7c3e4…
06-12 10:19:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xfc3b3f…
06-12 09:59:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xf3bcb7…
06-12 09:59:25	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x78413c…
06-12 09:39:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x171b4e…
06-12 09:24:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xdec195…
06-12 08:39:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6a2b62…
06-12 08:34:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x6b286a…
06-12 08:29:58	XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xcee7dd…
06-12 08:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x698f4a…
06-12 08:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x671dfc…
06-12 08:29:24	XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf71434…
06-12 08:25:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x83417d…
06-12 08:24:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xba8c20…
06-12 08:24:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xd2ab81…
06-12 08:14:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb85519…
06-12 07:49:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3fd51c…
06-12 07:49:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x708ed8…
06-12 07:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xab5449…
06-12 07:44:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x151d12…
06-12 07:34:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xd31320…
06-12 07:34:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xbe7f37…
06-12 07:34:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x381606…
06-12 07:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdaf2b2…
06-12 07:34:31	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x82d6ba…
06-12 07:34:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1fb886…
06-12 07:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5413cf…
06-12 07:09:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x2d60e4…
06-12 06:59:34	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x997885…
06-12 06:54:52	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x02064d…
06-12 06:54:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7d7b56…
06-12 06:54:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf454c9…
06-12 06:54:28	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc2e105…
06-12 06:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8bd74a…
06-12 06:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc6acde…
06-12 06:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1e556e…
06-12 05:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb62634…
06-12 05:54:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdc69ca…
06-12 05:49:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x6feff2…
06-12 05:49:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2f3d04…
06-12 05:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xaa0dd2…
06-12 05:34:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x1d6ce9…
06-12 05:34:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1128a3…
06-12 05:29:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xff3b30…
06-12 05:29:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x35c9d4…
06-12 05:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x168012…
06-12 04:59:25	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x40be8b…
06-12 04:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x220492…
06-12 04:29:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe5389d…
06-12 04:14:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x9e9c57…
06-12 04:09:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa0bfb4…
06-12 04:04:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x7b9fbf…
06-12 03:54:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xf28a5e…
06-12 03:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xaf6ec1…
06-12 03:49:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x6e38e7…
06-12 03:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x5c6a6c…
06-12 03:44:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xf2ac20…
06-12 03:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa00465…