Unwilling-Person — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

462

lifetime

Volume

$2.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-22 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-69

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771504200	6	$51	45	45	+1	open	—	02-19 12:42
btc updown 15m 1771425000	4	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	02-18 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$39	28	28	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 15:04
bitcoin above 92k on january 19	3	$38	193	167	+26	open	—	01-19 13:08
btc updown 15m 1771416900	4	$38	50	49	+1	open	—	02-18 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$38	37	37	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 16:09
btc updown 15m 1771336800	6	$37	37	37	+0	open	—	02-17 14:13
btc updown 15m 1771423200	4	$35	35	34	+0	open	—	02-18 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$35	23	23	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 16:23
bitcoin above 92k on january 12	3	$33	30	30	+0	open	—	01-12 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$33	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$33	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$31	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$31	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	6	$28	46	46	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	3	$27	50	50	+0	open	—	02-02 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$26	31	10	+21	Down	$-14	05-09 17:11
btc updown 15m 1771502400	2	$25	28	27	+0	open	—	02-19 12:02
btc updown 15m 1771236000	6	$24	60	60	+0	open	—	02-16 10:09
btc updown 15m 1771495200	2	$23	28	27	+0	open	—	02-19 10:09
btc updown 15m 1771413300	4	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	02-18 11:29
btc updown 15m 1771497000	2	$23	25	25	+0	open	—	02-19 10:37
btc updown 15m 1771503300	2	$21	17	16	+0	open	—	02-19 12:25
btc updown 15m 1771240500	6	$21	20	19	+0	open	—	02-16 11:27
btc updown 15m 1771426800	2	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	02-18 15:01
btc updown 15m 1771582500	4	$21	19	19	+0	open	—	02-20 10:26
btc updown 15m 1771325100	4	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	02-17 10:55
btc updown 15m 1771411500	4	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	02-18 10:59
btc updown 15m 1771329600	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	02-17 12:07
bitcoin above 70k on february 7	4	$19	23	23	+0	open	—	02-06 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 12:41:51	btc updown 5m 1784724000	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x824952…
07-22 12:34:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x972345…
07-22 12:33:28	eth updown 5m 1784723400	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xf8eccd…
07-22 12:32:09	eth updown 5m 1784723400	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7ac47f…
07-22 12:23:06	eth updown 5m 1784722800	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xaf68bb…
07-22 12:21:24	eth updown 5m 1784722800	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6d7ae0…
07-22 12:17:18	eth updown 5m 1784722500	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6a684b…
07-22 12:05:54	eth updown 5m 1784721900	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe266b1…
07-22 11:14:15	eth updown 5m 1784718600	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x125cae…
07-22 11:13:36	eth updown 5m 1784718600	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb8897…
07-22 09:54:43	eth updown 5m 1784713800	Up	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x176859…
07-22 09:51:18	eth updown 5m 1784713800	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5cd186…
07-22 09:08:01	eth updown 5m 1784711100	Up	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xecdebe…
07-22 09:05:51	eth updown 5m 1784711100	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9a4842…
07-21 08:33:43	bitcoin above 66400 on july 21 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc79ef0…
07-20 16:39:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x2aaec2…
07-20 16:33:40	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf7852b…
07-18 15:37:28	btc updown 5m 1784388900	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6ac85a…
07-18 15:31:19	btc updown 5m 1784388600	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3437f7…
07-18 15:25:36	btc updown 5m 1784388300	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6e5008…
07-18 15:24:37	btc updown 5m 1784388000	Down	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xa83117…
07-18 15:22:15	btc updown 5m 1784388000	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x58cabb…
07-18 15:19:45	btc updown 5m 1784387700	Up	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x0f19a0…
07-18 15:19:37	btc updown 5m 1784387700	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x043638…
07-18 15:04:09	btc updown 5m 1784386800	Up	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x9beca6…
07-18 15:02:31	btc updown 5m 1784386800	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x4243b0…
07-18 14:56:12	btc updown 5m 1784386500	Up	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0xfc4f8c…
07-18 14:55:57	btc updown 5m 1784386500	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xefe37f…
07-18 14:53:04	btc updown 5m 1784386200	Up	SELL	13	42¢	$5	0x7cdc97…
07-18 14:51:24	btc updown 5m 1784386200	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xc8edce…
07-18 14:49:52	btc updown 5m 1784385900	Up	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0xe58234…
