Staid-Fault — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$8.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-02 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

71% — —

Other

27% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$2.0K	1,045	1,045	+0	open	—	03-26 09:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.1K	585	585	+0	open	—	03-25 12:52
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	03-25 18:05
will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	open	—	03-25 20:04
will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	open	—	03-26 08:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.0K	546	546	+0	open	—	03-25 13:05
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	530	530	+0	open	—	03-25 14:11
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$51	0	56	-56	open	—	02-15 20:46
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-18 09:02
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 08:41
will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-29 14:13
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-04 21:11
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 13:46
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	02-19 08:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 20:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-05 19:32
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	02-15 20:55
will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-02 08:00
ucl bvb1 ata1 2026 02 17 bvb1	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-17 21:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-18 05:59
will the lincoln lawyer season 4 be the top us netflix show this week	2	$3	43	43	+0	open	—	02-17 18:46
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-02 20:10
infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	01-25 12:23
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-09 10:40
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-19 19:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 19:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	03-09 10:14
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	3	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	02-08 08:01
lal vil ala 2026 01 10 vil	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	01-10 16:25
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	2	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	03-15 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:13:17	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x8b5bf4…
07-02 08:11:53	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x1c8479…
07-02 08:11:22	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe175a0…
07-02 08:07:37	will solana reach 100 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc88249…
07-02 08:07:17	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x95908d…
07-02 08:07:01	will solana reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9fd21f…
07-02 08:01:35	will ethereum reach 1800 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfc7495…
07-02 08:00:52	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xc44510…
07-02 08:00:37	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x921288…
07-02 08:00:10	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xc00d3e…
06-27 20:59:56	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbad78c…
06-26 20:45:05	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x95d00a…
06-20 17:36:05	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x17b9f0…
06-20 17:35:47	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x78ec5b…
06-19 20:08:01	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x30985a…
06-17 20:41:07	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4c1c40…
06-16 20:16:58	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x77755c…
06-15 21:08:22	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x5b1413…
06-15 21:07:36	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x830397…
06-08 08:33:42	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x26e59b…
06-08 08:33:21	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4f873f…
06-08 08:31:52	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9104c1…
06-04 19:18:46	will ethereum reach 2300 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfe08c0…
06-04 19:18:25	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x57ece5…
06-04 19:18:09	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xc4ffe0…
06-04 19:14:51	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xdac7d3…
06-04 19:14:31	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x06aba6…
06-04 19:14:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x17449e…
05-30 19:51:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x5c7bd6…
05-30 16:17:35	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc75f32…
05-30 15:31:48	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xb0bee7…
05-29 08:42:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x4ecde7…
05-20 19:06:08	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x265f03…
05-19 18:39:14	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc762a3…
05-18 19:20:43	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf28163…
05-18 05:59:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x405150…
05-17 20:23:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x8c286e…
05-17 20:21:48	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x88054d…
05-16 10:53:06	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf8b853…
05-16 10:52:45	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x4517d0…
05-16 10:52:11	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x80f8a5…
05-12 18:05:31	Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe7da63…
05-09 16:51:16	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x949851…
05-09 16:32:25	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcae61b…
05-07 06:25:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb532b3…
05-05 10:00:16	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd6d579…
05-04 13:55:14	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xac18b4…
05-04 13:49:24	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xf0ab27…
05-04 13:47:58	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xedf1a7…
05-04 13:46:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x650601…
05-02 20:15:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb79095…
05-02 20:13:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xb4aad4…
05-02 20:13:30	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4c3f2e…
05-02 20:10:22	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x8898f7…
05-02 20:09:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xaaad88…
05-01 08:41:22	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x7dcf69…
04-30 19:15:46	SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xec2a77…
04-30 19:14:18	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2e866d…
04-30 12:41:24	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xcef869…
04-29 19:15:06	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc66dcc…
04-28 19:15:36	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdd6b80…
04-28 17:22:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7cfd15…
04-25 20:12:42	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x729488…
04-25 19:40:26	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x33df2e…
04-25 19:07:56	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x141d67…
04-24 10:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xb2ecdc…
04-23 18:32:16	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x437d14…
04-21 20:08:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6b579c…
04-16 19:19:40	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x617ba3…
04-15 19:55:56	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0x00b370…
04-15 19:11:54	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1ad66f…
04-13 15:02:23	will vitality win iem rio 2026	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc239fb…
04-13 14:47:19	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 btts	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xe0280f…
04-11 10:46:31	lal rso ala 2026 04 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7a773b…
04-10 18:44:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x625552…
04-09 19:36:05	uel scf cel4 2026 04 09 btts	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x260139…
04-09 19:15:35	col shd az 2026 04 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x1fa4f0…
04-08 19:49:57	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 btts	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa11f04…
04-08 19:48:29	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x98775d…
04-08 19:02:09	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x95a787…
04-05 19:32:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe40ab0…
04-05 19:11:51	sea int rom 2026 04 05 btts	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x42f222…
04-04 14:39:25	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc8ef6b…
04-04 14:12:07	bun hof mai 2026 04 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x72f797…
04-04 06:31:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa807c5…
04-04 06:30:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x792df8…
04-04 06:29:23	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb9fdd0…
04-04 06:28:51	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb6fcfa…
04-04 06:28:31	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x01cf89…
04-03 08:22:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfb50ad…
03-31 20:26:13	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xacca15…
03-31 20:08:47	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xce34d1…
03-31 19:08:51	will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x17a168…
03-31 13:28:13	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xf849f9…
03-29 14:13:36	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb36473…
03-27 07:29:09	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x069fc1…
03-26 20:30:57	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbfb19e…
03-26 20:08:27	uef cze ire 2026 03 26 btts	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x94e28f…
03-26 20:03:47	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x75a9ca…
03-26 09:17:33	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	514	98¢	$502	0x20c41d…