Known-Curriculum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-05 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

44% 65% -$23

Politics

33% 62% -$32

Sports

17% 33% -$20

Tech

3% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+28	$15	37¢	$10	-$5	08-09 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$50	52	38	+14	Yes	-$10	02-02 14:52
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$46	70	75	-6	Yes	-$7	01-15 18:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$43	27	27	+0	No	+$3	01-26 14:19
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$41	26	26	+0	No	+$4	01-26 14:19
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 31	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	01-15 18:51
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	3	$34	38	0	+38	Yes	+$4	06-27 15:46
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	4	$32	19	16	+3	Yes	-$1	06-27 15:16
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$30	18	15	+3	No	+$3	04-26 07:45
uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 rom1	2	$30	20	19	+1	No	+$1	03-19 20:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$30	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	06-20 00:04
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	02-22 16:22
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 90 114	2	$21	26	26	+0	No	-$3	01-14 08:29
sea mil lec 2026 01 18 mil	1	$20	26	0	+26	Yes	+$6	01-18 19:57
will hubert hurkacz win the 2026 australian open	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-22 04:26
wta badosa kraus 2026 06 20	2	$20	40	0	+40	cancelled	+$0	06-20 12:03
Mexico to score first vs. Korea Republic?	2	$20	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	06-19 00:53
nhl stl nsh 2026 02 02	2	$20	11	11	+0	Predators	$0	02-03 02:12
mlb col ari 2026 08 12 total 8pt5	3	$16	28	28	+0	Over	-$9	08-12 21:42
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	+$3	03-06 21:44
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	+$4	04-24 18:06
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	1	$15	30	0	+30	Natus Vincere	-$15	10-05 13:27
atp moutet hurkacz 2026 08 13	1	$15	30	0	+30	cancelled	+$0	08-12 17:12
itc int com 2026 04 21 com	1	$15	28	0	+28	No	-$15	04-21 20:08
mlb mil sd 2026 08 12	1	$15	31	0	+31	San Diego Padres	+$16	08-12 19:41
por ben acv 2026 08 09 spread home 2pt5	1	$15	33	0	+33	Académico de Viseu FC	-$15	08-09 18:54
nfl ten sf 2026 08 14	1	$15	22	0	+22	Titans	+$7	08-13 14:19
mlb col ari 2026 08 10 total 8pt5	1	$15	31	0	+31	Over	-$15	08-10 17:45
mlb phi stl 2026 08 10 total 9pt5	1	$15	27	0	+27	Over	-$15	08-10 21:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$15	27	0	+27	Yes	-$15	06-13 05:14
col spp az 2026 03 19 az	1	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	03-19 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 13:27:32	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	9z	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xddbefe…
09-29 08:05:54	wta marcink frech 2026 09 29 set handicap home 1pt5	Petra Marcinko	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4be994…
08-13 14:19:48	nfl ten sf 2026 08 14	Titans	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x7d3a5d…
08-12 21:42:01	mlb col ari 2026 08 12 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0xb1f000…
08-12 19:41:07	mlb mil sd 2026 08 12	San Diego Padres	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x70ad4f…
08-12 19:38:42	mlb col ari 2026 08 12 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x16f20a…
08-12 19:29:19	mlb col ari 2026 08 12 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x35cb46…
08-12 17:12:48	atp moutet hurkacz 2026 08 13	Corentin Moutet	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x5aadaf…
08-11 07:33:54	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0bd87f…
08-11 02:18:00	mlb nym atl 2026 08 10	New York Mets	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1cfcf4…
08-11 01:40:25	mlb tex laa 2026 08 10	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xde135b…
08-10 21:19:45	mlb phi stl 2026 08 10 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x5a203b…
08-10 19:55:07	mlb kc lad 2026 08 10 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xff07ec…
08-10 17:45:39	mlb col ari 2026 08 10 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x837337…
08-09 18:54:31	por ben acv 2026 08 09 spread home 2pt5	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x7fd17e…
08-09 17:03:39	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5c34b4…
08-09 15:39:28	mlb lad ari 2026 08 09	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x0da831…
08-09 13:31:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x0e45c0…
08-09 11:38:49	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x8b89a8…
06-28 15:42:28	atp bellucc svajda 2026 06 29	Zachary Svajda	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x47eb31…
06-27 22:02:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbcc2fe…
06-27 19:32:02	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x336d26…
06-27 15:46:32	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x560402…
06-27 15:16:17	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x6f7edf…
06-27 15:14:22	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xa90d7f…
06-27 15:11:41	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x0bfc09…
06-27 15:11:38	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xcde688…
06-27 14:34:38	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x411e20…
06-26 23:51:41	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2c24cd…
06-26 01:03:13	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xc7cf57…
06-24 10:34:11	wta sonmez bejlek 2026 06 24 set handicap home 1pt5	Sonmez	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x587790…
06-23 21:40:04	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x2c3cd0…
06-20 12:04:35	wta badosa kraus 2026 06 20 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x29e581…
06-20 12:03:46	wta badosa kraus 2026 06 20	Sinja Kraus	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x3a1906…
06-20 12:03:37	wta badosa kraus 2026 06 20	Sinja Kraus	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x122eea…
06-20 00:04:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x39503f…
