Cautious-Energy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

Trades

580

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-15 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 387 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	26	$85	86	12	+74	open	—	05-14 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	17	$51	52	0	+52	open	—	05-14 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	18	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-14 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	16	$48	51	0	+51	open	—	05-14 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	9	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	05-15 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	15	$43	46	0	+46	open	—	05-14 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	8	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	05-15 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	14	$42	47	0	+47	open	—	05-14 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	13	$39	43	0	+43	open	—	05-14 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	10	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-14 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	9	$27	33	0	+33	open	—	05-14 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	7	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	7	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	10	$27	30	12	+18	open	—	05-14 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	05-15 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	9	$26	33	0	+33	open	—	05-14 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	05-15 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	5	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-15 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-15 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	7	$21	24	0	+24	open	—	05-14 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	7	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	8	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	6	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	05-14 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 07:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 16:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x88f405…
05-15 16:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8d46f8…
05-15 16:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x51830b…
05-15 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x81d44f…
05-15 15:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x188c2b…
05-15 15:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x198021…
05-15 15:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc5930b…
05-15 15:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x1332b7…
05-15 15:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x968839…
05-15 15:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x0390b1…
05-15 15:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xed8047…
05-15 15:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x093fec…
05-15 15:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4a0052…
05-15 15:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd976aa…
05-15 15:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6d3dd9…
05-15 15:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x865783…
05-15 15:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4a3604…
05-15 15:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x782a28…
05-15 15:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x547ce6…
05-15 15:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x751be4…
05-15 15:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5a3f94…
05-15 14:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x07b0d2…
05-15 14:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x1cdb15…
05-15 14:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdc83af…
05-15 14:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xff8b88…
05-15 14:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x63bc68…
05-15 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x189db5…
05-15 14:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa53829…
05-15 14:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xeb01c4…
05-15 14:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe09692…
05-15 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xe03150…
05-15 13:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd7de95…
05-15 13:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x28ddf1…
05-15 13:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1e3384…
05-15 13:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x73b45e…
05-15 10:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x0a6df7…
05-15 09:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5c30dc…
05-15 09:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd99030…
05-15 09:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf41b5d…
05-15 09:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8354a5…
05-15 09:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd617de…
05-15 09:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf8ca58…
05-15 09:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x31da42…
05-15 09:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8f2cdf…
05-15 09:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x199a9c…
05-15 09:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x060cf8…
05-15 09:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4054e6…
05-15 09:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x376b04…
05-15 09:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x7be77b…
05-15 09:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xae7d98…
05-15 09:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x4003cc…
05-15 09:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xc02d16…
05-15 09:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb4a7aa…
05-15 09:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb05507…
05-15 09:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8dff98…
05-15 08:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x916486…
05-15 08:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x955463…
05-15 08:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x689681…
05-15 08:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x97455e…
05-15 08:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfb7494…
05-15 07:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xbd5add…
05-15 07:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3360d8…
05-15 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x0ec254…
05-15 07:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2cac6a…
05-15 07:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x97d356…
05-15 07:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe9ef80…
05-15 07:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x18311d…
05-15 07:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb9e8fd…
05-15 07:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf132a7…
05-15 07:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x487f60…
05-15 07:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa4c761…
05-15 07:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x535995…
05-15 07:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x2781ba…
05-15 07:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xfd5789…
05-15 07:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x8567ad…
05-15 07:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xf40910…
05-15 06:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x18b417…
05-15 06:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x183dc4…
05-15 06:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf5b712…
05-15 06:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x71fb7f…
05-15 06:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x01ff52…
05-15 06:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x26dafb…
05-15 06:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xfa739a…
05-15 06:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x899826…
05-15 06:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x68390d…
05-15 06:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x314cab…
05-15 06:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2eea5f…
05-15 06:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf10a39…
05-15 06:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfd3237…
05-15 06:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x4e02cd…
05-15 06:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x051f8b…
05-15 06:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1f33f1…
05-15 06:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd0046a…
05-15 06:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x17a76f…
05-15 06:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8f8c1f…
05-15 06:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x018a0d…
05-15 06:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x40886f…
05-15 06:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x6fd9ce…
05-15 06:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x26f302…
05-15 06:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x6e33dc…