Portly-Guilty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$376

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,440

lifetime

Volume

$142.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-09 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

48% 90% +$74

Other

37% 95% +$120

Sports

12% 29% $-570

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	41	$3.2K	3,875	3,875	+0	open	—	06-07 21:04
Will Marco Rubio say "Regime" or "Administration" 5+ times during press briefing today?	6	$1.3K	1,366	0	+1,366	Yes	+$66	05-05 19:17
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Small Business Summit?	6	$1.3K	1,292	0	+1,292	Yes	+$16	05-04 21:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	11	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-08 00:04
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	13	$1.2K	1,188	0	+1,188	open	—	04-29 21:21
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	12	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	open	—	05-01 21:06
will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	4	$1.1K	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	03-26 17:31
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	2	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-23 18:07
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" in April?	2	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-06 19:39
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	7	$989	1,029	0	+1,029	open	—	04-10 05:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$936	600	600	+0	No	+$72	05-05 20:16
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next White House press briefing?	12	$923	975	0	+975	open	—	04-08 18:02
Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?	8	$910	951	0	+951	Yes	+$41	05-05 20:14
will trump say job 20 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201993	4	$900	919	0	+919	open	—	06-05 21:22
will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	5	$898	476	462	+14	open	—	03-26 16:18
will trump say shutdown or shut down during the announcement on thursday	3	$897	456	456	+0	open	—	01-29 22:53
will starmer say mr speaker 25 times during the next prime ministers questions event	6	$823	571	301	+270	open	—	03-18 13:09
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$812	716	716	+0	open	—	04-14 20:11
ufc arn jea 2026 01 24	2	$798	481	481	+0	open	—	01-25 02:52
will trump say job 23 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	7	$792	830	0	+830	open	—	03-26 16:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$758	700	700	+0	open	—	04-07 23:01
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	11	$745	790	0	+790	open	—	02-25 04:09
will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during executive order signing today	3	$744	751	0	+751	open	—	03-31 22:50
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	4	$731	741	0	+741	open	—	05-01 20:44
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	11	$701	1,004	25	+979	Sean Strickland	$-210	05-10 04:35
Will "Drug" be said 3+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)	2	$695	707	0	+707	open	—	04-21 17:08
Will Bessent say "President" 20+ times during Press Briefing?	4	$681	689	0	+689	open	—	05-28 19:35
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	6	$652	914	0	+914	open	—	05-01 22:04
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	18	$647	961	481	+480	open	—	04-02 19:57
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	27	$631	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	06-04 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:03:24	will hantavirus be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x541ad4…
06-09 17:03:00	will tesla be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xd557aa…
06-09 17:01:03	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5e84ef…
06-09 17:00:24	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb7d823…
06-09 15:24:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	146	50¢	$73	0x3d8e9a…
06-09 15:23:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4ba27c…
06-09 15:12:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xf1a572…
06-09 00:44:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xbf4ab8…
06-08 23:37:49	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xb0936e…
06-08 23:37:33	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xcb3b32…
06-08 22:13:45	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	86	53¢	$46	0xa57cb3…
06-08 22:01:30	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	86	51¢	$44	0x3c4042…
06-08 21:46:24	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x6ec946…
06-08 21:24:21	will jaxson dart attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730827	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x4b6486…
06-08 21:17:33	will jaxson dart attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730827	Yes	BUY	75	73¢	$55	0xe240f7…
06-08 21:13:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xc5a95d…
06-08 21:12:12	will jaxson dart attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730827	Yes	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0xa37e63…
06-08 19:20:06	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x4762c8…
06-08 12:37:07	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	400	49¢	$196	0xd914a3…
06-08 05:02:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x7294a2…
06-08 04:53:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	93	30¢	$28	0x8b2d22…
06-08 04:53:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	107	30¢	$32	0x893968…
06-07 21:04:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	910	5¢	$47	0x26dbd5…
06-07 21:02:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	910	4¢	$38	0x830afe…
06-07 21:00:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	500	96¢	$480	0x611095…
06-07 20:57:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0xe8f835…
06-07 20:48:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	48	83¢	$39	0x3f9817…
06-07 20:48:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	37	83¢	$30	0xc28d36…
06-07 20:48:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	116	83¢	$96	0x3568a5…
06-07 20:46:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xbe77f8…
06-07 20:46:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xa793fb…
06-07 20:46:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x8ff467…
06-07 20:46:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	300	15¢	$46	0x702b17…
06-07 20:45:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	104	25¢	$26	0xa51393…
06-07 20:45:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x0c0312…
06-07 20:45:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa3e2a0…
06-07 20:45:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	107	25¢	$27	0x71cad0…
06-07 20:21:49	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	140	56¢	$79	0xf491d1…
