Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$145

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

126

Trades

351

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-30 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

53% 20% -$52

Crypto

28% 10% -$49

Politics

14% 31% -$41

Pop-Culture

3% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 33% $0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No		+7	$7	98¢	$7	+$0	10-30 11:00
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	No		-16	-$7	23¢	$-4	+$3	06-13 01:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	5	$199	200	100	+100	Down	+$0	08-28 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	7	$198	200	100	+100	Up	+$0	09-03 03:56
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?	7	$146	100	100	+0	Yes	-$37	06-13 07:45
will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	5	$101	150	100	+50	Yes	-$1	07-03 20:19
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	5	$99	150	50	+100	Down	$0	08-28 03:57
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	4	$99	100	50	+50	Up	$0	09-03 08:00
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	5	$99	100	100	+0	No	-$1	07-10 15:12
will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-16 05:20
will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	4	$95	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-12 12:24
will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	5	$94	50	50	+0	No	-$1	07-16 05:21
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	2	$93	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-13 06:52
BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	9	$92	147	47	+100	Up	+$1	09-03 07:57
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?	18	$90	66	66	+0	No	+$0	06-13 09:07
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	16	$83	160	160	+0	No	$0	07-12 12:24
will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	$0	06-13 04:09
will elon post crypto or bitcoin on x this week 20260703150058746	7	$76	60	60	+0	No	$0	07-13 01:55
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	5	$75	40	40	+0	Yes	+$4	02-24 07:18
will delta air lines say cargo during earnings call 20260709172400996	3	$58	60	30	+30	Yes	+$1	07-10 14:27
will anyone say target during big brother e2 20260709220215497	3	$58	50	30	+20	Yes	-$1	07-13 08:17
will trump say police this week 20260703145736714	4	$56	40	20	+20	Yes	-$19	07-12 13:43
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	5	$50	200	0	+200	Down	$0	08-28 15:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	4	$50	200	0	+200	Up	$0	08-28 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$49	50	0	+50	Down	-$49	09-03 07:44
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 29 2026	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	01-29 17:18
will databricks valuation hit high 200 by july 31 20260629184745122	3	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-16 05:21
will perplexitys valuation hit high 20 by july 31 20260629184740280	4	$39	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-13 01:55
will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-13 07:50
will krakens valuation hit high 15 by july 31 20260629184742670	4	$39	20	20	-0	No	+$0	07-11 05:10
will bank of america say synergy during earnings call 20260710144833033	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-14 13:33
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-16 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:00:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x2da1c4…
09-03 11:42:39	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc4aad1…
09-03 08:00:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x71b063…
09-03 07:59:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xce0ed4…
09-03 07:57:49	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xac4e79…
09-03 07:57:21	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5117d1…
09-03 07:49:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xb477f2…
09-03 07:49:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1448eb…
09-03 07:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x522514…
09-03 07:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf8172e…
09-03 07:39:55	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6c5568…
09-03 07:39:52	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x5ef9e5…
09-03 07:39:33	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x59e946…
09-03 07:39:07	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb40f47…
09-03 07:38:28	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c1cf8…
09-03 07:04:22	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1bac81…
09-03 07:00:33	BNB Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x3df810…
09-03 04:00:04	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe2aac8…
09-03 04:00:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x571eb9…
09-03 04:00:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4f5426…
09-03 03:59:46	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x15edf6…
09-03 03:59:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x378bcb…
09-03 03:59:24	BNB Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd1f41c…
09-03 03:56:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf539db…
09-03 03:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x46af44…
09-03 03:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x25d658…
09-03 03:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb6dc0b…
09-03 03:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd74560…
09-03 03:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x2688ad…
09-03 03:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x3f31b8…
09-03 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xb296de…
09-03 03:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x10e447…
09-03 00:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x84eaa1…
09-03 00:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb1503b…
09-03 00:12:51	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xc7b200…
09-03 00:12:33	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1f3032…
09-03 00:12:31	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc83b9e…
08-28 23:59:37	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4d7306…
08-28 23:59:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8635ce…
08-28 23:57:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1ded3a…
08-28 23:56:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7b38ff…
08-28 23:55:48	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x00b015…
08-28 23:55:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x408d90…
08-28 15:59:51	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xba6a09…
08-28 15:59:34	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3d75bb…
08-28 15:59:31	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x269308…
08-28 15:59:21	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x46cbb1…
08-28 15:58:21	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd3ab3b…
08-28 15:57:10	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x450b79…
08-28 15:56:18	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xaa8314…
08-28 15:56:04	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb84e3e…
08-28 15:55:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x01f1be…
08-28 15:54:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8229af…
08-28 15:53:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf6317b…
08-28 15:51:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x07ae20…
08-28 15:51:36	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa811ab…
08-28 15:51:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6908de…
08-28 07:59:34	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa766ad…
08-28 07:59:16	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7aaf1a…
08-28 07:59:12	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5eb95f…
08-28 07:59:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4646be…
08-28 07:56:57	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4bde59…
08-28 07:56:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x970997…
08-28 07:56:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa389c5…
08-28 07:56:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xfd1c8c…
08-28 07:56:01	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x4917d3…
08-28 07:55:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x10a4a0…
08-28 03:59:46	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x66f1a5…
08-28 03:59:21	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x00ce6d…
08-28 03:58:39	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x928eb4…
08-28 03:57:55	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xe9713a…
08-28 03:57:30	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa8089b…
08-28 03:57:27	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x42c369…
08-28 03:56:31	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe63b0c…
08-28 03:56:28	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x0996ed…
08-28 03:55:34	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x72d844…
08-28 03:54:48	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xaae5c1…
08-28 03:54:04	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xedeae2…
08-28 03:53:37	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb7bbb9…
08-28 03:51:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9a70e1…
08-28 03:51:45	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x13f343…
08-28 03:48:31	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x16ec00…
08-28 03:46:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xeed233…
08-28 03:42:25	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x894f5a…
08-28 03:42:24	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0d1c56…
08-28 03:41:24	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x66f49d…
08-28 03:41:22	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x67143f…
08-28 03:40:55	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd45e92…
08-28 03:40:28	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd49e7f…
08-28 03:40:27	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd7c76b…
08-28 03:37:34	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x507c86…
08-28 03:36:54	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xeb09a6…
07-16 07:03:59	Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x7a99ed…
07-16 07:03:10	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x43f9b4…
07-16 05:21:55	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc46de2…
07-16 05:21:29	will databricks valuation hit high 200 by july 31 20260629184745122	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb92640…
07-16 05:21:11	will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x6c8986…
07-16 05:20:53	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xe537dd…
07-15 23:31:08	will databricks valuation hit high 200 by july 31 20260629184745122	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1ef385…
07-15 23:31:01	will databricks valuation hit high 200 by july 31 20260629184745122	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2b8deb…