Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$183

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

750

Trades

1,116

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 11-01 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

78% 52% +$215

Politics

17% 54% -$14

Sports

3% 25% -$57

Tech

1% 67% +$26

Crypto

1% 50% +$19

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+21	$8	30¢	$6	-$2	09-22 04:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	+7	$5	82¢	$6	+$1	10-05 01:33
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	+17	$5	13¢	$2	-$3	10-09 12:45
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+20	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	08-10 02:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5?	5	$31	34	13	+21	No	-$5	08-05 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?	2	$24	19	19	+0	No	+$14	08-04 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7?	2	$23	19	19	+0	No	+$14	08-07 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 27?	2	$22	17	17	+0	Yes	+$12	07-27 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4?	2	$20	15	15	+0	Yes	+$10	08-04 09:57
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall?	2	$20	15	15	+0	No	+$10	08-07 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?	4	$19	13	13	+0	Yes	+$6	08-05 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	08-08 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	08-12 13:30
will jd vance say inflation during his remarks in ohio	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	08-21 17:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3?	3	$16	11	11	+0	No	+$6	08-03 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 17?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	08-17 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 17?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	08-17 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	6	$16	14	14	+0	Yes	+$6	07-30 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8?	5	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	08-08 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?	5	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	08-10 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	08-07 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?	4	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	08-02 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	08-12 13:30
will trump say border 15 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234679	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	08-14 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	08-03 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	07-27 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	08-08 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	3	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	08-17 13:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$14	36	36	+0	Yes	-$5	10-12 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	3	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	08-17 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	08-03 10:30
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 20?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	08-20 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 27?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	07-27 15:45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	08-02 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:03:31	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xab2831…
11-01 03:57:22	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x576844…
11-01 03:36:12	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x7ab000…
10-31 20:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x74665d…
10-31 19:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbebf4a…
10-31 16:11:19	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xb30cd1…
10-31 15:12:24	lowest temperature in mexico city on november 2 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x13bf9a…
10-31 06:45:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x810a1a…
10-31 01:10:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0xd2027e…
10-31 01:02:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x3e3f6f…
10-31 00:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4c0cf7…
10-31 00:21:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xbd1f87…
10-31 00:11:00	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x755195…
10-30 23:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6f1c1a…
10-30 23:20:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xf5506f…
10-30 22:52:46	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x39e1f6…
10-30 22:52:37	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x90739f…
10-30 21:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xd75e1a…
10-30 20:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x5bbcf5…
10-30 20:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x3f90fa…
10-30 17:52:25	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x142bb4…
10-30 04:51:15	Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x714432…
10-30 04:51:06	Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x825d9f…
10-29 16:09:04	Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x7c1bb7…
10-29 15:04:13	Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x01ffc7…
10-28 19:28:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xb0a47e…
10-28 15:38:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x1aac25…
10-28 15:29:23	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0b747a…
10-28 15:29:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0252f8…
10-28 15:29:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x15bd93…
10-28 13:13:28	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcc3a37…
10-28 09:22:34	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xeb2e49…
10-28 08:59:01	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x320751…
10-28 06:29:08	lowest temperature in paris on october 30 2026 5c	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5b14fa…
10-28 05:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe6403f…
10-28 05:31:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x27a7ba…
10-28 02:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8033ea…
10-27 23:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbd0d87…
10-27 03:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x88bd34…
10-27 01:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdecdc8…
10-26 23:58:03	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x124a2f…
10-26 20:30:03	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x6c74e9…
10-26 19:07:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x869513…
10-26 16:36:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0cd623…
10-26 15:07:08	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xebc77a…
10-26 10:25:29	Will Robinhood say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8b70bf…
10-26 09:36:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x66933a…
10-26 05:38:06	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x117bc3…
10-26 05:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xcef94b…
10-26 00:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7c6870…
10-25 23:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x339191…
10-25 13:25:42	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4b5295…
10-25 07:15:32	lowest temperature in shanghai on october 27 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x05fb93…
10-25 03:14:14	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7b3108…
10-24 13:57:56	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x03daeb…
10-24 13:48:17	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xeed45b…
10-24 12:30:29	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xd880cc…
10-24 11:49:51	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3bd8aa…
10-24 11:11:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xe62020…
10-24 11:11:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdae918…
10-24 11:11:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xac4904…
10-24 11:11:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x6ea8c5…
10-24 10:29:59	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x37db08…
10-23 15:05:06	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xff43d9…
10-23 14:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xab00c1…
10-23 14:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x88a6ec…
10-23 13:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x204010…
10-23 13:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x1292d6…
10-23 07:03:17	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xed110c…
10-23 06:15:17	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x7cb3a8…
10-23 06:15:15	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x15fe38…
10-21 22:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfb917a…
10-21 16:04:30	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x856a62…
10-21 14:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa1538c…
10-21 12:19:32	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xa02861…
10-21 08:45:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x87062f…
10-21 03:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x3cc164…
10-20 16:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8f14a7…
10-20 16:11:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x70c837…
10-20 15:14:54	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x089105…
10-20 13:45:03	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6ececd…
10-20 13:45:02	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xacc1ae…
10-20 09:25:02	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbc036e…
10-20 08:14:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x282953…
10-19 18:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0136e6…
10-19 14:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x642b84…
10-19 14:35:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xb7e926…
10-19 14:14:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x807c54…
10-19 13:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd66981…
10-19 11:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf34f90…
10-19 10:45:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4ea1a3…
10-19 02:14:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x54cbe7…
10-19 01:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xac971a…
10-18 23:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4eca13…
10-18 22:24:35	Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3743d5…
10-18 22:08:59	Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb89adb…
10-18 19:14:11	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x4442d5…
10-18 16:30:00	will trump say drag show during his midterm rally in kansas october 19	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4d1b80…
10-18 13:12:26	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5df138…
10-18 09:32:47	Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb12631…