Tricky-Abrogation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$342

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

1,836

Trades

2,849

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-30 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 79% +$243

Other

7% 74% +$134

Politics

0% 0% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes		+52	$20	6¢	$3	-$17	10-25 15:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5	2	$149	347	0	+347	Over	+$198	04-30 17:49
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5	2	$133	83	83	+0	Over	+$33	05-09 19:09
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	2	$125	75	75	+0	Over	+$25	05-23 20:58
Sinner vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 21.5	6	$97	49	49	+0	Over	+$1	04-24 16:37
Onclin vs. Alkaya: Match O/U 23.5	2	$80	40	40	+0	Over	+$0	04-24 20:58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$69	44	44	+0	Yes	+$19	05-10 18:42
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?	3	$55	35	35	+0	Yes	+$15	05-09 19:11
AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5	2	$51	31	31	+0	Over	+$11	05-10 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:30 UTC	2	$42	43	0	+43	Down	+$1	08-03 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$42	43	0	+43	Down	+$2	09-16 08:19
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudo	2	$41	22	22	+0	Timofey Skatov	+$2	04-24 09:28
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	4	$41	30	30	+0	open	—	10-26 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:45 UTC	2	$41	43	0	+43	Down	+$2	09-21 19:49
Fils vs. Buse: Match O/U 21.5	2	$41	21	21	+0	Over	+$1	04-24 16:22
Erel vs. Stewart: Match O/U 23.5	3	$40	20	20	+0	Over	+$0	04-24 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$40	43	0	+43	Down	+$3	08-21 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$40	43	0	+43	Up	+$3	09-13 03:04
Erel vs. Stewart: Match O/U 22.5	3	$40	20	20	+0	Over	+$0	04-24 20:58
Onclin vs. Alkaya: Match O/U 22.5	2	$40	20	20	+0	Over	+$0	04-24 20:58
Lehecka vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 23.5	2	$40	20	20	+0	Under	+$0	04-26 13:12
Lehecka vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5	2	$40	20	20	+0	Under	+$0	04-26 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$40	43	0	+43	Down	+$3	10-08 15:44
AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5	2	$40	25	25	+0	Over	+$10	05-10 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:00 UTC	2	$38	43	0	+43	Up	+$5	09-21 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:30 UTC	2	$38	41	0	+41	Up	+$3	08-25 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	2	$38	43	0	+43	Up	+$5	09-11 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$37	43	0	+43	Down	+$6	10-24 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:30 UTC	4	$37	43	0	+43	Down	+$6	08-24 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:10 UTC	2	$37	38	0	+38	Up	+$1	08-09 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$37	39	0	+39	Down	+$2	10-01 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x04bc2a…
10-30 01:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x3ca5c7…
10-30 01:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x3f67ca…
10-30 01:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe4216c…
10-30 01:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf958c3…
10-29 22:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbccf51…
10-29 22:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x5f46cd…
10-29 21:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xd8fba1…
10-29 21:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x958d0c…
10-29 21:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xb61ca4…
10-29 20:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xfcf9c2…
10-29 12:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x000463…
10-28 20:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x548753…
10-28 18:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x20a4c4…
10-28 18:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x186939…
10-26 18:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xf73dc2…
10-26 18:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0f819d…
10-26 16:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x88be91…
10-26 14:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xd7e9ac…
10-26 14:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc78326…
10-26 14:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x403e7c…
10-26 13:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x494677…
10-26 05:44:17	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x6b6d02…
10-26 04:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd03a19…
10-25 20:51:42	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa1231b…
10-25 20:21:59	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6f35ca…
10-25 20:20:03	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xac8e3e…
10-25 20:19:48	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x9cc548…
10-25 20:19:08	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xee0bab…
10-25 20:18:51	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xca514a…
10-25 20:18:35	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xf8c586…
10-25 20:18:27	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x8be159…
10-25 20:18:14	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3012ef…
10-25 20:10:51	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x32d929…
10-25 20:08:02	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x51ef03…
10-25 20:07:08	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0fb249…
10-25 18:38:42	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x50c995…
10-25 17:35:32	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xaf7d76…
10-25 15:02:45	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xdf81b0…
10-25 14:57:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xe5fbe9…
10-25 06:43:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x5120b5…
10-24 19:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x546bd0…
10-24 14:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x93df6e…
10-24 14:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xecdcb1…
10-24 14:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x4ce909…
10-23 12:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x94dbfb…
10-23 12:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xdf111e…
10-22 14:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x05dfb6…
10-22 02:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x828219…
10-22 02:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6c7a43…
10-22 02:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x2c1cd9…
10-21 18:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x483627…
10-21 14:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x9c7672…
10-21 14:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x4eb29e…
10-20 14:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xdba9fe…
10-20 14:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7ba08e…
10-20 13:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x80affb…
10-20 13:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x6a1b1a…
10-20 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x51d793…
10-20 08:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x7bdaf5…
10-20 08:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x791b59…
10-19 19:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x24b29f…
10-19 08:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xff052f…
10-18 18:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6ecb10…
10-18 18:55:15	FC Twente vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x10acde…
10-18 18:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd76bb5…
10-18 18:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x665658…
10-18 15:05:36	Real Madrid Castilla vs. Antequera CF: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x74a305…
10-18 14:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x5266cf…
10-18 10:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x09e192…
10-18 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdfb586…
10-18 10:06:56	Real Madrid Castilla vs. Antequera CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfb5efc…
10-18 10:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb4d2f9…
10-17 20:09:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xb9a618…
10-17 20:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x44f91a…
10-16 19:19:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x0e83b6…
10-16 17:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x4a1471…
10-16 03:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x857a89…
10-16 03:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x4154d5…
10-15 17:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x2ed906…
10-15 15:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xabe1b1…
10-15 14:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x4d9958…
10-15 13:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x47351f…
10-15 07:24:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xfae5d7…
10-15 06:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xa157dd…
10-15 06:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6b08c3…
10-15 03:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xb583ba…
10-15 03:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x899d77…
10-14 19:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x645b70…
10-14 19:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x3858b8…
10-14 19:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2b196c…
10-14 14:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x308eaf…
10-14 14:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x2a2262…
10-14 14:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xee1c5f…
10-14 14:09:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x1175b3…
10-14 12:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xd27450…
10-13 18:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0a9c59…
10-13 12:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0xb1c881…
10-13 12:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x399b2a…
10-13 04:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x0c4e64…