Pointless-Measure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

Trades

384

lifetime

Volume

$1.07M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.79K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 11-03 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

87% 91% +$11,244

Other

9% 100% +$522

Crypto

3% 100% +$199

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$130.2K	65,414	65,414	+0	Yes	+$217	04-22 15:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$94.3K	74,739	20,000	+54,739	Yes	+$184	04-07 11:54
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	30	$79.6K	53,609	28,609	+25,000	No	+$911	02-17 10:47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	23	$57.9K	44,088	14,995	+29,093	Yes	+$104	03-12 19:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$50.6K	50,660	0	+50,660	No	+$62	04-29 08:22
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	4	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$70	04-13 13:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	3	$44.9K	45,020	0	+45,020	Yes	+$70	04-17 23:44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$40.0K	20,138	20,138	+0	Yes	+$39	04-21 16:24
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	13	$35.0K	35,000	0	+35,000	Yes	+$35	05-17 09:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$34.6K	34,827	0	+34,827	No	+$199	06-03 09:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$32.1K	34,342	0	+34,342	Yes	+$2,258	06-17 18:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$30.0K	30,020	0	+30,020	Yes	+$40	04-09 09:46
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$29.9K	32,450	0	+32,450	Yes	+$2,596	10-27 18:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$20.1K	10,285	10,285	+0	No	+$79	04-24 15:20
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$20.0K	20,020	0	+20,020	No	+$20	05-25 17:23
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$20.0K	20,020	0	+20,020	Yes	+$50	05-03 11:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$195	05-25 17:19
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$19.1K	19,112	0	+19,112	Yes	+$19	03-16 14:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	37	$18.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-11 21:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$17.6K	18,887	0	+18,887	Yes	+$1,328	10-25 23:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$17.1K	11,111	11,111	+0	open	—	10-27 16:49
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	16	$16.7K	8,535	8,535	+0	Yes	-$85	03-08 21:28
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	1	$15.0K	14,983	0	+14,983	Yes	+$15	04-05 21:57
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	30	$14.8K	14,999	0	+14,999	No	+$150	04-24 15:22
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	32	$13.4K	7,285	7,285	+0	No	-$48	10-27 20:10
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$10.8K	11,050	0	+11,050	Yes	+$221	03-08 21:17
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	4	$10.7K	6,175	6,175	+0	No	+$0	06-23 01:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$10.0K	5,025	5,025	+0	Yes	+$10	04-21 16:24
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$10.0K	10,302	0	+10,302	No	+$302	03-16 14:01
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$10	02-07 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 07:27:07	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,231	94¢	$1,157	0x428ad1…
11-03 07:05:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0x7a6c08…
11-03 07:04:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	6,569	94¢	$6,174	0x39003d…
10-27 20:10:32	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3,333	42¢	$1,390	0x4d0f55…
10-27 20:10:11	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6,666	91¢	$6,093	0x678fcf…
10-27 18:26:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24,994	92¢	$22,995	0x1b13d9…
10-27 16:51:36	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	95	94¢	$90	0x15cea7…
10-27 16:49:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11,111	77¢	$8,555	0x620a32…
10-27 16:49:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,512	94¢	$1,421	0xd3c755…
10-27 16:30:02	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	111	85¢	$95	0xca81ff…
10-27 16:27:18	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xcd8b9d…
10-27 16:27:18	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x7b825d…
10-27 16:27:17	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x62851d…
10-27 16:27:14	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x755c54…
10-27 16:27:11	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x8c0e9b…
10-27 16:26:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$39	0xdf72e4…
10-27 16:26:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0xa9cbb9…
10-27 16:26:27	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	218	85¢	$185	0xb4c1a2…
10-27 16:26:27	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	218	94¢	$205	0x9d8795…
10-27 16:26:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xef6d98…
10-27 16:19:54	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	143	94¢	$135	0x648853…
10-27 16:17:38	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	867	85¢	$737	0x9a14e6…
10-27 16:17:33	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd1186c…
10-27 16:15:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x57fc3d…
10-27 16:15:41	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb2d697…
10-27 16:08:59	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0xa42568…