06-20 00:02:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xc81cfd…
06-19 18:14:02	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xeeca48…
06-19 00:53:38	Mexico to score first vs. Korea Republic?	Yes	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x7af841…
06-19 00:35:56	Mexico to score first vs. Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x995656…
06-16 00:20:25	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc7bbfc…
06-15 04:10:28	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x81f3f2…
06-14 21:57:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0x15b806…
06-14 13:12:03	wta jovic pliskov 2026 06 15	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4b87d5…
06-14 08:15:31	wta bartunk gauff 2026 06 15	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x96a9de…
06-13 05:14:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x856854…
06-12 06:04:16	will lamine yamal score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932022	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x3442b2…
06-10 14:30:55	dota2 carst grind 2026 06 10	Carstensz	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xde3a9e…
06-10 12:55:45	dota2 carst grind 2026 06 10	Carstensz	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xabe163…
06-10 12:51:33	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	Ursa	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa58271…
06-10 12:51:33	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	HEROIC Academy	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x87f418…
06-09 12:12:40	wta stojsav kostyuk 2026 06 08	Mika Stojsavljevic	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd3e160…
05-28 07:37:48	Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Vacherot	Vacherot	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x23de09…
05-28 06:16:38	Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Vacherot	Vacherot	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x780db3…
05-27 04:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4dfd5f…
05-27 00:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 28?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9531ff…
05-24 22:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4d9a1f…
05-24 13:13:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x62a0c5…
05-24 07:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on May 25?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x43ef9f…
05-23 18:48:45	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x77eb4d…
05-23 16:42:31	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x18be8c…
05-22 03:09:04	Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x9d6df8…
04-30 03:14:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on May 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x449fc0…
04-29 20:01:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8d32bf…
04-26 23:10:56	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a1877…
04-26 07:45:44	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x70d7a8…
04-24 18:06:28	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xb871ed…
04-24 15:43:46	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xfba969…
04-21 20:08:14	itc int com 2026 04 21 com	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xc6b580…
04-20 00:42:40	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 26c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa01d3b…
04-10 16:03:55	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xed6074…
04-08 14:50:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x74bf27…
03-29 15:39:04	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x2092fa…
03-26 20:52:47	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x37ea56…
03-21 19:01:59	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x25f58e…
03-20 01:04:19	nhl chi min 2026 03 19	Wild	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe25b14…
03-19 21:08:55	col spp az 2026 03 19 az	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x719423…
03-19 20:49:13	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 rom1	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x288969…
03-19 20:47:45	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 rom1	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xeb6621…
03-15 17:55:27	will epstein be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4ed901…
03-15 17:55:17	will anthropic or claude be said at the oscars	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x5e4242…
03-13 14:25:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x5e5dc6…
03-10 02:03:25	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xee7b42…
03-08 04:55:31	f1 australian grand prix h2h norris vs piastri 2026 03 07	Norris	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4c4435…
03-07 14:38:35	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 2 8	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x26ebb8…
03-07 14:38:31	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x39551a…
03-06 21:44:15	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x790beb…
03-06 20:12:15	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 cel	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x911d8f…
03-06 15:17:59	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeabaf3…
03-06 15:10:45	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x411eb2…
03-05 06:12:53	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x4483ac…
02-25 06:34:12	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd03d4d…
02-24 06:55:28	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xecde8c…
02-24 06:43:02	ethereum above 2000 on february 24	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf547e4…
02-22 16:22:00	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xc08982…
02-22 05:19:42	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$11	0x6b5278…
02-11 15:59:05	bitcoin up or down on february 11	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf97b40…
02-06 07:37:29	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xad5865…
02-05 15:06:43	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0xfa06b7…
02-03 17:35:36	will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd1a14b…