Severe-Culture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$201

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

954

Trades

2,321

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-24 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 68% -$250

Other

24% 44% +$49

Politics

0% 13% $0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+20	$9	5¢	$1	-$8	05-09 16:27
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		+10	$5	7¢	$1	-$4	05-12 14:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crict20lpl kan gal 2026 07 29	4	$1.0K	560	560	+0	Kandy Royals	+$111	07-29 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:05 UTC	2	$633	657	0	+657	Down	+$24	04-11 15:09
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	5	$525	410	410	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	+$86	05-07 18:44
crict20lpl jaf col 2026 07 28	4	$423	254	254	+0	Jaffna Kings	+$84	07-28 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:15 UTC	6	$387	327	216	+111	Down	+$96	04-11 12:19
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	2	$352	250	250	+0	Gujarat Titans	-$2	05-03 17:43
Global Super League: Desert Vipers vs Perth Scorchers XI	3	$318	200	200	+0	Desert Vipers	+$10	07-29 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 14:25 UTC	4	$309	246	136	+110	Down	+$15	04-11 14:29
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	4	$308	217	217	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$34	04-28 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 14:20 UTC	2	$301	309	0	+309	Up	+$5	04-11 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$296	201	201	+0	Down	+$36	05-09 09:34
crichundred tre lon 2026 07 26	14	$260	285	185	+100	Trent Rockets	+$34	07-26 19:16
Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Trinbago Knight Riders	2	$241	140	140	+0	Trinbago Knight Riders	+$39	09-06 03:47
Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	9	$218	294	94	+200	Jalandhar Warriors	+$84	09-03 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$216	127	125	+2	Up	+$18	04-27 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$213	117	117	+0	Down	+$13	04-30 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 14:30 UTC	10	$212	130	128	+2	Down	+$15	04-11 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$210	111	111	+0	Up	+$8	05-12 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$210	123	123	+0	Up	+$10	05-04 08:57
crickcl ari all 2026 08 29	5	$204	109	109	+0	Alleppey Ripples	+$14	08-29 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 01:50 UTC	1	$200	290	0	+290	Up	+$90	07-30 01:53
cricgsl guy per 2026 07 29	1	$192	229	0	+229	Perth Scorchers XI	-$192	07-30 01:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:30 UTC	7	$187	117	116	+1	Up	+$10	02-10 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$182	97	96	+1	Down	+$8	04-27 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:20 UTC	2	$180	105	105	+0	Down	+$28	07-28 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 13:30 UTC	1	$173	208	0	+208	Down	+$35	04-11 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:25 UTC	1	$168	300	0	+300	Up	-$168	07-30 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$156	99	99	+0	Down	+$16	05-08 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:00 UTC	4	$148	175	50	+125	Up	+$5	07-27 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:00 UTC	8	$143	200	0	+200	Down	+$57	07-28 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 09:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x88787f…
10-24 09:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7b8e17…
10-24 09:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0b0ba5…
10-24 09:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xff7c46…
10-03 16:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc77afe…
10-03 16:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x84d233…
09-30 06:42:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2ee41f…
09-30 06:16:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbe5ade…
09-24 08:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6ed3bf…
09-24 08:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2f3184…
09-24 08:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2a5047…
09-24 08:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf151b1…
09-07 02:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xe416ec…
09-07 02:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	59	22¢	$13	0x9637dd…
09-07 02:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x526f66…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xc0a574…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xa6622d…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x7c9b56…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	68	18¢	$12	0x799b43…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x69f437…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x5806c8…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x572438…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x21c7a7…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x1b312e…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0x187b1f…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x02d048…
09-07 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0097d5…
09-07 02:17:15	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs St. Lucia Kings	St. Lucia Kings	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf1b8b2…
09-07 02:17:15	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs St. Lucia Kings	St. Lucia Kings	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0xc96cd3…
09-07 02:17:15	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs St. Lucia Kings	St. Lucia Kings	BUY	185	8¢	$15	0x7419c7…
09-07 02:17:13	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs St. Lucia Kings	St. Lucia Kings	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0xc860ea…
09-07 02:17:09	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs St. Lucia Kings	St. Lucia Kings	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x31123c…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xf92e1b…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xece74c…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xcd0b04…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xa81d5c…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x64d043…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x36528b…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x14f451…
