Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$231

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

1,792

Trades

2,951

lifetime

Volume

$22.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-05

last 10-28 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 59% -$134

Other

2% 39% -$96

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+1,000	$1	0¢	$5	+$4	09-22 00:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	93¢	$1	$0	10-28 16:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	6	$113	73	73	+0	Up	+$14	09-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$99	64	64	+0	Down	+$12	09-05 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9PM ET	35	$98	206	0	+206	Down	+$1	10-23 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$90	59	59	+0	Down	+$12	09-05 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$78	51	51	+0	Down	+$11	09-05 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5PM ET	12	$78	92	79	+13	Up	-$1	10-21 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5PM ET	29	$75	159	17	+142	Up	-$3	10-22 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8PM ET	25	$73	166	0	+166	Up	-$4	10-23 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3PM ET	22	$70	163	12	+151	Up	-$1	10-22 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$61	40	40	+0	Up	+$8	09-05 18:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	2	$59	50	50	+0	Up	-$37	09-16 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 13:35 UTC	2	$58	44	44	+0	Down	-$26	09-16 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$56	38	38	+0	Down	+$3	09-05 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$55	44	44	+0	Down	-$7	09-05 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:05 UTC	2	$55	41	41	+0	Up	-$21	09-17 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$52	39	39	+0	Down	+$1	09-05 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$52	33	33	+0	Up	+$6	09-05 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$51	33	33	+0	Down	+$7	09-05 17:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:35 UTC	2	$50	46	46	+0	Up	-$32	09-16 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 09:15 UTC	2	$49	37	37	+0	Down	-$22	09-17 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	1	$47	49	0	+49	Down	+$2	09-16 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:40 UTC	1	$47	49	0	+49	Down	+$2	09-16 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:30 UTC	1	$47	48	0	+48	Down	+$1	09-16 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7PM ET	17	$46	91	0	+91	Up	-$4	10-22 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:20 UTC	1	$46	48	0	+48	Down	+$1	09-16 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$46	30	30	+0	Up	+$6	09-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	14	$46	125	0	+125	Down	+$0	10-23 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:20 UTC	1	$45	48	0	+48	Down	+$3	09-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:55 UTC	1	$45	46	0	+46	Down	+$1	09-16 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:15 UTC	1	$45	48	0	+48	Up	+$3	09-16 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:00:31	Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x28321b…
10-28 16:59:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x779301…
10-28 16:59:23	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x471059…
10-28 05:24:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x2b0285…
10-28 05:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6837ed…
10-27 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xb09a8b…
10-27 18:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7c0f0a…
10-27 17:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xa7386b…
10-27 17:31:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xc05378…
10-27 17:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xa00bce…
10-27 17:05:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x310e08…
10-27 16:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x419f18…
10-27 16:45:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd5ef18…
10-27 16:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe4baaa…
10-27 16:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x757a2a…
10-27 16:03:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x346f12…
10-27 16:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1d35ac…
10-27 15:52:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x783228…
10-27 15:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x02bb5c…
10-27 15:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x75e3e1…
10-27 15:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x98c7fc…
10-27 15:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xba08aa…
10-27 15:25:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xf3f93c…
10-27 15:11:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x63937f…
10-27 15:10:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb233b2…
10-27 14:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x2afbce…
10-27 14:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x638548…
10-27 14:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x869801…
10-27 14:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2fe66b…
10-27 14:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xda8be9…
10-27 14:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x674cb8…
10-27 14:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x290c14…
10-27 14:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x749bbb…
10-27 14:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc35a7f…
10-27 14:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x79a28c…
10-27 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x63ce29…
10-27 14:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x8ca8c1…
10-27 14:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x877aa0…
10-27 14:07:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe37128…
10-27 14:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6b3a18…
10-27 13:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x18f324…
10-27 13:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8bda2c…
10-27 13:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xbfd1d9…
10-27 13:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9e54e1…
10-27 13:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x73024b…
10-27 13:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb38074…
10-27 13:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x53954e…
10-27 13:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xd05bc7…
10-27 13:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x210362…
10-27 13:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x056fc7…
10-27 12:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7470b2…
10-27 12:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x707d2a…
10-27 12:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x9f0286…
10-27 12:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x39be0e…
10-27 12:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa5b738…
10-27 12:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0d7ed0…
10-27 12:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa62dae…
10-27 12:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xc9813b…
10-27 12:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x96ff8d…
10-27 10:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x7004b5…
10-27 10:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x13d708…
10-27 10:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x23d601…
10-27 10:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x45e547…
10-27 10:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x17507d…
10-27 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb0d4f4…
10-27 09:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x7da9f8…
10-27 09:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xd7bafe…
10-27 09:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd733a0…
10-27 09:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x62d74d…
10-27 09:20:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x783605…
10-27 09:20:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x2310c1…
10-27 09:18:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb5cd1f…
10-27 08:35:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2b5bb3…
10-27 08:31:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x805a5c…
10-27 08:22:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x09ecfa…
10-27 08:20:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xac32ca…
10-27 08:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xe4199e…
10-27 08:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x47f181…
10-27 08:06:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x80cace…
10-27 08:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa8c1c0…
10-27 07:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0e74d4…
10-27 07:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xbcc6ff…
10-27 07:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x4be964…
10-27 07:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x8520d8…
10-27 05:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd80528…
10-27 05:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdc9de4…
10-27 05:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xc14c85…
10-27 05:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x9b381b…
10-27 05:32:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x392121…
10-27 05:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x5c050d…
10-27 05:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd3acc1…
10-27 05:15:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7acc8a…
10-27 04:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0ab9f8…
10-27 04:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x63cb0a…
10-27 03:35:36	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf2a247…
10-27 03:11:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x374516…
10-27 02:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfb64ef…
10-27 02:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8f7ff3…
10-27 02:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xad4169…
10-27 01:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xa18851…