Smoggy-Sleuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

113

Trades

629

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-06 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

48% 57% +$15

Crypto

27% 35% $-28

Sports

24% 52% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 599 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	28	$262	262	262	+0	L1ga Team	+$12	05-05 20:12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang	30	$255	276	276	+0	Ann Li	$-6	05-05 18:25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martina Trevisan vs Talia Gibson	29	$187	240	171	+69	Talia Gibson	$-34	05-05 18:18
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	20	$178	172	172	+0	L1ga Team	+$33	05-05 20:08
Wild vs. Avalanche	14	$128	92	92	+0	Avalanche	+$9	05-06 01:00
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	11	$128	134	132	+2	New York Yankees	+$10	05-05 23:49
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	10	$105	119	119	+0	Under	+$1	05-05 20:35
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	7	$101	80	80	+0	Team Nemesis	+$1	05-05 18:54
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	12	$80	107	107	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$3	05-06 00:07
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	18	$78	81	81	+0	No	$-11	05-05 21:30
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	5	$78	45	45	+0	Yes	$-4	05-06 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$70	74	74	+0	Up	+$43	05-05 19:25
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	9	$69	50	50	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	12	$69	68	68	+0	Up	$-3	05-05 19:43
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	5	$67	56	56	+0	Sean Brady	$-1	05-05 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	10	$59	72	72	+0	Down	$-10	05-05 19:37
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	23	$58	61	61	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	$-3	05-05 23:49
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	11	$58	51	51	+0	Thunder	+$7	05-06 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	14	$56	880	58	+822	Up	$-9	05-05 18:44
Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)	16	$50	44	44	+0	Club Libertad	+$2	05-05 23:42
Francavilla: Andrea Guerrieri vs Chun-Hsin Tseng	17	$46	66	66	+0	Chun-Hsin Tseng	$-6	05-05 20:19
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	6	$45	43	43	+0	Under	$-0	05-05 20:10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	8	$44	39	39	+0	Houston Astros	$-8	05-06 01:09
Francavilla: Justin Engel vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	6	$44	37	37	+0	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	+$5	05-05 18:50
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	8	$43	35	35	+0	Club Atlético de Madrid	+$0	05-05 20:20
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	3	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	05-05 18:18
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5	2	$38	30	30	+0	Over	+$8	05-06 02:14
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	5	$34	28	28	+0	Houston Astros	+$9	05-06 00:58
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	10	$32	33	30	+4	Minnesota Twins	$-1	05-05 23:17
Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Eduardo Ribeiro	8	$32	27	27	+0	Miguel Tobon	$-3	05-05 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 03:04:44	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0x28e85e…
05-06 02:24:28	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	45	82¢	$37	0xd66d77…
05-06 02:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xd94f49…
05-06 02:22:12	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	41	23¢	$10	0x3be4f2…
05-06 02:21:36	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x78ff49…
05-06 02:19:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0xc9135a…
05-06 02:17:16	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x4bb19d…
05-06 02:16:06	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xc383c6…
05-06 02:14:02	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	30	78¢	$24	0x9db547…
05-06 01:35:44	Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x69fbcd…
05-06 01:35:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x622b07…
05-06 01:34:50	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x2517e8…
05-06 01:27:38	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0xb9d98d…
05-06 01:25:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xdc81e9…
05-06 01:24:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xd6d25b…
05-06 01:24:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4e92fb…
05-06 01:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x5bc215…
05-06 01:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x9c311a…
05-06 01:11:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xe51ff1…
05-06 01:10:14	Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)	Barcelona SC	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4827d8…
05-06 01:09:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xc54c45…
05-06 01:09:04	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0xf33059…
05-06 01:06:18	Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Buvaysar Gadamauri	Juan Carlos Prado	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xa792e0…
05-06 01:05:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xa3be07…
05-06 01:00:30	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	77	77¢	$59	0x2479d3…
05-06 00:58:54	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Houston Astros	SELL	28	77¢	$21	0xacf402…
05-06 00:07:40	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	SELL	58	1¢	$1	0xc96c04…
05-06 00:00:16	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x5a28eb…
05-05 23:49:56	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xe78b4c…
05-05 23:49:42	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	24	40¢	$9	0xb385bf…
05-05 23:48:46	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x9fbdc9…
05-05 23:47:54	CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	22	71¢	$15	0x546d25…
05-05 23:46:40	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x23b8b1…
05-05 23:45:22	CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b4730…
05-05 23:44:00	CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x0561d0…