06-07 20:21:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	260	56¢	$147	0x1ffdd9…
06-07 20:06:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xcd99b9…
06-07 20:06:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x0a7776…
06-07 20:06:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xf954fb…
06-07 20:06:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	146	32¢	$46	0x780b1c…
06-07 20:05:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x4045ce…
06-07 20:02:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0xe04eb2…
06-07 20:01:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	196	43¢	$84	0xc03893…
06-07 20:01:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xf3eeb3…
06-07 20:00:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	200	43¢	$85	0x78335a…
06-07 20:00:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x8eac88…
06-07 19:52:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x718918…
06-07 19:52:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	133	60¢	$80	0x8744d1…
06-07 19:51:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	144	47¢	$68	0xa64bae…
06-07 19:49:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	374	49¢	$184	0x7a1062…
06-07 19:10:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	105	48¢	$50	0x1d4bfe…
06-07 19:10:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	63	48¢	$30	0xe11600…
06-07 19:10:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	206	48¢	$98	0x9ff37c…
06-07 18:51:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	289	58¢	$169	0x5aafda…
06-07 18:50:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	85	58¢	$50	0x06d65d…
06-07 18:44:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	374	45¢	$169	0x0f2da2…
06-07 18:35:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	400	41¢	$164	0xfe8822…
06-07 18:35:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6d3023…
06-07 18:34:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	47	46¢	$22	0x6a0751…
06-07 02:42:04	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	SELL	300	9¢	$26	0x35b8ab…
06-07 02:02:18	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0xf3edee…
06-07 01:11:55	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06 go the distance	No	BUY	148	61¢	$90	0xc4aca3…
06-07 00:33:21	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x100233…
06-06 22:37:21	ufc bru ed 2026 06 06	Édgar Cháirez	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa2f95d…
06-06 21:56:13	ufc joa4 jor10 2026 06 06	Joanderson Brito	BUY	70	61¢	$43	0xd096a7…
06-06 21:08:12	ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06	Ketlen Souza	BUY	198	76¢	$150	0x240093…
06-06 01:57:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0xc0fe73…
06-05 23:39:57	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xaccbe8…
06-05 23:39:10	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x2d5348…
06-05 23:35:48	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xc83227…
06-05 22:59:19	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	No	SELL	276	99¢	$273	0x5f63ee…
06-05 22:04:52	will trump say tariff 5 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201996	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x32310d…
06-05 22:01:07	will trump say tariff 5 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201996	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x2aff40…
06-05 21:58:19	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	No	BUY	276	43¢	$119	0x074f59…
06-05 21:53:57	will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201992	Yes	BUY	92	95¢	$87	0xb85e40…
06-05 21:44:24	will trump say tariff 5 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201996	No	BUY	94	58¢	$55	0x6a0abc…
06-05 21:39:39	will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201992	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x3b5546…
06-05 21:37:54	will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201992	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x92c42a…
06-05 21:35:03	will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201992	Yes	BUY	409	98¢	$400	0x44dcb9…
06-05 21:29:58	will trump say percent 13 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201994	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x3ca599…
06-05 21:29:51	will trump say percent 13 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201994	Yes	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0x221d24…
06-05 21:29:43	will trump say hell 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201999	Yes	BUY	124	92¢	$114	0xbcf50b…
06-05 21:29:10	will trump say hell 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201999	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x926b6b…
06-05 21:22:58	will trump say job 20 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201993	Yes	BUY	413	97¢	$400	0x454f2d…
06-05 21:22:49	will trump say job 20 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201993	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9e9796…
06-05 21:22:43	will trump say job 20 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201993	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x166d69…
06-05 21:22:39	will trump say job 20 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201993	Yes	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x7d604c…
06-05 21:07:49	will trump say border 7 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201995	Yes	BUY	406	99¢	$400	0x06f103…
06-04 19:40:43	will trump say million or billion or trillion 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800072	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xf488e9…
06-04 19:40:34	will trump say million or billion or trillion 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800072	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5ec70b…
06-04 19:40:30	will trump say million or billion or trillion 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800072	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x19c6a2…
06-04 19:30:12	will trump say coal 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800070	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x82f04a…
06-04 19:29:37	will trump say coal 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800070	Yes	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x1bd101…
06-04 19:29:30	will trump say coal 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800070	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdefdd4…
06-04 19:29:22	will trump say coal 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800070	Yes	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x619c6e…
06-04 19:23:48	will trump say beautiful 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800071 286	Yes	BUY	188	99¢	$185	0x304038…
06-04 19:23:39	will trump say beautiful 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800071 286	Yes	BUY	431	93¢	$400	0xf5bca4…