Numb-Creek — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$167

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-12 21:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% — —

Other

28% 100% +$2

Sports

17% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta join the US?	No		-173	$-166	96¢	$-167	$-1	06-02 06:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	11	$760	883	883	+0	open	—	06-07 21:44
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$729	370	370	+0	open	—	06-03 13:05
Iran leadership change by May 31?	6	$596	307	307	+0	open	—	05-26 04:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	7	$542	524	524	+0	open	—	06-05 22:46
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$530	268	268	+0	open	—	03-17 16:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	11	$525	624	624	+0	open	—	06-07 09:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	7	$484	272	272	+0	open	—	05-26 14:10
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$468	237	237	+0	open	—	04-16 21:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$431	1,630	1,630	+0	No	+$1	04-07 02:32
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$387	363	193	+170	open	—	05-31 05:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$376	528	528	+0	open	—	06-06 14:36
Iran leadership change by June 30?	5	$376	314	314	+0	open	—	06-05 03:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$368	210	210	+0	open	—	06-09 23:41
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$363	187	187	+0	open	—	03-31 16:08
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$358	181	181	+0	open	—	04-05 13:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	3	$349	178	178	+0	open	—	05-20 15:12
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	10	$347	501	501	+0	open	—	04-17 23:54
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$337	181	181	+0	open	—	03-21 08:44
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$337	172	172	+0	open	—	03-18 06:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$329	169	169	+0	open	—	04-08 19:09
Iran Nuke before 2027?	3	$304	169	169	+0	open	—	06-09 01:59
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$263	136	136	+0	open	—	03-19 10:26
Will Alberta join the US?	7	$192	307	480	-173	open	—	06-02 06:25
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	2	$183	234	0	+234	open	—	06-13 01:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$144	246	246	+0	open	—	06-05 15:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$73	158	158	+0	open	—	05-25 18:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$67	291	291	+0	open	—	05-28 14:13
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$51	1,498	1,498	+0	No	+$2	04-07 21:05
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-16 06:43
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	3	$39	307	307	+0	open	—	03-30 17:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:35:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	180	78¢	$140	0x4ec210…
06-13 01:35:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0x345632…
06-13 01:11:33	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0x7742fb…
06-13 01:11:33	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	6¢	$11	0x49afcd…
06-12 21:36:03	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	6¢	$14	0x5d088b…
06-10 21:17:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	38¢	$10	0x50eff1…
06-10 19:39:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x321f27…
06-09 23:41:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x83b6f4…
06-09 23:41:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	175	87¢	$152	0x65c435…
06-09 19:24:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x61ff81…
06-09 19:24:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	170	88¢	$150	0x3b1c1f…
06-09 10:15:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x20befe…
06-09 08:01:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	239	6¢	$14	0x5e80f8…
06-09 06:22:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	301	6¢	$18	0xdc3fed…
06-09 01:59:18	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	169	90¢	$152	0x935721…
06-08 22:22:00	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0xe1323a…
06-08 22:22:00	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	131	90¢	$118	0x2b4b7b…
06-07 21:44:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0x6b629f…
06-07 19:37:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	103	72¢	$74	0xabde0a…
06-07 09:28:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	180	29¢	$52	0x03684d…
06-07 08:00:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x39fba6…
06-07 08:00:15	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xdba6d8…
06-07 05:04:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	72	29¢	$21	0xbd0b21…
06-07 05:04:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x577be5…
06-07 05:04:48	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	160	29¢	$46	0x629fd0…
06-07 02:40:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	240	29¢	$70	0x26250e…
06-06 14:36:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	183	97¢	$178	0x1dae17…
06-06 10:32:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	183	97¢	$178	0x7c236d…
06-06 03:54:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	345	3¢	$10	0x3cc8f8…
06-06 01:31:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0xd2afbd…
06-06 01:31:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xca3d28…
06-06 01:31:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0xb01ca3…
06-05 22:46:45	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	215	55¢	$118	0xc72cdf…