05-05 23:42:56	Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)	Club Libertad	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x35333b…
05-05 23:37:00	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x6c65c8…
05-05 23:33:28	CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xe7a603…
05-05 23:33:22	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x05a500…
05-05 23:32:42	CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa0b33e…
05-05 23:32:38	CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x774ce0…
05-05 23:32:38	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0x6cfea8…
05-05 23:32:38	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	Texas Rangers	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x53d1d1…
05-05 23:32:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0xa30392…
05-05 23:32:32	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x1cb749…
05-05 23:32:22	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	SELL	47	84¢	$39	0x68133b…
05-05 23:24:38	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x138114…
05-05 23:24:38	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x02cf93…
05-05 23:24:36	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x69e5cd…
05-05 23:20:22	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	Texas Rangers	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x19e479…
05-05 23:19:38	CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x036541…
05-05 23:19:34	Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)	Barcelona SC	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x2cf3d4…
05-05 23:19:30	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xf9b7cd…
05-05 23:19:28	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xabe060…
05-05 23:17:22	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Houston Astros	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x8d4f1d…
05-05 23:17:22	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x066bcc…
05-05 23:17:20	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Houston Astros	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xd3864c…
05-05 23:17:18	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x8d776a…
05-05 23:17:18	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Houston Astros	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x107ebc…
05-05 23:17:16	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Houston Astros	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb283a9…
05-05 23:17:14	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x15d1bf…
05-05 23:17:12	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd4aea2…
05-05 23:17:04	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xae6a43…
05-05 23:17:04	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x88fee1…
05-05 23:17:02	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x76fbbe…
05-05 23:15:10	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xff01ad…
05-05 23:15:08	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xeeb23b…
05-05 23:15:08	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xe81555…
05-05 23:15:06	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x567c11…
05-05 23:15:00	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	Texas Rangers	SELL	109	55¢	$60	0x0b56d6…
05-05 23:14:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4fa0a7…
05-05 23:13:42	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd82c59…
05-05 23:12:58	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x05d1f0…
05-05 23:12:14	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xba8650…
05-05 23:11:56	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xbfe9ff…
05-05 23:08:44	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xcd5c97…
05-05 23:08:42	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xeff5f1…
05-05 23:08:04	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xc19dd9…
05-05 23:08:02	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x9a5b63…
05-05 23:05:54	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfed1c4…
05-05 23:05:54	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xfeb15e…
05-05 23:05:52	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x08ca6d…
05-05 23:04:30	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x0e7da8…
05-05 23:04:06	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xbe1eff…
05-05 23:02:22	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd85abb…
05-05 23:02:20	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb6acfa…
05-05 23:02:18	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x7ff10e…
05-05 23:02:16	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x3fdf87…
05-05 23:02:16	Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Buvaysar Gadamauri	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3e7216…
05-05 23:02:14	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x664e9f…
05-05 23:01:52	CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xffaf3a…
05-05 23:01:50	CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x483578…
05-05 23:01:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x0b5ebb…
05-05 23:01:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x2a4e50…
05-05 23:01:02	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x645668…
05-05 23:00:00	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x53acb1…
05-05 22:59:14	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa3ec18…
05-05 22:59:06	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x004229…
05-05 22:58:32	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x960e62…
05-05 22:57:50	CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6a2224…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	55	$32.8K	1,380	05-06 20:46
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	51	$532.0K	4,576	05-06 20:52
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	51	$348.3K	3,671	05-06 20:33
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	49	$23.4K	1,412	05-06 18:31
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	47	$21.9K	584	05-11 16:10
Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9	47	$1.96K	441	05-06 19:59
Ajar-Liner 0x03ba…beba	46	$20.4K	2,000	05-10 02:52
Secret-Cofactor 0x5df5…c44c	46	$5.60K	1,392	05-10 02:52