Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$1.67M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$9.22K

Open exposure

$862.1K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-15 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

80% 80% +$1,032

Other

20% 100% +$27,725

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+803,740	$735,753	92¢	$735.4K	-$331	10-15 01:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+109,240	$100,501	92¢	$101.0K	+$546	10-06 23:12
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+25,000	$22,750	90¢	$22.6K	-$125	10-06 19:25
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$2,661	86¢	$2.6K	-$81	10-15 01:14
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+13,907	$487	3¢	$452	-$35	10-07 14:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	121	$735.8K	803,740	0	+803,740	open	—	10-15 01:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	12	$329.1K	170,793	170,793	+0	No	-$2,671	03-03 17:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	20	$280.9K	153,659	154,034	-374	No	+$26,214	03-30 15:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	2	$100.5K	109,240	0	+109,240	open	—	10-06 23:12
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$50.4K	50,910	0	+50,910	Yes	+$506	02-03 00:07
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	7	$49.7K	25,427	25,427	+0	No	+$276	02-03 00:05
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$49.5K	25,537	25,537	+0	No	+$969	03-26 19:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$25.0K	25,397	0	+25,397	No	+$418	01-28 19:26
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	1	$22.8K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	10-06 19:25
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$11.5K	13,320	0	+13,320	Yes	+$1,810	03-03 17:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$9.1K	10,294	0	+10,294	No	+$1,235	03-11 19:12
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	1	$2.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-15 01:14
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	1	$2.0K	2,194	0	+2,194	open	—	10-15 01:12
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$487	13,907	0	+13,907	open	—	10-07 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 01:16:40	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	214,185	91¢	$194,909	0xc0c470…
10-15 01:14:50	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	89¢	$2,661	0xae0ed5…
10-15 01:12:31	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2,194	91¢	$2,004	0xf20f80…
10-10 23:30:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	154,554	91¢	$140,645	0xc94ca1…
10-07 19:08:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	35,000	92¢	$32,200	0xa240a1…
10-07 14:54:19	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13,907	4¢	$487	0x5483b6…
10-07 03:48:29	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8,288	92¢	$7,625	0xc899fb…
10-07 03:48:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20,000	92¢	$18,400	0xaea872…
10-07 03:47:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20,000	92¢	$18,400	0xe2772f…
10-07 03:46:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7,000	92¢	$6,440	0xf61fe8…
10-07 03:45:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0xe31dfa…
10-07 03:05:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfc96a7…
10-07 01:50:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,473	92¢	$1,355	0xcd7037…
10-07 01:44:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16,000	92¢	$14,720	0x0a3a73…
10-07 01:17:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xebab32…
10-07 00:45:08	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	625	92¢	$575	0x0e92cf…
10-07 00:13:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	525	92¢	$483	0x3071c5…
10-07 00:13:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	490	92¢	$451	0x01de7f…
10-07 00:13:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x0e5bfc…
10-06 23:51:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x73798d…
10-06 23:13:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xbcfd23…
10-06 23:12:49	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	79,240	92¢	$72,901	0xac00e0…
10-06 21:51:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x8ded6f…
10-06 21:25:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6e0fd2…
10-06 19:42:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x57c430…
10-06 19:25:54	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,000	91¢	$22,750	0xeb02e4…
10-06 18:14:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100,000	92¢	$92,000	0xd49e91…
10-06 17:42:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,000	92¢	$3,680	0x1feeef…
10-06 17:40:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,000	92¢	$3,680	0x621351…
10-06 16:50:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x0392dd…
10-06 15:56:06	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x84bed5…
10-06 15:44:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x9a5332…
10-06 15:33:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	93	92¢	$86	0xde1e11…
10-06 15:29:35	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,906	92¢	$3,593	0xf4fbb1…
10-06 15:26:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,500	92¢	$2,300	0xd957fe…
10-06 15:25:38	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0xcd49e0…
10-06 15:18:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,125	92¢	$4,715	0x8c20b1…
10-06 15:05:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xd61a0a…
10-06 13:58:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xc4cb67…
10-06 13:55:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xb71598…
10-06 13:51:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xfde96a…
10-06 13:49:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x62e4e2…
10-06 13:41:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,750	92¢	$3,450	0xe08984…
10-06 13:37:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,500	92¢	$2,300	0x7139b9…
10-06 13:36:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,500	92¢	$2,300	0xaf771d…
10-06 13:32:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,250	92¢	$1,150	0x181220…
10-06 13:30:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	993	92¢	$914	0x470b5b…
10-06 13:27:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	172	92¢	$158	0x08a20d…
10-06 12:45:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0xc7b8bf…
10-06 11:44:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x579527…
10-06 09:47:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,500	92¢	$2,300	0xf721aa…
10-06 09:18:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0xb5b518…
10-06 09:17:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	359	92¢	$330	0x102eb8…
10-06 09:11:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3d555b…
10-06 08:51:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x9b57d4…
10-06 08:37:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x39dd0d…
10-06 08:29:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x006f29…
10-06 08:29:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1bba99…
10-06 08:18:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x90df66…
10-06 08:18:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x61ed49…
10-06 08:12:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x80ab1c…
10-06 08:12:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x3ad7b2…
10-06 07:57:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xf3d5c7…
10-06 07:45:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,999	92¢	$1,839	0x9a2e4b…
10-06 07:45:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xb5e0ad…
10-06 07:30:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,694	92¢	$1,558	0xc2387e…
10-06 03:16:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x231a99…
10-06 02:45:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xd3221f…
10-06 01:44:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xf3c18d…
10-06 01:44:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0x6f86d9…
10-06 00:44:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,300	92¢	$3,036	0x7b6cd9…
10-05 22:50:04	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xfe5df5…
10-05 22:48:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x1089c3…
10-05 21:47:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd51c5c…
10-05 21:47:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x611c53…
10-05 19:35:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4ea4b3…
10-05 19:19:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0x86485c…
10-05 19:17:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,250	92¢	$1,150	0x685e32…
10-05 18:14:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,670	92¢	$3,377	0x301562…
10-05 18:06:41	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x56b059…
10-05 17:36:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	227	92¢	$209	0x8f0a4c…
10-05 17:34:53	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x9106b0…
10-05 17:30:35	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xc64372…
10-05 17:30:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x90ce47…
10-05 16:59:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0xa9bd1c…
10-05 16:52:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x9d9767…
10-05 16:38:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x21df69…
10-05 16:06:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	101	92¢	$93	0xdd09ca…
10-05 15:44:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x19ec0d…
10-05 14:00:04	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5423c8…
10-05 13:16:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0x0d7e4d…
10-05 13:01:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x7066a0…
10-05 11:46:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x79724b…
10-05 10:30:04	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0xba269a…
10-05 10:24:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3a32ad…
10-05 08:35:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0xb8db19…
10-05 08:35:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x9c01ff…
10-05 07:24:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x785139…
10-05 05:18:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xe4a642…
10-05 05:12:29	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x41c80b…