06-05 20:20:25	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0xfe3eb1…
06-05 20:20:25	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0x13b320…
06-05 20:20:24	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x64c1a3…
06-05 15:48:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	124	26¢	$32	0x1c2f53…
06-05 14:03:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	124	27¢	$33	0x1b873c…
06-05 03:13:31	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$5	0x0f27bb…
06-05 00:56:37	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	92	4¢	$4	0xefb533…
06-05 00:56:37	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x721adc…
06-04 15:11:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	122	31¢	$38	0xe1ece0…
06-04 12:24:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xc37bc2…
06-04 12:24:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	114	33¢	$38	0x83f284…
06-04 01:04:06	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	79	20¢	$16	0xfac96f…
06-03 22:43:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	79	21¢	$17	0xa918a5…
06-03 13:05:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$183	0x39175d…
06-03 11:00:09	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x92c6f4…
06-03 03:53:31	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	192	95¢	$183	0x41db1b…
06-03 01:48:41	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	192	95¢	$183	0x96f301…
06-02 12:00:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	114	69¢	$79	0xfc0cb0…
06-02 12:00:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	76	69¢	$52	0xfbbd73…
06-02 12:00:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x936a3b…
06-02 07:32:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	204	69¢	$141	0xac8684…
06-02 06:25:59	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xba622f…
06-02 06:25:59	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	157	96¢	$150	0x003e99…
06-02 00:56:44	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	185	98¢	$182	0xf50273…
06-01 22:53:54	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$182	0xc6b796…
05-31 22:24:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	133	26¢	$34	0xdcbcda…
05-31 22:24:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	204	26¢	$52	0x8c24b3…
05-31 22:24:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	26¢	$43	0x2f28c9…
05-31 18:37:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	504	23¢	$116	0x055e36…
05-31 12:38:04	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	201	4¢	$8	0x5e4494…
05-31 12:38:04	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	106	4¢	$4	0x389d89…
05-31 10:23:08	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x715bb6…
05-31 10:23:08	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	155	4¢	$7	0x394d07…
05-31 10:23:08	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	134	4¢	$6	0x07d439…
05-31 05:03:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0x0188ac…
05-31 00:58:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	150	49¢	$74	0xa5cc78…
05-31 00:58:06	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	159	49¢	$78	0x1eb06a…
05-30 22:34:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	309	50¢	$154	0xfaf6a7…
05-29 22:59:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	197	79¢	$155	0x7bccf0…
05-29 21:13:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	121	78¢	$95	0xccf1e8…
05-29 21:13:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	76	78¢	$59	0x7252e4…
05-29 07:19:44	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	261	4¢	$10	0xe1514c…
05-29 05:16:50	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	261	4¢	$10	0x954879…
05-28 14:13:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	291	12¢	$35	0x28953d…
05-28 12:25:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	11¢	$32	0xe30bd6…
05-26 14:10:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	88¢	$60	0xfba322…
05-26 14:10:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	88¢	$42	0x6dc904…
05-26 14:10:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	88¢	$69	0x4f977e…
05-26 11:47:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	195	86¢	$168	0xc9e1c2…
05-26 04:12:48	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	170	98¢	$167	0x47a6a5…
05-26 01:41:57	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$166	0x37f5b9…
05-25 18:04:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	158	25¢	$40	0x177e8c…
05-25 15:33:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	158	21¢	$33	0x0969e2…
05-21 06:16:14	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xe99ccc…
05-21 06:16:14	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	133	96¢	$128	0xa6a8fc…
05-21 03:44:40	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x2e9940…
05-21 03:44:40	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x25fa21…
05-20 15:12:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	161	98¢	$158	0xf7132f…
05-20 15:12:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xbcef75…
05-20 12:29:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$174	0x37d419…
05-18 22:11:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x5b5f9c…
05-18 22:11:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x5c3395…
05-18 18:51:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0xdf2171…
05-18 15:40:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	193	58¢	$112	0x5495cc…
05-18 11:54:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd4a09e…
05-18 11:54:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	175	56¢	$98	0x9f14ea…
04-17 23:54:16	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x885fdb…