Smoggy-Sleuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$398

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

3,217

Trades

6,408

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 08-12 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 66% -$446

Other

7% 48% +$14

Sports

3% 48% +$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 245 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 21:45 UTC	36	$383	386	177	+209	Down	-$44	06-23 21:59
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	28	$262	262	262	+0	L1ga Team	+$12	05-05 20:12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang	30	$255	276	276	+0	Ann Li	-$6	05-05 18:25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martina Trevisan vs Talia Gibson	29	$187	240	171	+69	Talia Gibson	-$34	05-05 18:18
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	20	$178	172	172	+0	L1ga Team	+$33	05-05 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:40 UTC	31	$149	278	0	+278	Down	$0	06-23 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 00:30 UTC	37	$141	228	113	+115	Up	-$81	06-24 00:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 21:30 UTC	31	$129	239	0	+239	Up	-$14	06-23 21:44
Wild vs. Avalanche	14	$128	92	92	+0	Avalanche	+$9	05-06 01:00
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	11	$128	134	132	+2	New York Yankees	+$10	05-05 23:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:50 UTC	24	$115	209	0	+209	Down	-$11	06-23 21:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 20:15 UTC	28	$110	203	0	+203	Up	-$18	06-23 20:27
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	10	$105	119	119	+0	Under	+$1	05-05 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:45 UTC	15	$102	159	0	+159	Up	+$1	06-23 21:49
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	7	$101	80	80	+0	Team Nemesis	+$1	05-05 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 21:15 UTC	23	$98	172	0	+172	Up	-$1	06-23 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:50 UTC	21	$96	185	0	+185	Down	-$15	06-23 23:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 21:30 UTC	11	$95	167	0	+167	Up	-$19	06-23 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:20 UTC	20	$93	164	0	+164	Down	+$4	06-23 20:24
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-05?	15	$93	73	73	+0	Yes	-$1	05-05 23:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 20:00 UTC	18	$91	144	0	+144	Up	-$4	06-23 20:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:15 UTC	9	$90	78	50	+28	Up	+$9	06-23 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 19:40 UTC	26	$85	152	0	+152	Down	+$10	06-23 19:44
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?	8	$84	108	108	+0	Yes	-$1	05-05 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:35 UTC	26	$83	195	0	+195	Up	-$17	06-23 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:50 UTC	19	$81	144	0	+144	Down	+$4	06-23 20:54
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	12	$80	107	107	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$3	05-06 00:07
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	18	$78	81	81	+0	No	-$11	05-05 21:30
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	5	$78	45	45	+0	Yes	-$4	05-06 02:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 20:45 UTC	23	$74	128	0	+128	Down	+$1	06-23 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 11:47:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe97bc4…
08-12 11:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x88d405…
08-12 11:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x549265…
08-12 11:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xc77291…
08-12 11:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x2b278c…
08-12 11:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xfaccdf…
08-12 11:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xa4ce5b…
08-12 11:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x955591…
08-12 11:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x2cc81b…
08-12 11:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xdeceab…
08-12 10:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x1124a4…
08-12 10:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x83f80e…
08-12 10:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x8e7e94…
08-12 10:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x4eaa61…
08-12 10:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x2e4459…
08-12 10:37:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xb0dc3d…
08-12 10:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x82ad18…
08-12 10:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x45a0e5…
08-12 10:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x33b986…
08-12 10:16:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xde8846…
08-12 10:11:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x6d6acb…
08-12 10:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfbd20b…
08-12 10:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x65d2c8…
08-12 09:57:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x4e7ff0…
08-12 09:52:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x07046a…
08-12 09:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7dd266…
08-12 09:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x7eef65…
08-12 09:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x37fb06…
08-12 09:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe163a7…
08-12 09:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x51d757…
08-12 09:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xc47cae…
08-12 09:07:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x0cee68…
08-12 09:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xcb80c5…
08-12 08:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x89ed39…
08-12 08:51:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x3ea758…
08-12 08:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x1b213d…
08-12 08:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x8ab467…
08-12 08:31:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xc18d39…
08-12 08:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xbf4f6e…
08-12 08:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xd6237c…
08-12 08:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xabb036…
08-12 08:11:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x023274…
08-12 08:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xd60694…
08-12 08:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x8f5991…
08-12 07:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc91b09…
08-12 07:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x3c26f1…
08-12 07:47:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$7	0x730760…
08-12 07:44:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x337710…
08-12 07:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xa61dd3…
08-12 07:32:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xf5beca…
08-12 07:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x4dfedc…
08-12 07:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xcc6641…
08-12 07:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x0eca4e…
08-12 07:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x90231f…
08-12 07:07:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xaaa477…
08-12 07:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x05e50d…
08-12 06:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x0fedc0…
08-12 06:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5f4900…
08-12 06:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x6259c9…
08-12 06:42:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xc6f329…
08-12 06:31:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfdfca3…
08-12 06:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xa734fd…
08-12 06:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf3dec7…
08-12 06:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x4ee548…
08-12 06:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xbc2d75…
08-12 06:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xc640d4…
08-12 05:57:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xcdf657…
08-12 05:53:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x0695ac…
08-12 05:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x174938…
08-12 05:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x0ca441…
08-12 05:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x822de8…
08-12 05:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x3eebba…
08-12 05:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x85ae8c…
08-12 05:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x1f9c8d…
08-12 05:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xa85151…
08-12 05:18:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x979124…
08-12 05:10:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd67f5e…
08-12 05:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7784c4…
08-12 05:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xa51a0d…
08-12 04:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xac98ee…
08-12 04:41:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xae9ef3…
08-12 04:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x162ece…
08-12 04:26:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x17b9cb…
08-12 04:21:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xc01e3c…
08-12 04:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xe35b76…
08-12 04:11:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xded971…
08-12 04:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x92b24f…
08-12 03:57:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x620032…
08-12 03:52:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x4e68cb…
08-12 03:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x9503c1…
08-12 03:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x1e86b2…
08-12 03:28:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xfbfc13…
08-12 03:26:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x211b6a…
08-12 03:22:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x33d8d1…
08-12 03:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x26e13e…
08-12 03:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xdebaf2…
08-12 03:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x2b1583…
08-12 02:56:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x4bdeed…
08-12 02:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x47221e…
08-12 02:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x19fc36…