10-27 16:06:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4,445	77¢	$3,423	0x8d62d8…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xecd5f7…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	112	85¢	$95	0xcce3bf…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	112	94¢	$105	0xbc664d…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x81943b…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x7dbe77…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x607188…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5f0ed7…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x1ba6c9…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x130efd…
10-27 16:03:24	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0ad693…
10-27 16:02:14	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xd61521…
10-27 15:58:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xc0b19c…
10-27 15:57:18	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	119	85¢	$101	0xda2ce1…
10-27 15:53:45	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,489	85¢	$1,265	0xe8f7bb…
10-27 04:01:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	177	71¢	$125	0xa120bf…
10-27 04:00:09	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2,000	71¢	$1,420	0xc22418…
10-27 03:52:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x2113fa…
10-27 03:49:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x3f588c…
10-27 03:48:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	368	71¢	$261	0x616437…
10-27 03:45:09	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	150	71¢	$106	0x3de64e…
10-27 03:31:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xa99595…
10-27 03:29:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb742b7…
10-27 03:23:27	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x0ca6e1…
10-27 03:20:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	250	71¢	$178	0x378a96…
10-27 03:16:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x4cd136…
10-27 03:11:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xb2620b…
10-27 03:11:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x96d4b4…
10-27 03:11:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x266e62…
10-27 03:11:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x18fbb3…
10-27 03:10:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xe2b2d0…
10-27 03:10:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	400	71¢	$284	0xd2d35b…
10-27 03:10:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x55b71a…
10-27 03:10:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x0bc6de…
10-27 03:07:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x544cf2…
10-27 03:07:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xa97a12…
10-27 03:06:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	400	71¢	$284	0x60adae…
10-27 03:06:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x4ee92d…
10-27 03:06:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x93df45…
10-27 03:06:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x907787…
10-27 03:04:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	400	71¢	$284	0xff6ec2…
10-27 03:04:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	53	71¢	$38	0x1cdaec…
10-27 03:04:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x143917…
10-27 03:00:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	400	71¢	$284	0x91719c…
10-27 03:00:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	253	71¢	$180	0x707cda…
10-27 03:00:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x1baa2f…
10-27 03:00:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	624	71¢	$443	0xf82000…
10-27 03:00:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0xdb0a7e…
10-27 03:00:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	562	71¢	$399	0xb5c1f8…
10-27 03:00:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	34	71¢	$24	0xa64561…
10-27 03:00:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x4b0d7f…
10-27 03:00:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x0a09d7…
10-26 19:32:48	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0xb68779…
10-26 19:32:48	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	76	94¢	$71	0x470caf…
10-26 19:32:48	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	321	94¢	$302	0x0319db…
10-26 19:32:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xd1f57f…
10-26 19:32:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x73cc4d…
10-26 19:32:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0x671f0a…
10-26 18:21:17	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	568	100¢	$567	0xb43531…
10-26 18:21:03	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	508	100¢	$508	0x43aef1…
10-26 18:20:53	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x4203a2…
10-26 18:20:42	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4bff7d…
10-26 18:06:21	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	873	100¢	$872	0xa524c0…
10-26 18:03:14	Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	828	100¢	$827	0x43e172…
10-26 18:00:35	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	539	100¢	$537	0xe20016…
10-26 18:00:12	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x142a07…
10-26 17:59:56	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0x059fb1…
10-26 17:59:35	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	304	99¢	$301	0x6f9a00…
10-26 17:54:53	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xe7aeb5…
10-26 17:54:26	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	996	97¢	$971	0x5e20c1…
10-26 17:53:21	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	262	97¢	$254	0xc83821…
10-26 17:52:29	Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	979	98¢	$963	0x1a117f…
10-26 16:11:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$458	0x18f8ab…
10-26 15:47:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$99	0x8171e9…