07-18 14:48:52	btc updown 5m 1784385900	Up	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xa179c7…
07-18 14:46:10	btc updown 5m 1784385900	Up	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x18d29f…
07-18 14:45:49	btc updown 5m 1784385900	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7e75ba…
07-18 14:33:16	btc updown 5m 1784385000	Down	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0x6ab890…
07-18 14:32:15	btc updown 5m 1784385000	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x27106a…
07-18 12:52:34	btc updown 5m 1784379000	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xd87ea2…
07-18 12:52:04	btc updown 5m 1784379000	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfa8b9f…
07-18 06:27:39	btc updown 5m 1784355900	Up	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xa0eb1c…
07-18 06:27:16	btc updown 5m 1784355900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb1e4d7…
07-18 06:22:54	btc updown 5m 1784355600	Down	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xfd5a1f…
07-18 06:22:18	btc updown 5m 1784355600	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x725023…
07-18 05:54:00	btc updown 5m 1784353800	Down	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x9752b4…
07-18 05:53:39	btc updown 5m 1784353800	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x1c3c4e…
07-18 05:46:42	btc updown 5m 1784353500	Down	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x10feda…
07-18 05:46:27	btc updown 5m 1784353500	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfa09a3…
07-18 05:29:37	btc updown 5m 1784352300	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa91373…
07-17 16:02:36	btc updown 5m 1784304000	Up	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x291ae4…
07-17 16:02:07	btc updown 5m 1784304000	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa0d136…
07-15 20:54:17	btc updown 5m 1784148600	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x61df90…
07-15 20:51:31	btc updown 5m 1784148600	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbe1979…
07-15 20:47:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x3b1da1…
07-10 21:09:16	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9adbf5…
07-10 21:07:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb04208…
05-09 17:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x97e6cd…
05-09 17:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x3d5df8…
05-09 17:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0xe9e3c0…
05-09 17:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6b50e5…
05-09 17:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x97fe7f…
05-09 17:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4e975e…
05-09 17:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xf66e0a…
05-09 17:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x3b46e9…
05-09 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xff4b8c…
05-09 17:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x3252ba…
05-09 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xaa3ccb…
05-09 17:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6be0b2…
05-09 17:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$3	0xdb21af…
05-09 17:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x5f74cb…
05-09 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x40306e…
05-09 17:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x7b3dee…
05-09 17:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf02fe4…
05-09 17:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb19368…
05-09 17:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x0b7899…
05-09 17:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x85c3b3…
05-09 16:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x8694e1…
05-09 16:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6f0453…
05-09 16:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xfd3443…
05-09 16:24:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf09b2a…
05-09 16:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0x6143ee…
05-09 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x127ea3…
05-09 16:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x117f80…
05-09 16:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xda1231…
05-09 16:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x4fde3a…
05-09 16:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xc46f0f…
05-09 16:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x96213f…
05-09 16:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x29a6a2…
05-09 16:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x6fef95…
05-09 16:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf8566f…
05-09 16:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0xfd36c7…
05-09 16:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2ee3a6…
05-09 15:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x97b46d…
05-09 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa51515…
05-09 15:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x5c226d…
05-09 15:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x832d6e…
05-09 15:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xdfaff7…
05-09 15:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x393296…
05-09 15:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	25¢	$5	0xd69ee8…
05-09 15:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x24cd4f…
05-09 15:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xe36da1…
05-09 15:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe74de5…