Knowledgeable-Jail — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$557

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved (30d)

1,116

Trades (30d)

3,368

27,476 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$24.0K

$223.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-28 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 253 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% -$1,649

Other

0% 55% -$18

Politics

0% 22% -$65

Sports

0% 33% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	—	+20	$23	1¢	$0	-$22	10-28 18:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	21	$352	275	275	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	19	$330	215	260	-45	Up	-$10	05-08 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	9	$320	175	200	-25	Up	+$31	05-07 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 08:00 UTC	4	$282	169	166	+3	Up	+$37	04-19 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC	16	$247	151	151	+0	Down	+$13	06-12 14:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 12:00 UTC	10	$244	169	169	+0	Down	+$44	04-21 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	18	$240	175	180	-5	Down	+$58	05-08 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$218	126	126	+0	Down	+$31	09-11 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$206	112	112	-0	Down	+$6	05-02 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	9	$201	125	125	+0	Up	+$24	05-02 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	19	$200	118	100	+18	Up	+$11	05-09 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	11	$198	115	115	+0	Down	+$19	05-11 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	25	$197	121	130	-9	Down	+$25	05-10 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	39	$195	127	126	+1	Up	+$31	05-11 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 17:30 UTC	10	$192	81	146	-65	Down	+$6	04-23 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	13	$192	150	150	+0	Up	-$28	05-13 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:30 UTC	9	$191	122	122	+0	Down	+$51	09-16 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$190	117	117	+0	Up	+$40	09-08 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:30 UTC	5	$186	103	103	+0	Up	+$16	06-09 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	16	$184	100	135	-35	Down	+$57	05-14 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	19	$179	145	180	-35	Up	-$18	05-08 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$177	146	145	+1	Down	+$108	09-08 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	7	$173	98	115	-17	Up	+$31	05-04 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	5	$173	158	138	+20	Up	-$43	05-18 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$173	75	125	-50	Down	+$10	05-03 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	14	$171	100	100	+0	Up	+$27	06-02 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	12	$170	100	110	-10	Up	+$38	05-14 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	10	$170	125	125	+0	Down	+$31	05-08 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$169	131	131	+0	Up	+$91	09-15 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:25 UTC	13	$169	106	106	+0	Down	+$20	06-12 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x5981a1…
10-28 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	35	73¢	$26	0x2f0c5c…
10-28 18:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x02ee94…
10-28 18:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xbfc9de…
10-28 18:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3ea025…
10-28 18:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x425137…
10-28 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfc5bfc…
10-28 18:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x59cdf5…
10-28 18:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5fe3a9…
10-28 18:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8d3ef5…
10-28 18:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2b86b0…
10-28 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0xe1388d…
10-28 18:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0xa0aa7e…
10-28 18:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x628e79…
10-28 18:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xabcf04…
10-28 18:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x09e1a0…
10-28 18:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8ef152…
10-28 17:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x66be96…
10-28 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x695544…
10-28 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x38735b…
10-28 17:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x49fe7f…
10-28 17:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x2feab9…
10-28 17:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x3813a0…
10-28 17:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x400d72…
10-28 17:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x34599b…
10-28 17:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc36efa…
10-28 17:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x78f06a…
10-28 17:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7fb743…
10-28 16:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x47201a…
10-28 16:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x57f80c…
10-28 16:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6b667e…
10-28 16:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe01bfa…
10-28 16:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4478b2…
10-28 16:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x0b421f…
10-28 16:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d584a…
10-28 16:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5cefae…
10-28 16:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x163917…
10-28 16:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x814f35…
10-28 16:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x608db9…
10-28 16:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf90d64…
10-28 16:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x122eac…
10-28 15:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x40a999…
10-28 15:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbd8287…
10-28 15:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x550db8…
10-28 15:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x59a185…
10-28 15:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x60f22c…
10-28 15:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf9f5ea…
10-28 15:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xa2d503…
10-28 15:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x72ce16…
10-28 15:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1af3eb…
10-28 15:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0x6f10ed…
10-28 15:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9e487a…
10-28 15:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xeef8e2…
10-28 15:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xef8e17…
10-28 15:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x56304a…
10-28 15:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa6d5d2…
10-28 15:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x58b897…
10-28 15:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6e53ef…
10-28 15:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0d515a…
10-28 15:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x75325d…
10-28 15:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb696cc…
10-28 14:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x809329…
10-28 14:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x89ee99…
10-28 14:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xca0b31…
10-28 14:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6e15df…
10-28 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfef0b9…
10-28 14:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc0f68d…
10-28 14:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9f6fd1…
10-28 14:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9333f4…
10-28 14:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xcbf055…
10-28 14:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa234af…
10-28 14:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa49f4a…
10-28 14:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x770bd5…
10-28 14:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1668a8…
10-28 14:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x491866…
10-28 13:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x82a8ec…
10-28 13:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb6b978…
10-28 13:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbb2610…
10-28 13:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf393e3…
10-28 13:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5c285…
10-28 13:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4fd10f…
10-28 13:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x273bfd…
10-28 12:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd98b40…
10-28 12:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xde717a…
10-28 12:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xccb3b0…
10-28 11:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf7e0a6…
10-28 09:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x608d6c…
10-28 09:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x876d69…
10-28 09:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x545989…
10-28 09:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x22fbe9…
10-28 09:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5aaefe…
10-28 09:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb58458…
10-28 09:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x4e72b6…
10-28 09:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xaab460…
10-28 09:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc2b335…
10-28 07:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x403274…
10-28 06:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b2fc1…
10-28 06:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x19e270…
10-28 06:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa6af73…
10-28 06:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x38d4f5…