Realized P&L
-$199.1K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
174
Trades
5,352
lifetime
Volume
$2.77M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$517
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-28 08:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
52%
76%
-$125,434
Other
45%
74%
-$74,706
Tech
3%
100%
+$703
Sports
0%
87%
+$350
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 348 | $304.3K | 242,046 | 242,046 | +0 | Yes | -$77,656 | 02-28 07:13 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 803 | $272.0K | 191,879 | 177,931 | +13,949 | Yes | +$81,424 | 02-28 09:02 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 296 | $189.5K | 212,792 | 213,428 | -636 | Yes | -$81,532 | 02-28 07:30 |
| fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance | 586 | $139.1K | 104,219 | 104,218 | +1 | Argentina | -$14,494 | 07-04 00:20 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 200 | $125.4K | 65,737 | 65,435 | +302 | No | +$3,267 | 03-15 15:23 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 209 | $96.8K | 156,293 | 164,373 | -8,080 | Yes | -$50,006 | 02-28 07:34 |
| fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance | 33 | $85.3K | 66,668 | 43,415 | +23,253 | Morocco | +$465 | 07-04 18:46 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | 32 | $85.3K | 61,020 | 61,020 | +0 | Yes | -$11,491 | 07-07 17:37 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 107 | $76.7K | 51,771 | 51,771 | +0 | Yes | -$1,580 | 06-21 21:15 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04? | 222 | $67.8K | 44,660 | 44,660 | +0 | Yes | -$2,754 | 07-04 22:03 |
| fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5 | 53 | $63.4K | 36,190 | 36,190 | +0 | Over | -$2,839 | 07-05 20:52 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 55 | $63.0K | 63,241 | 1,000 | +62,241 | Yes | +$290 | 03-08 21:18 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 18 | $60.0K | 60,194 | 0 | +60,194 | Yes | +$181 | 06-17 10:24 |
| fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance | 16 | $56.0K | 63,598 | 0 | +63,598 | France | +$7,632 | 06-30 20:25 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | 12 | $55.5K | 56,021 | 0 | +56,021 | Yes | +$477 | 06-12 20:04 |
| us forces enter iran by march 7 | 24 | $55.5K | 55,996 | 0 | +55,996 | No | +$517 | 03-07 21:12 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 288 | $54.7K | 29,697 | 51,633 | -21,936 | No | +$17,540 | 01-18 17:00 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 28 | $50.0K | 50,346 | 3,000 | +47,346 | No | +$2,775 | 01-31 17:59 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 43 | $41.8K | 27,791 | 27,791 | +0 | No | +$978 | 03-24 21:18 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14 | 26 | $34.1K | 34,884 | 1,000 | +33,884 | Yes | +$440 | 06-14 23:13 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | 99 | $30.6K | 30,740 | 30,739 | +0 | Yes | -$6,325 | 07-10 20:41 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 13 2026 20260612000830408 | 7 | $29.5K | 29,594 | 0 | +29,594 | No | +$76 | 06-13 23:10 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | 39 | $28.8K | 29,150 | 0 | +29,150 | No | +$357 | 06-13 21:01 |
| fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance | 4 | $26.5K | 22,869 | 22,035 | +833 | Spain | -$310 | 07-14 20:49 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | 2 | $25.5K | 25,530 | 0 | +25,530 | Yes | +$31 | 06-19 20:56 |
| fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance | 9 | $25.4K | 31,323 | 0 | +31,323 | Colombia | +$5,951 | 07-04 00:47 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | 12 | $24.9K | 15,022 | 10,000 | +5,022 | Yes | +$115 | 06-12 19:57 |
| starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935 | 34 | $22.4K | 12,903 | 12,903 | +0 | Yes | -$928 | 06-21 20:33 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 390 | $22.1K | 175,962 | 191,677 | -15,715 | No | -$21,679 | 01-30 13:08 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889 | 7 | $21.8K | 22,996 | 0 | +22,996 | Yes | +$1,178 | 06-14 21:36 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||