Mad-Capitalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

600

Trades

6,855

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-02 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 9% +$36

Politics

46% — —

Other

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 355 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$2.0K	2,650	2,650	-0	open	—	03-31 00:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	18	$1.8K	7,437	7,437	+0	open	—	03-28 10:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	22	$1.5K	4,040	4,040	+0	open	—	04-02 22:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$615	38,783	36,502	+2,280	open	—	03-15 07:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$267	667	667	+0	open	—	03-30 13:16
btc updown 15m 1768503600	7	$196	246	72	+174	open	—	01-15 19:14
btc updown 15m 1768502700	6	$127	85	84	+1	open	—	01-15 18:57
eth updown 15m 1768514400	11	$124	189	189	+0	open	—	01-15 22:14
btc updown 15m 1768501800	6	$94	61	60	+1	open	—	01-15 18:38
sol updown 15m 1768514400	8	$93	98	97	+0	open	—	01-15 22:13
btc updown 15m 1768325400	4	$64	61	61	+1	open	—	01-13 17:44
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	39	$60	51	50	+1	open	—	04-18 13:44
eth updown 15m 1768510800	5	$52	133	132	+1	open	—	01-15 21:09
btc updown 15m 1768505400	10	$51	42	41	+1	open	—	01-15 19:41
sol updown 15m 1768511700	9	$46	175	175	+1	open	—	01-15 21:28
xrp updown 15m 1768515300	12	$36	512	220	+292	open	—	01-15 22:28
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	8	$34	30	40	-10	open	—	03-23 06:06
xrp updown 15m 1768516200	11	$33	127	126	+0	open	—	01-15 22:44
btc updown 15m 1769855400	10	$32	102	0	+102	open	—	01-31 10:41
sol updown 15m 1768509000	5	$28	109	109	+0	open	—	01-15 20:42
eth updown 15m 1768508100	7	$27	268	101	+167	open	—	01-15 20:25
btc updown 15m 1768314600	3	$27	12	20	-8	open	—	01-13 14:45
btc updown 15m 1768506300	5	$26	20	14	+5	open	—	01-15 19:59
will iraq qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$25	35	35	+0	open	—	03-22 20:18
xrp updown 15m 1768513500	2	$24	45	45	+0	open	—	01-15 21:51
eth updown 15m 1768340700	14	$23	56	0	+56	open	—	01-13 22:00
btc updown 15m 1768504500	4	$22	22	22	+0	open	—	01-15 19:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	8	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	05-28 20:27
btc updown 15m 1768518000	6	$22	51	50	+0	open	—	01-15 23:10
eth updown 15m 1768515300	8	$21	165	15	+150	open	—	01-15 22:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 09:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x08f7c6…
06-02 09:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa5fa5f…
06-02 08:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x9f2773…
06-02 08:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd50695…
06-02 08:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xf70048…
06-02 07:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x4a692f…
06-02 06:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xc66f41…
06-02 05:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x483945…
06-02 05:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x602f8c…
06-02 05:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xfb7889…
06-02 05:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x4ae2de…
06-02 05:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x267d9c…
06-02 04:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x3b799c…
06-02 04:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xba539a…
06-02 03:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x74a93f…
06-02 03:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe34686…
06-02 03:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x5fca07…
06-02 03:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x8bad5e…
06-02 03:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8d44c2…
06-02 03:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xaf33e6…
06-02 03:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5eb5ad…
06-02 02:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb0040c…
06-02 02:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xf59c25…
06-02 02:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0089a4…
06-02 02:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xc53153…
06-02 02:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xafab0a…
06-02 01:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x6682c6…
06-02 01:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xff6d34…
06-02 01:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xf4f94b…
06-02 01:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7dcbc5…
06-02 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x718461…
06-02 00:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xbc8d69…
06-02 00:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xeb247f…
06-02 00:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd2597a…
06-01 23:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd88711…
06-01 22:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x64b8f3…
06-01 22:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x93a6cc…
06-01 22:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x79f5b6…
06-01 21:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x30862b…
06-01 21:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x3973fe…
06-01 21:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x239070…
06-01 21:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2e5959…
06-01 20:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd1a7c7…
06-01 20:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x6cc3dc…
06-01 20:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xf912eb…
06-01 20:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x3dee24…
06-01 19:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa47311…
06-01 19:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x0d6ab7…
06-01 19:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x337e4a…
06-01 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x56366a…
06-01 19:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xab058c…
06-01 18:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x1bad65…
06-01 18:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2f1f92…
06-01 18:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2e35c1…
06-01 18:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xab0237…
06-01 17:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x170757…
06-01 17:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x28f21f…
06-01 17:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xd80370…
06-01 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa936a8…
06-01 16:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x3fca28…
06-01 16:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x91e3ba…
06-01 16:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x025a80…
06-01 16:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x373f4a…
06-01 15:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xcbc592…
06-01 15:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x719bbd…
06-01 15:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x28fde6…
06-01 15:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc6bdd9…
06-01 15:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x1f76e6…
06-01 15:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x26cd5d…
06-01 14:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x99af23…
06-01 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xd689c7…
06-01 14:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x23eafc…
06-01 14:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x7a034a…
06-01 14:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x49a851…
06-01 14:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xd41dd4…
06-01 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xc8efce…
06-01 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x1915b7…
06-01 14:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x221581…
06-01 14:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd105ce…
06-01 14:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xe10eaf…
06-01 14:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xfaae02…
06-01 14:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xc59958…
06-01 13:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x617d0c…
06-01 13:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xdf29d3…
06-01 13:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x0c4146…
06-01 13:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x8f09e3…
06-01 13:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xa20d61…
06-01 12:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb223c9…
06-01 12:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x766493…
06-01 12:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xdfb9e4…
06-01 12:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x829a6b…
06-01 12:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x141451…
06-01 12:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0dff83…
06-01 12:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2f7c83…
06-01 11:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x34522f…
06-01 11:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x31a7a1…
06-01 10:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa63e89…
06-01 10:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe1d4ad…
06-01 10:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x27d1d5…
06-01 09:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xca99b7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	840	$719.6K	88,893	04-06 12:08
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	821	$618.4K	54,844	03-31 17:34
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	782	$1.69M	142,588	03-22 20:39
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	741	$11.6K	2,247	04-01 17:20
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	718	$223.2K	43,588	03-22 20:39
(anonymous) 0x8c90…6e09	709	$166.1K	4,267	04-01 17:13
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	675	$209.5K	13,403	05-29 06:55
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	667	$25.2K	5,842	05-29 07:24