Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$183

Unrealized P&L

-$53

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

613

Trades

3,582

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$176

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 11-03 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

46% 50% +$172

Crypto

41% 48% -$107

Sports

13% 58% +$111

Politics

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+227	$75	34¢	$78	+$3	11-03 09:24
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	+274	$83	19¢	$52	-$31	10-06 23:37
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	+81	$36	33¢	$27	-$9	09-25 02:20
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	+19	$6	51¢	$10	+$4	10-04 20:43
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+37	$24	22¢	$8	-$16	06-04 23:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	05-05 19:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Thunder	40	$358	780	0	+780	Spurs	+$80	05-31 02:36
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Priscilla Hon	146	$314	714	0	+714	Alexandra Eala	-$29	06-02 02:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	57	$297	227	170	+57	No	+$44	05-07 17:13
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	28	$276	714	0	+714	Matteo Arnaldi	+$284	06-01 23:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$241	160	160	+0	No	+$29	05-08 18:14
nba mem sac 2026 02 04	14	$234	244	244	+0	Grizzlies	+$0	02-04 09:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	3	$219	115	115	+0	No	+$3	05-08 18:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	173	$206	3,730	0	+3,730	No	-$206	05-08 19:00
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	67	$190	171	171	+0	No	+$4	02-06 22:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	15	$168	316	0	+316	No	+$33	05-08 10:57
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	10	$166	318	0	+318	Jakub Mensik	-$111	05-31 20:47
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	13	$166	370	0	+370	Joao Fonseca	-$76	05-31 21:02
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	2	$164	119	119	+0	No	+$4	08-07 13:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 5	5	$161	81	81	+0	No	+$1	02-05 17:06
nba orl okc 2026 02 03 spread home 6pt5	12	$157	151	151	+0	Thunder	+$0	02-03 17:20
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	1	$157	196	0	+196	Rafael Jodar	+$39	05-31 03:10
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	10	$152	1,005	0	+1,005	Alexander Zverev	-$108	06-02 14:29
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	2	$149	210	210	+0	No	-$148	06-25 17:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?	9	$143	126	104	+22	No	-$4	06-17 03:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	11	$139	81	81	+0	No	+$22	07-10 18:45
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	4	$137	378	80	+298	No	+$12	07-04 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	24	$132	180	180	+0	Up	-$3	05-01 04:30
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$130	81	81	+0	Pistons	+$32	05-08 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	42	$126	195	183	+12	Down	+$9	05-01 17:39
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	9	$125	167	86	+81	open	—	09-25 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:25 UTC	44	$123	167	160	+7	Down	-$2	04-15 05:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	4	$114	59	59	+0	No	+$4	05-11 15:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	3	$110	143	0	+143	No	+$33	04-15 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	200	$107	143	96	+47	Up	+$38	05-01 06:56
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	29	$107	65	65	+0	Yes	-$6	03-13 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:24:27	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0x6abff8…
11-03 08:58:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	32¢	$12	0x611776…
11-03 08:53:13	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x087390…
11-02 20:37:30	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	33¢	$19	0xcc72d1…
11-02 20:26:13	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xc3d995…
11-02 20:25:52	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x255bbd…
11-02 13:16:48	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0xf302b4…
11-01 14:11:45	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc47a15…
10-06 23:37:50	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x33d332…
10-06 22:55:32	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf073f2…
10-06 18:42:12	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x0d505e…
10-06 17:00:23	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x3e6216…
10-06 16:49:56	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x592abc…
10-05 00:30:44	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x25a30a…
10-05 00:15:38	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	31¢	$17	0x198872…
10-05 00:13:26	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0x847a6c…
10-04 23:50:26	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2c993b…
10-04 23:50:04	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	32¢	$15	0x4b0998…
10-04 23:14:05	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x8ea9fb…
10-04 23:13:08	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	29¢	$19	0x85d5b8…
10-04 20:43:04	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xe79f57…
10-04 03:11:13	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf41771…
10-01 00:46:45	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5c30ee…
10-01 00:40:44	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6c91c0…
10-01 00:40:44	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x343a3a…
09-29 16:20:08	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe46e7a…
09-29 16:17:48	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xcaff2f…
