Gruesome-Uplift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.53K

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

132

Trades

1,456

lifetime

Volume

$726.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$499

Open exposure

$3.60K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-11 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Politics

94% 59% +$29,271

Other

6% 47% -$5,712

Crypto

0% 75% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+3,479	$1,201	97¢	$3.4K	+$2,172	11-11 12:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes	+8,750	$409	1¢	$96	-$313	11-04 16:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	+1,000	$175	8¢	$75	-$100	11-06 17:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	+2,400	$192	2¢	$41	-$151	11-04 14:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	Yes	+404	$28	3¢	$12	-$16	11-04 23:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	+157	$16	3¢	$5	-$10	11-06 09:42
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?	No	+190	$48	1¢	$1	-$47	11-08 17:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	65	$50.8K	30,000	22,649	+7,351	Yes	+$763	04-20 16:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	20	$45.9K	47,390	15,847	+31,543	Yes	+$10,998	04-08 01:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	38	$40.6K	27,683	27,683	+0	Yes	+$9,994	04-07 23:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	20	$29.0K	15,671	15,671	-0	Yes	+$2,166	10-31 20:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	13	$28.3K	16,186	16,186	+0	Yes	+$187	08-02 19:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	21	$25.3K	13,100	13,100	+0	Yes	+$511	11-07 22:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	42	$23.1K	14,682	11,204	+3,479	open	—	11-11 12:08
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$22.7K	11,715	11,715	+0	open	—	10-13 10:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	11	$21.5K	11,123	11,123	+0	Yes	+$621	10-18 20:35
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	12	$15.7K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	+$199	10-15 19:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	9	$15.6K	8,003	8,003	-0	Yes	+$284	10-12 19:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	4	$15.6K	8,041	8,041	+0	Yes	+$415	07-24 20:53
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	10	$14.7K	7,613	7,613	-0	Yes	+$462	08-01 22:13
israel strikes iran by january 14 2026	17	$14.2K	34,777	6,361	+28,416	No	-$5,024	01-14 22:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	10	$13.8K	7,051	7,051	+0	Yes	+$201	07-24 14:07
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	64	$13.8K	18,968	16,027	+2,941	No	-$835	04-22 04:14
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	38	$13.4K	10,816	10,816	+0	No	-$3,641	04-15 18:19
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	5	$12.8K	6,464	6,464	+0	Yes	-$79	03-09 20:39
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	5	$12.3K	10,185	2,555	+7,630	Yes	+$203	03-01 17:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	4	$10.5K	5,321	5,321	+0	Yes	+$86	11-04 10:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$10.2K	5,225	5,225	+0	No	+$220	04-02 18:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	7	$10.2K	5,192	5,192	+0	Yes	+$171	07-23 11:00
israel closes its airspace by june 8	39	$9.9K	10,314	10,314	+0	No	-$158	06-09 03:45
iran strike on israel by february 28	11	$9.7K	8,485	8,485	+0	Yes	+$1,418	02-28 08:13
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	9	$9.7K	9,735	0	+9,735	Yes	+$34	04-11 18:38
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	15	$9.3K	4,918	4,570	+348	Yes	+$126	03-01 09:00
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	7	$9.2K	6,635	6,635	+0	No	+$195	01-12 15:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	6	$9.1K	4,674	4,674	+0	Yes	+$44	10-21 19:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$8.5K	6,545	6,545	+0	No	+$4,479	05-22 22:21
israel strikes iran by january 13 2026	4	$8.1K	4,179	4,179	+0	No	+$88	01-13 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 12:08:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xe64278…
11-11 12:08:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x3cf06b…
11-11 10:20:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	1,875	98¢	$1,828	0x299ae5…
11-11 09:55:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	274	97¢	$267	0x73977e…
11-11 09:40:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x50b1f3…
11-11 09:30:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xf24b29…
11-11 09:27:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	63	97¢	$62	0x4ca80d…
11-11 09:26:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x9d13d1…
11-11 09:23:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	397	97¢	$386	0x7a3f74…
11-11 09:02:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	1,129	98¢	$1,101	0x9f4124…
11-11 08:58:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x911a94…
11-11 08:49:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	2,051	97¢	$2,000	0x71d04b…
11-11 08:43:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0xcad07b…
11-11 07:10:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	5,983	98¢	$5,851	0xc883e5…
11-10 07:40:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	Yes	SELL	1,002	93¢	$932	0x630e41…
11-10 07:38:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0xbbb0c4…
11-10 07:31:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6974f9…
11-10 07:31:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x25cc56…
11-10 07:31:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x07e211…
11-09 20:02:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1e2c59…
11-09 20:02:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	Yes	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x7d937a…
11-08 22:16:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x5f6f39…
11-08 18:58:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0xc2dd27…
11-08 17:43:25	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?	No	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0xa080f1…
