Portly-Guilty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$376

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,554

lifetime

Volume

$150.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-30 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

46% 90% +$74

Other

36% 95% +$120

Sports

15% 29% $-570

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	41	$3.2K	3,875	3,875	+0	open	—	06-07 21:04
will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	8	$1.5K	1,562	0	+1,562	open	—	06-19 22:35
Will Marco Rubio say "Regime" or "Administration" 5+ times during press briefing today?	6	$1.3K	1,366	0	+1,366	Yes	+$66	05-05 19:17
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Small Business Summit?	6	$1.3K	1,292	0	+1,292	Yes	+$16	05-04 21:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	11	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-08 00:04
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	13	$1.2K	1,188	0	+1,188	open	—	04-29 21:21
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	12	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	open	—	05-01 21:06
will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	4	$1.1K	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	03-26 17:31
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	2	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-23 18:07
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" in April?	2	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-06 19:39
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	7	$989	1,029	0	+1,029	open	—	04-10 05:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$936	600	600	+0	No	+$72	05-05 20:16
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next White House press briefing?	12	$923	975	0	+975	open	—	04-08 18:02
Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?	8	$910	951	0	+951	Yes	+$41	05-05 20:14
will trump say job 20 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201993	4	$900	919	0	+919	open	—	06-05 21:22
will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	5	$898	476	462	+14	open	—	03-26 16:18
will trump say shutdown or shut down during the announcement on thursday	3	$897	456	456	+0	open	—	01-29 22:53
will starmer say mr speaker 25 times during the next prime ministers questions event	6	$823	571	301	+270	open	—	03-18 13:09
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$812	716	716	+0	open	—	04-14 20:11
ufc arn jea 2026 01 24	2	$798	481	481	+0	open	—	01-25 02:52
will trump say job 23 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	7	$792	830	0	+830	open	—	03-26 16:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$758	700	700	+0	open	—	04-07 23:01
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	11	$745	790	0	+790	open	—	02-25 04:09
will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during executive order signing today	3	$744	751	0	+751	open	—	03-31 22:50
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	4	$731	741	0	+741	open	—	05-01 20:44
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	11	$701	1,004	25	+979	Sean Strickland	$-210	05-10 04:35
Will "Drug" be said 3+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)	2	$695	707	0	+707	open	—	04-21 17:08
Will Bessent say "President" 20+ times during Press Briefing?	4	$681	689	0	+689	open	—	05-28 19:35
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	6	$652	914	0	+914	open	—	05-01 22:04
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	18	$647	961	481	+480	open	—	04-02 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 23:35:47	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x1e188b…
06-30 19:40:35	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x04bcd3…
06-30 19:13:22	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x8083ec…
06-30 18:20:02	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x1cc311…
06-30 18:20:01	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	80	79¢	$63	0xfd0bf8…
06-30 18:20:01	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	80	79¢	$63	0x60fe26…
06-30 18:20:01	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x4b54ef…
06-30 18:20:01	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	160	79¢	$126	0x097ac6…
06-30 16:40:32	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	91	34¢	$31	0x374788…
06-30 16:38:49	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x1e6e25…
06-30 11:30:22	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	400	63¢	$252	0x451c7a…
06-29 22:07:13	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x835322…
06-29 21:17:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x27923e…
06-29 21:17:34	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	99	43¢	$43	0xc92471…
06-29 21:14:22	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xae788d…
06-29 20:47:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x79b3e4…
06-29 20:14:58	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xb67e98…
06-29 17:13:04	will the announcers say var or video assisted referee during brazil vs japan 20260628222111473	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb7dfb6…
06-29 16:53:52	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x6c2abb…
06-28 14:53:53	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	150	89¢	$134	0x169965…
06-23 18:53:32	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaef30f…
06-23 18:53:29	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	98	60¢	$59	0x122a8c…
06-23 17:11:02	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x329649…
06-23 17:10:56	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0xdcbfb6…
06-23 17:10:55	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x708270…
06-23 17:10:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x68d3fc…
06-23 17:02:53	will ufc be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747651	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0x28e31e…
06-23 17:01:28	will alien be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747655	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xfa27ab…
06-23 17:00:38	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747659	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xaaa1c2…
06-23 17:00:29	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747659	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x611b43…
06-20 01:12:41	will the announcers say visa during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914464	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0xf235e4…
06-20 01:12:32	will the announcers say visa during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914464	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x0e508c…
06-20 01:11:25	will the announcers say history during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914469	Yes	BUY	485	99¢	$480	0x44110e…
06-19 23:26:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,110	5¢	$55	0x23addb…
06-19 23:26:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3b5c8a…
06-19 23:26:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x2cc2cc…
06-19 23:25:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xfc8845…
06-19 23:25:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xc2b21d…