09-06 18:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xfcb86d…
09-06 18:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xa649f2…
09-06 18:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x19fd24…
09-06 17:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x8f3c83…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xe1a6ab…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xbef404…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xaf1f4a…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x912618…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x7a674f…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x74beb5…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x55ea20…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x487592…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x314881…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0x11eb11…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x0cdd77…
09-06 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x0a189d…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xf78854…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xec9937…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xdf88e0…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xcb1243…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc5c477…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbf3b56…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xbe7e8e…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xab47c9…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x99aa7c…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9519b7…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x71cced…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x6af39a…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x673b12…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x643881…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x56f2fb…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x42f677…
09-06 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x24f711…
09-06 17:08:58	T20 Asia Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	Bangladesh	BUY	160	62¢	$99	0x06aa56…
09-06 16:23:43	Uttar Pradesh T20: Lucknow Falcons vs Meerut Mavericks	Lucknow Falcons	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xe85b75…
09-06 16:23:24	Uttar Pradesh T20: Lucknow Falcons vs Meerut Mavericks	Lucknow Falcons	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x6edf5b…
09-06 15:54:12	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Ludhiana Lions vs Fazilka Falcons	Ludhiana Lions	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0x78ab23…
09-06 15:54:03	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Ludhiana Lions vs Fazilka Falcons	Ludhiana Lions	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xbb7bb1…
09-06 15:54:03	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Ludhiana Lions vs Fazilka Falcons	Ludhiana Lions	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x0a9abe…
09-06 15:54:01	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Ludhiana Lions vs Fazilka Falcons	Ludhiana Lions	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x787a58…
09-06 15:54:00	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Ludhiana Lions vs Fazilka Falcons	Ludhiana Lions	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x2aef0c…
09-06 15:53:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Ludhiana Lions vs Fazilka Falcons	Ludhiana Lions	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xccd82f…
09-06 15:53:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Ludhiana Lions vs Fazilka Falcons	Ludhiana Lions	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa8dc35…
09-06 15:47:03	Uttar Pradesh T20: Lucknow Falcons vs Meerut Mavericks	Lucknow Falcons	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0x190821…
09-06 15:40:12	Uttar Pradesh T20: Lucknow Falcons vs Meerut Mavericks	Lucknow Falcons	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xac785c…
09-06 15:03:46	Uttar Pradesh T20: Lucknow Falcons vs Meerut Mavericks	Lucknow Falcons	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0x00a1cb…
09-06 15:02:07	Uttar Pradesh T20: Lucknow Falcons vs Meerut Mavericks	Lucknow Falcons	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x0320a7…
09-06 03:47:27	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Trinbago Knight Riders	Trinbago Knight Riders	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x0dbea8…
09-06 03:22:13	Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Trinbago Knight Riders	Trinbago Knight Riders	BUY	140	72¢	$101	0xdbd2c7…
09-03 15:25:03	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Mohali Kings	Mohali Kings	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x117fe7…
09-03 10:44:54	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Jalandhar Warriors	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xaea96c…
09-03 10:41:10	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Jalandhar Warriors	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0x9b2f9a…
09-03 10:40:22	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Jalandhar Warriors	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8457c6…
09-03 10:40:21	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Jalandhar Warriors	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xf63a32…
09-03 10:40:21	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Jalandhar Warriors	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0x373712…
09-03 08:38:37	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Jalandhar Warriors	SELL	94	54¢	$51	0x6d1af4…
09-03 07:56:55	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Jalandhar Warriors	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x7857ca…
09-03 07:47:57	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Jalandhar Warriors	BUY	49	44¢	$22	0x61a4f6…
09-03 07:21:46	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Bathinda Royals vs Jalandhar Warriors	Jalandhar Warriors	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xcedaa9…
09-03 02:16:28	Caribbean Premier League: Trinbago Knight Riders vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	Trinbago Knight Riders	SELL	70	55¢	$38	0x6a2aa6…
09-03 01:12:28	Caribbean Premier League: Trinbago Knight Riders vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	Trinbago Knight Riders	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0x1ce820…