11-08 17:43:18	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?	No	BUY	110	22¢	$24	0xc46088…
11-08 17:25:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0xde755c…
11-08 15:22:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0xaa7cf6…
11-07 22:10:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	790	100¢	$787	0x2bf115…
11-07 22:05:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	799	100¢	$796	0xd518bf…
11-07 22:01:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	3,697	100¢	$3,686	0x00252d…
11-07 21:59:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	484	100¢	$483	0x88f127…
11-07 21:40:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	550	100¢	$548	0x1a5edc…
11-07 14:35:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1f24ed…
11-07 14:34:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x21d3af…
11-07 13:18:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x68d55f…
11-07 13:06:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x53ab0c…
11-07 13:06:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x270e93…
11-07 12:39:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xec9e25…
11-07 12:38:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x7fbb8d…
11-07 12:38:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xcfae69…
11-07 12:38:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x6ada51…
11-07 12:38:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x2fd016…
11-07 12:38:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	2,712	81¢	$2,196	0xdd87cc…
11-07 12:27:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	4,780	98¢	$4,685	0xb8b61b…
11-06 22:43:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x5774e5…
11-06 22:43:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	1,068	74¢	$790	0x03e154…
11-06 22:40:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0x604162…
11-06 22:40:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0xdf928d…
11-06 22:40:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xe285c5…
11-06 22:39:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	911	95¢	$864	0x2186b9…
11-06 22:39:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	89	95¢	$84	0xc41f5c…
11-06 21:31:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	1,404	78¢	$1,095	0xf5c8a5…
11-06 21:30:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0x95997b…
11-06 21:30:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x286ab7…
11-06 21:30:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x41985b…
11-06 21:30:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	1,885	78¢	$1,470	0x018ba9…
11-06 20:46:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xce0da8…
11-06 20:45:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	502	78¢	$392	0x8044ef…
11-06 20:44:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,988	0x00e0fe…
11-06 17:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0xcea1b6…
11-06 17:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	291	18¢	$52	0x6f21c4…
11-06 17:26:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xb94a61…
11-06 17:26:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x9c02e4…
11-06 17:26:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x25daa5…
11-06 17:26:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xb335dc…
11-06 17:26:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	129	18¢	$23	0x9a2db4…
11-06 17:26:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x80c342…
11-06 17:17:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x80de2a…
11-06 17:17:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x7a669e…
11-06 15:00:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	700	93¢	$653	0x98867e…
11-06 13:21:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	788	96¢	$754	0xf6b968…
11-06 13:15:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1,212	96¢	$1,162	0x17e15e…
11-06 09:42:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf7d43e…
11-06 09:26:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x0d7ffb…
11-06 09:26:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xb4e7f1…
11-06 09:26:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9a2b47…
11-06 08:34:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0x5fd3dc…
11-06 07:34:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1,227	96¢	$1,178	0x5c565a…
11-05 20:05:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1230a0…
11-05 18:38:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	2,522	100¢	$2,520	0x4b047b…
11-05 16:39:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	989	96¢	$950	0x0f4f03…
11-05 16:21:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	2,011	96¢	$1,930	0xfa5461…
11-05 15:26:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd49b26…
11-05 12:22:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xa671f4…
11-05 12:01:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x87d7b3…
11-05 10:33:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	3,000	95¢	$2,850	0x22b66b…
11-05 10:33:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0xc21af0…
11-05 09:05:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x15a278…
11-05 09:01:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd7d37a…
11-05 09:00:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x088aba…
11-05 09:00:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf1fe7b…
11-05 08:59:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x76ebe4…
11-05 08:44:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0x7f2a9b…
11-05 08:43:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x522d80…
11-05 08:42:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0x25a56a…
11-05 08:41:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdf257f…
11-05 08:26:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe256f7…
11-05 08:06:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	2,369	93¢	$2,204	0xeecedf…
11-05 08:03:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x76fe25…
11-05 08:02:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0xc683f7…