06-19 23:25:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xe8f5ec…
06-19 23:25:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xdd38a0…
06-19 23:25:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xcd10bb…
06-19 23:25:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x147aee…
06-19 23:23:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x283340…
06-19 23:23:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xfef7cf…
06-19 23:23:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xca9185…
06-19 23:23:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x73a63c…
06-19 23:23:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xcdf1b0…
06-19 23:23:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x6c2110…
06-19 23:23:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x10629e…
06-19 23:23:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x56a725…
06-19 22:35:52	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xee7298…
06-19 22:34:32	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x43dac9…
06-19 22:16:59	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xb45329…
06-19 21:17:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,241	5¢	$62	0xa3a763…
06-19 21:17:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x032647…
06-19 21:16:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x782f31…
06-19 21:15:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x138f6d…
06-19 21:15:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	82	5¢	$4	0xff0f9b…
06-19 21:07:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,400	8¢	$112	0x3f3727…
06-19 21:04:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	918	7¢	$64	0x065108…
06-19 21:04:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xd958a7…
06-19 21:04:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	382	7¢	$27	0xcaca42…
06-19 20:10:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x1fe925…
06-19 20:01:23	will the announcers say captain during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747253	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xad1502…
06-19 19:49:20	will the announcers say assist during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747264	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xccb452…
06-19 19:44:22	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xa7096d…
06-19 19:32:02	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0x8be420…
06-19 19:22:13	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	Yes	BUY	445	98¢	$438	0x531409…
06-19 19:21:50	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747246	Yes	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0x383e9f…
06-19 19:08:32	will the announcers say captain during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747253	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xdab9b4…
06-19 19:08:25	will the announcers say captain during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747253	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xadcc74…
06-19 19:08:19	will the announcers say captain during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747253	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x06f6c0…
06-19 19:06:08	will the announcers say assist during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747264	Yes	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x910d05…
06-19 19:05:59	will the announcers say assist during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747264	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x6ca184…
06-19 07:35:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x70dd47…
06-18 16:18:16	will the announcers say comeback come back during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456412	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x002857…
06-18 16:07:53	will the announcers say captain during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456411	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x676c19…
06-18 16:01:44	will the announcers say captain during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456411	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x43c82a…
06-18 16:01:37	will the announcers say captain during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456411	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1eed89…
06-18 16:01:34	will the announcers say captain during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456411	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf70ebf…
06-17 21:08:35	will the announcers say history during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513566	Yes	BUY	264	99¢	$261	0x32b34d…
06-17 21:07:32	will the announcers say captain during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513559	Yes	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xa43782…
06-17 20:46:28	will the announcers say hat trick during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513564	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x4f9b18…
06-17 20:46:14	will the announcers say hat trick during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513564	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x33161f…
06-17 20:43:50	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xf6741c…
06-17 20:40:04	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	Yes	BUY	253	97¢	$245	0xe05a16…
06-17 20:28:02	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513558	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcc083d…
06-17 20:20:41	will the announcers say pressure during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513563	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x75a760…
06-17 20:13:26	will the announcers say captain during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513559	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc818a1…
06-17 20:08:22	will the announcers say history during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513566	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$100	0x16728c…
06-17 20:02:35	will the announcers say pressure during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513563	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9037bc…
06-17 19:13:05	will warsh say job 15 times during june press conference 20260608181156648	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x657c65…
06-17 19:12:55	will warsh say job 15 times during june press conference 20260608181156648	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe03710…
06-17 19:11:14	will warsh say inflation 40 times during june press conference 20260608181156645	No	BUY	178	99¢	$176	0xf1801e…
06-17 17:00:25	will disney be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 15 20260611144822147	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x952482…
06-15 04:18:31	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x952388…
06-15 04:18:18	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xd93629…
06-15 04:18:16	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x2a7a69…
06-15 04:18:06	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0x0e8996…
06-15 04:16:24	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x3a21c5…