09-29 15:52:06	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x8c76e6…
09-29 15:39:51	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x42b8b4…
09-29 15:13:29	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x319c2a…
09-29 15:12:59	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xdab8b7…
09-29 15:12:59	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x7f1efc…
09-29 15:12:47	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x4e329a…
09-29 15:06:33	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x42c918…
09-29 14:03:02	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x57aaee…
09-29 14:02:18	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x6800c5…
09-29 13:03:41	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x0d3017…
09-26 15:43:24	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xbbce5c…
09-26 08:03:27	will russia enter mykolaivka by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x7afea1…
09-25 22:28:45	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xc3965a…
09-25 21:37:09	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	BUY	35	87¢	$31	0x56ab31…
09-25 15:28:32	will russia enter mykolaivka by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x25e8c4…
09-25 02:20:53	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xc0b74d…
09-25 02:19:44	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0x825bbb…
09-25 02:19:24	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x2a659d…
09-24 22:21:17	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	SELL	86	53¢	$45	0xedc61e…
09-23 22:58:38	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x48919d…
09-23 13:08:46	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x181a03…
09-23 08:34:29	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x0bcdc6…
09-23 00:26:59	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	Yes	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0xa363f4…
09-21 14:31:24	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x002a34…
09-21 12:16:50	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x8a511b…
09-21 11:48:09	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xb60f55…
09-21 11:27:41	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xd4b36a…
09-21 11:21:23	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x867c15…
09-21 11:15:56	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x66ebf5…
09-21 11:09:36	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xc1442b…
09-21 11:00:12	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	SELL	134	15¢	$20	0x46bec1…
09-21 11:00:12	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x1c7ed3…
09-21 09:20:48	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x4b5d2f…
09-21 09:20:41	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	BUY	91	20¢	$18	0x0fb069…
09-20 22:14:11	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x88d755…
09-20 22:14:08	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d6fc7…
09-20 21:45:58	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd56115…
09-20 21:45:40	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8cf270…
09-20 21:45:40	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x2ea275…
09-20 17:30:57	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0xdcf8b1…
09-20 02:54:58	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x272f9e…
09-17 23:35:52	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x731cf0…
09-15 15:28:55	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x965212…
09-13 14:26:34	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd6ab7a…
09-10 17:46:57	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x3fc4a6…
09-10 03:48:33	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6bb5f2…
09-10 00:56:22	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x6451b2…
09-04 15:01:55	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15?	No	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0x099889…
09-03 11:14:16	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x484464…
09-02 09:21:15	Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	306	1¢	$3	0x4d69de…
08-31 19:20:16	Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xd055b5…
08-30 14:25:37	Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x58d63a…
08-27 11:11:12	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x4bffb2…
08-27 11:10:52	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x8e1841…
08-14 09:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0xb67ffd…
08-14 09:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0x30db3b…
08-14 09:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x58ac51…
08-13 06:04:34	will russia enter stavky by september 30	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x55d227…
08-12 20:42:51	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	Yes	BUY	32	52¢	$16	0x7aa842…
08-12 12:41:51	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe7ec9b…
08-12 07:19:25	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xccebc0…
08-12 07:18:46	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	Yes	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0xaedd87…
08-11 08:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xc3985d…
08-11 08:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x570d37…
08-11 08:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xf2a573…
08-11 08:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0xe3a16a…
08-11 04:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x35b8eb…
08-11 03:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xec814e…
08-11 03:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x045183…
08-11 03:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x0bed0e…
08-11 03:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xca3557…
08-10 09:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x6e2562…
08-10 09:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x06eb3a…