Lumbering-Cane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

11,961

Trades

33,109

lifetime

Volume

$305.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-14 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% -$4,599

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:35 UTC	4	$291	418	+418	Down	+$3	07-01 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$289	419	+419	Up	-$249	05-28 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:10 UTC	1	$284	290	+290	Down	+$6	07-01 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:05 UTC	1	$280	286	+286	Up	+$6	07-01 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:00 UTC	1	$279	282	+282	Down	+$3	07-01 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:55 UTC	1	$277	280	+280	Down	-$277	06-30 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:50 UTC	1	$277	280	+280	Down	+$3	06-30 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$274	280	+280	Down	+$6	06-30 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:55 UTC	1	$272	278	+278	Up	+$6	07-01 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:25 UTC	1	$269	274	+274	Down	+$5	07-01 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$267	272	+272	Down	+$5	06-30 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:20 UTC	1	$265	270	+270	Up	+$5	07-01 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	5	$264	377	+377	Up	-$224	06-01 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:15 UTC	1	$263	268	+268	Down	+$5	06-30 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:55 UTC	1	$261	266	+266	Up	+$5	07-01 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:35 UTC	1	$259	262	+262	Up	+$3	07-01 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 15:50 UTC	1	$258	263	+263	Up	-$258	07-02 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 01:25 UTC	1	$257	260	+260	Up	+$3	06-30 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:30 UTC	1	$255	258	+258	Up	+$3	07-01 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$254	259	+259	Down	+$5	07-02 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$253	258	+258	Up	+$5	07-01 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 15:40 UTC	1	$252	255	+255	Up	+$3	07-02 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 04:00 UTC	1	$251	254	+254	Down	+$3	07-01 04:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC	1	$251	256	+256	Down	+$5	06-30 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:55 UTC	1	$249	252	+252	Up	+$3	06-30 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:25 UTC	1	$249	254	+254	Up	+$5	07-01 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$247	386	+386	Up	-$217	06-02 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 15:35 UTC	1	$246	251	+251	Down	+$5	07-02 15:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 21:30 UTC	34	$246	929	+929	Down	-$66	01-01 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:55 UTC	1	$245	250	+250	Down	+$5	07-01 03:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 07:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0bc1e8…
08-14 06:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x726a19…
08-14 00:35:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x2cfc4f…
08-14 00:15:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x515267…
08-13 23:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9ace43…
08-13 23:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x67f4bf…
08-13 23:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x3ce3a4…
08-13 23:15:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9bfc34…
08-13 23:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x0ba105…
08-13 23:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xb78ff7…
08-13 22:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9299f8…
08-13 22:50:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1a2bdc…
08-13 22:40:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8bdd13…
08-13 22:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x841568…
08-13 22:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xc9c28b…
08-13 22:15:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x479f9c…
08-13 22:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa449a4…
08-13 22:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x0ccbeb…
08-13 22:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3fc457…
08-13 21:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5f262e…
08-13 21:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa66259…
08-13 21:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x361b78…
08-13 20:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x50708b…
08-13 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x232d9d…
08-13 20:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1a0e3b…
08-13 20:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5ffe8a…
08-13 20:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa78cd0…
08-13 20:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xde1bd6…
08-13 20:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x08bd7b…
08-13 19:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x13d035…
08-13 19:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xefb05f…
08-13 19:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2d3b68…
08-13 19:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7a5427…
08-13 19:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x3f619f…
08-13 19:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0c4c04…
08-13 19:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4f7e86…
08-13 19:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3b4851…
08-13 19:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7338ae…
08-13 18:55:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xdce2ad…
08-13 18:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa79226…
08-13 18:45:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd9d481…
08-13 18:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x7232fa…
08-13 14:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x1d4ae4…
08-13 13:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x42ccdd…
08-13 13:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xd9c86f…
08-13 12:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xc86a9e…
08-13 11:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xd40f60…
08-13 11:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xfecac7…
08-13 10:57:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x67589c…
08-13 10:52:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x45e8ca…
08-13 10:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xebfefe…
08-13 08:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf5aeaa…
08-13 08:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x725d8f…
08-13 07:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x656bbc…
08-13 07:52:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x1dd31f…
08-13 07:32:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x115611…
08-13 07:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xe24068…
08-13 06:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x62cb44…
08-13 03:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa58233…
08-13 01:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x2336aa…
08-12 23:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xbc77d0…
08-12 22:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xad96d2…
08-12 22:41:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x971f22…
08-12 22:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x218dfb…
08-12 21:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8a334a…
08-12 21:21:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x218932…
08-12 20:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x38f62d…
08-12 20:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x745d7d…
08-12 20:36:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xb463bc…
08-12 17:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x907c43…
08-12 17:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x487ca0…
08-12 17:01:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x435c6c…
08-12 16:26:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4638bc…
08-12 15:56:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x467bf3…
08-12 15:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xa3d9bc…
08-12 15:16:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x99ae37…
08-12 15:06:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xb07a41…
08-12 06:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x60368f…
08-12 05:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x61da9d…
08-12 05:21:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x5e4ea8…
08-12 04:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x25912d…
08-12 04:46:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x490923…
08-12 04:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfaf3e2…
08-12 04:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa1765a…
08-12 04:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xb28d9e…
08-12 03:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x9e6ee0…
08-12 03:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x6f32b9…
08-12 03:21:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd1e69b…
08-12 03:16:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf14b4a…
08-12 02:16:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x84276e…
08-12 01:36:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xe8b14f…
08-12 01:26:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xe5b9ec…
08-12 01:21:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x34e951…
08-12 00:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x34bb84…
08-07 14:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xc9e18f…
08-07 14:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xac9f61…
08-07 13:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x219019…
08-07 12:46:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2449bc…
08-07 12:41:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x778f49…
08-07 12:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe53b0f…