Staid-Fault — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

3.3%

Resolved

244

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$8.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-08 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Sports

70% 29% -$3

Other

28% 69% -$6

Crypto

2% 78% +$3

Politics

0% 67% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+2	$1	63¢	$1	+$0	10-27 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$2.0K	1,045	1,045	+0	No	-$2	03-26 09:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.1K	585	585	+0	No	-$1	03-25 12:52
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	No	-$1	03-25 18:05
will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	No	-$1	03-25 20:04
will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	No	-$1	03-26 08:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.0K	546	546	+0	Yes	-$1	03-25 13:05
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	530	530	+0	No	-$1	03-25 14:11
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$51	0	56	-56	Yes	-$4	02-15 20:46
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	02-18 09:02
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-01 08:41
will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	3	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	03-29 14:13
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	3	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-25 09:22
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$5	10	0	+10	No	+$4	03-04 21:11
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-04 13:46
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	02-19 08:33
will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	07-06 07:34
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-21 20:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-05 19:32
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	-$2	02-15 20:55
ucl bvb1 ata1 2026 02 17 bvb1	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	02-17 21:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	05-18 05:59
will the lincoln lawyer season 4 be the top us netflix show this week	2	$3	43	43	+0	No	+$1	02-17 18:46
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-02 20:10
infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	01-25 12:23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-10 17:15
will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-13 18:41
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	01-09 10:40
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-19 19:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-30 19:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	-$3	03-09 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 20:12:07	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9a3551…
11-04 20:49:06	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa5ac2e…
11-04 19:55:43	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf0170b…
11-04 19:54:10	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x82ad88…
11-01 15:29:49	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x32a97f…
10-27 19:06:20	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6603e3…
10-27 19:04:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbb3ad5…
10-21 20:00:00	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfb8e94…
10-21 18:35:21	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x30cadf…
10-13 20:12:57	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8406d1…
10-13 20:09:37	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xed0364…
10-13 19:39:22	RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x88b193…
10-13 19:30:07	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x03d8ff…
10-13 16:33:25	Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7b8e5b…
10-11 14:49:22	SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9e38aa…
10-06 18:10:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1ac8fe…
10-05 05:38:43	will bitcoin reach 95k in october 2026	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x862365…
10-05 05:38:14	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5825b7…
10-05 05:37:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x419523…
10-05 05:36:59	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x8b7f91…
10-05 05:35:49	will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xf99c90…
10-04 19:58:58	Netherlands vs. Serbia: Netherlands O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x680ade…
10-03 15:47:54	Croatia vs. England: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe9fb39…
10-02 09:28:20	Over $45M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4e16f2…
09-24 19:56:21	Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x990589…
09-24 19:55:30	Netherlands vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x41ef08…
09-09 19:00:49	Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1d0ba4…
09-08 20:07:01	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x76efa2…
09-06 10:46:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x9fc2ca…
09-06 10:46:21	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xc763f2…
09-06 10:45:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x0ce465…
09-06 10:44:43	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x5d6efd…
09-06 10:44:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xcac122…
09-06 10:42:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x579924…
09-06 10:42:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x1ac495…
09-06 10:42:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xac87f8…
09-06 10:41:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x894b35…
09-06 10:33:06	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xbed60b…
08-26 18:21:39	NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x39ae08…
08-22 14:23:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x0f8080…
08-22 14:22:48	ere sit az 2026 08 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4a721a…
08-18 20:16:58	ucl din vf 2026 08 18 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x2a5eeb…
08-12 19:52:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xa36b69…
08-12 19:26:16	usc psg av 2026 08 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdad508…
08-03 08:30:09	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa85e84…
08-03 08:29:42	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf324e7…
08-03 08:29:21	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x754269…
08-03 08:20:17	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x06dcae…
08-02 21:02:30	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xa6c384…
08-02 21:01:48	will ethereum reach 2400 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x10b7f1…
08-02 21:01:21	will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x1e0f10…
08-02 20:58:15	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc1f780…
08-02 20:57:29	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb6d9fc…
07-31 09:15:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x471399…
07-26 19:31:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4e2fd8…
07-26 19:30:36	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd57dde…
07-25 09:22:03	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x5175ce…
07-21 08:03:01	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa5e034…
07-19 20:38:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x45ccbb…
07-19 19:15:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd5c418…
07-18 21:09:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4145a1…
07-15 19:36:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xab2d4b…
07-14 19:27:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x03ce5c…
07-13 18:42:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x58b4b4…
07-13 18:41:37	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x401fda…
07-13 18:40:16	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xdcec5d…
07-11 22:52:25	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xdf7bf4…
07-11 21:42:38	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8cb8ee…
07-11 15:15:55	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcbf1ba…
07-09 21:15:53	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbe4b7e…
07-06 07:39:23	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd952bd…
07-06 07:37:05	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc6a670…
07-06 07:35:34	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbab9bc…
07-06 07:35:14	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x799b63…
07-06 07:34:49	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xaf7d56…
07-06 07:34:16	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb0db39…
07-05 21:11:58	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x531112…
07-05 20:04:19	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf2c434…
07-02 08:13:17	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x8b5bf4…
07-02 08:11:53	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x1c8479…
07-02 08:11:22	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe175a0…
07-02 08:07:37	will solana reach 100 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc88249…
07-02 08:07:17	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x95908d…
07-02 08:07:01	will solana reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9fd21f…
07-02 08:01:35	will ethereum reach 1800 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfc7495…
07-02 08:00:52	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xc44510…
07-02 08:00:37	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x921288…
07-02 08:00:10	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xc00d3e…
06-29 21:38:50	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x45cd6c…
06-27 20:59:56	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbad78c…
06-26 20:45:05	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x95d00a…
06-20 17:36:05	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x17b9f0…
06-20 17:35:47	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x78ec5b…
06-19 20:08:01	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x30985a…
06-17 20:41:07	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4c1c40…
06-16 20:16:58	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x77755c…
06-15 21:08:22	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x5b1413…
06-15 21:07:36	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x830397…
06-08 08:33:42	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x26e59b…
06-08 08:33:21	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4f873f…