Lean-Puppet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.51K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

271

Trades

1,550

lifetime

Volume

$101.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-08 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$1,506

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$200	361	+361	open	—	05-18 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$200	476	+476	open	—	05-15 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$200	340	+340	open	—	05-18 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$200	388	+388	open	—	05-17 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$190	299	+299	open	—	05-17 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$188	341	+341	open	—	05-18 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$188	346	+346	open	—	05-17 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$185	403	+403	open	—	05-18 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$184	356	+356	open	—	05-19 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$183	343	+343	open	—	05-19 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$183	331	+331	open	—	05-14 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$183	299	+299	open	—	05-17 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$182	360	+360	open	—	05-18 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$182	329	+329	open	—	05-16 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$182	364	+364	open	—	05-16 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$182	364	+364	open	—	05-17 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$182	373	+373	open	—	05-16 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$182	360	+360	open	—	05-17 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$182	346	+346	open	—	05-17 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$182	301	+301	open	—	05-17 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$182	347	+347	open	—	05-16 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$181	347	+347	open	—	05-15 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$181	354	+354	open	—	05-17 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$180	459	+459	open	—	05-16 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$180	471	+471	open	—	05-16 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$180	307	+307	open	—	05-17 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$180	351	+351	open	—	05-18 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$179	436	+436	open	—	05-17 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$179	337	+337	open	—	05-16 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$179	293	+293	open	—	05-16 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 23:30:12	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Down	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0x77273b…
06-08 19:30:12	btc updown 15m 1780947000	Down	BUY	167	48¢	$80	0x0f2c9d…
06-08 18:30:15	btc updown 15m 1780943400	Down	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0x86d908…
06-08 16:15:15	btc updown 15m 1780935300	Down	BUY	174	46¢	$80	0x251101…
06-03 14:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x391440…
06-03 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	154	52¢	$80	0x715e0a…
06-01 17:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	149	54¢	$80	0x58b623…
06-01 16:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0xce9474…
06-01 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	152	53¢	$80	0x673cba…
06-01 15:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0xebc6e4…
06-01 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	123	58¢	$72	0xdfdd05…
05-29 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x33a1ad…
05-29 11:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	126	52¢	$65	0xf9f2f6…
05-29 11:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	109	52¢	$57	0xf869fe…
05-29 09:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	55¢	$21	0xb2f569…
05-29 09:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	53¢	$44	0x2a1b72…
05-29 09:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0x034f30…
05-29 08:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0x93392c…
05-29 07:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	54¢	$34	0x19fa3d…
05-29 06:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	158	50¢	$79	0xc7d48c…
05-29 05:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	151	52¢	$79	0x18321e…
05-29 05:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	53¢	$48	0x2d46bf…
05-29 02:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x752864…
05-28 23:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x9b38d1…
05-28 21:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	109	52¢	$57	0x544b96…
05-28 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	254	39¢	$100	0xd5676b…
05-27 16:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	143	51¢	$73	0x8bddda…
05-27 16:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xf16215…
05-27 15:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	127	59¢	$74	0xf91d6f…
05-27 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x8015b6…
05-21 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	114	52¢	$59	0xb1ebaa…
05-21 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	160	47¢	$75	0xbe15df…
05-21 14:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0xc671fd…
05-21 10:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xc074ae…
05-21 09:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xe942ec…
05-21 08:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	68	43¢	$29	0x604cf1…
05-21 08:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x3d6cd0…
05-21 07:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	54	51¢	$27	0xd21c1f…
05-21 07:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	65	44¢	$29	0xff27e2…
05-21 06:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	107	53¢	$57	0xbe5db4…
05-21 06:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	55¢	$39	0x82084d…
05-21 06:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x868733…
05-21 06:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x440680…
05-21 05:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	63	50¢	$32	0xd91c7f…
05-21 05:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	91	46¢	$42	0xee6bf4…
05-21 05:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	120	44¢	$53	0xf214df…
05-21 04:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0xc10e89…
05-21 04:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	53¢	$36	0xbb1d57…
05-21 03:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x6f0c42…
05-21 01:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	95	54¢	$51	0x603196…
05-21 00:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	97	56¢	$54	0x5733fd…
05-20 19:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	237	49¢	$117	0x0dd1ec…
05-20 19:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x275aaa…
05-20 19:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	169	52¢	$88	0x565d08…
05-20 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	149	47¢	$69	0x14f366…
05-20 18:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	115	50¢	$57	0x68cccf…
05-20 17:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	175	53¢	$93	0xb3ad08…
05-20 17:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	104	56¢	$58	0xe6e7d1…
05-20 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	247	51¢	$125	0xb83704…
05-20 16:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	220	55¢	$120	0xfab44d…
05-20 15:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	208	61¢	$127	0x30a85a…
05-20 15:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	257	52¢	$134	0xf8c893…
05-20 15:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	198	41¢	$80	0xff4be1…
05-20 15:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	231	51¢	$118	0x26ebb4…
05-20 14:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	147	46¢	$68	0xcf3725…
05-20 14:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	244	58¢	$141	0xb6e468…
05-20 13:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	237	64¢	$151	0x110327…
05-20 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	126	51¢	$64	0x2e18d8…
05-20 08:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	159	49¢	$78	0x81e12c…
05-20 07:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	114	56¢	$63	0x91543b…
05-20 07:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	143	53¢	$76	0xc78a8e…
05-20 07:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	177	56¢	$99	0x17b15a…
05-20 07:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	213	61¢	$130	0x990766…
05-20 06:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	114	55¢	$63	0xd919e9…
05-20 06:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	172	43¢	$74	0xab6f4b…
05-20 00:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	117	53¢	$62	0xd97d62…
05-19 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	226	41¢	$93	0xe243f1…
05-19 19:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	165	49¢	$81	0x09ef7c…
05-19 19:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	272	59¢	$160	0xaa3c2c…
05-19 19:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	274	55¢	$151	0x0e5e85…
05-19 19:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	333	52¢	$173	0x98331d…
05-19 18:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	144	56¢	$81	0x3cf4ce…
05-19 18:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	210	50¢	$105	0x6eb1d2…
05-19 18:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	143	52¢	$74	0x5b84ce…
05-19 17:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	343	53¢	$183	0xb202e1…
05-19 17:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	210	47¢	$99	0xea39fb…
05-19 16:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0x03f60c…
05-19 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	289	58¢	$169	0x3dfa6e…
05-19 16:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	167	50¢	$84	0xd2f355…
05-19 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	135	46¢	$62	0xde527d…
05-19 15:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	206	50¢	$103	0x599933…
05-19 15:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	173	43¢	$74	0x97b656…
05-19 14:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	329	49¢	$161	0xd472ce…
05-19 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	344	44¢	$151	0x95dd11…
05-19 13:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	356	52¢	$184	0x4e8d5e…
05-19 13:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	261	54¢	$141	0xd4b4a6…
05-19 13:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	257	56¢	$143	0x8cc8c3…
05-19 12:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	135	50¢	$67	0x367345…
05-19 12:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	124	54¢	$67	0x2bfcb0…
05-19 12:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	134	60¢	$80	0x21ee6b…