Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.58K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$44.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 04-14 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

59% 80% +$565

Other

41% 38% -$4,147

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	26	$11.5K	5,674	6,259	-584	No	+$40	03-14 17:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$7.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$248	04-02 08:44
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	16	$7.0K	6,762	2,773	+3,989	No	+$2,052	04-01 05:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	104	$6.3K	4,200	4,200	+0	No	+$328	03-20 04:42
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	21	$3.0K	1,649	1,649	+0	No	+$115	04-04 02:01
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	24	$2.4K	2,306	2,306	+0	Yes	-$1,711	03-21 14:21
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	11	$1.8K	2,429	2,429	+0	No	-$1,825	03-21 13:54
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	8	$1.6K	2,956	2,956	+0	No	-$1,616	03-24 10:47
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	3	$878	200	700	-500	No	+$16	04-14 00:55
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	5	$876	1,497	1,497	+0	No	-$760	03-20 00:43
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	13	$403	552	552	-0	Yes	-$398	03-24 10:48
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	3	$400	217	217	+0	No	+$8	04-01 09:42
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	5	$228	265	10	+255	No	+$30	04-02 07:00
will iran strike oman again in march	4	$223	151	151	+0	No	-$58	04-02 05:38
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 14c	5	$83	47	47	+0	Yes	+$7	03-20 06:20
cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20	1	$42	100	0	+100	Kentucky Wildcats	-$42	03-20 06:27
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$38	27	27	+0	No	+$5	04-14 00:54
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$8	309	0	+309	No	-$8	03-21 01:42
will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	1	$6	746	0	+746	No	-$6	03-21 01:41
will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	1	$2	137	0	+137	No	-$2	03-21 01:43
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	1	$1	222	0	+222	No	-$1	03-21 01:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-14 00:55:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	700	100¢	$696	0x8e9d07…
04-14 00:54:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	27	79¢	$21	0x3df276…
04-04 02:01:59	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	1,225	95¢	$1,164	0x0424ac…
04-03 22:57:33	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x3b7883…
04-03 20:30:23	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	149	95¢	$141	0x9d5e11…
04-03 16:49:53	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x112592…
04-03 13:39:41	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa77dca…
04-03 07:17:57	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0xf29c5e…
04-03 05:14:09	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x67c47c…
04-03 01:12:57	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x1fbf82…
04-02 21:03:05	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x0582fd…
04-02 20:47:37	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x47bef4…
04-02 17:34:43	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x169346…
04-02 10:22:25	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x131de6…
04-02 08:44:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	558	98¢	$548	0x1b5b77…
04-02 08:43:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	41	98¢	$41	0xbf8b59…
04-02 08:42:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa9e858…
04-02 08:41:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x7a64ee…
04-02 08:39:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0x87cb8a…
04-02 08:39:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xeb34ec…
04-02 08:31:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	3,232	98¢	$3,174	0x3e7251…
04-02 07:53:43	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x7306d8…
04-02 07:00:57	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xdce45c…
04-02 06:58:55	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x58051e…
04-02 06:58:55	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x58051e…
04-02 05:38:53	will iran strike oman again in march	No	SELL	60	37¢	$22	0xfee1a6…
04-02 05:38:45	will iran strike oman again in march	No	SELL	25	65¢	$17	0xee33ab…
04-02 05:38:39	will iran strike oman again in march	No	SELL	66	67¢	$44	0xca908f…
04-02 05:18:51	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x3e8ebf…
04-02 05:17:47	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8b32f8…
04-02 04:32:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x9ab89e…
04-02 04:00:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x343f0e…
04-01 11:28:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,043	92¢	$1,880	0xf4233d…
04-01 11:28:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x3419f1…
04-01 11:27:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,125	92¢	$1,035	0xa591cf…
04-01 11:26:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	632	92¢	$581	0xd37fa1…
04-01 09:42:31	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	217	94¢	$204	0x78cc34…
04-01 05:12:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x581a2a…
04-01 05:12:15	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x99be4f…
04-01 05:12:15	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x51590a…
04-01 05:12:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4510f8…
04-01 05:12:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xacb907…
04-01 03:42:31	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	151	93¢	$141	0x31df14…
03-31 12:10:45	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x4c2656…
03-31 09:59:29	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x54abab…
03-31 04:09:55	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	117	91¢	$106	0x8c3f44…
03-31 04:08:19	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	301	90¢	$271	0xdd19a8…
03-31 02:25:37	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xea3591…
03-31 02:25:29	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	556	89¢	$495	0x2a1682…
03-31 02:25:13	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	192	88¢	$169	0x512cb0…
03-31 02:25:05	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	105	87¢	$91	0x0c4aa6…
03-31 01:21:01	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	209	86¢	$180	0x17cc44…
03-31 01:18:53	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	206	85¢	$175	0x4747b6…
03-27 04:32:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x5fe3c5…
03-27 04:13:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x4eaed3…
03-27 04:12:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0xd7b446…
03-27 04:07:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xe52993…
03-27 04:05:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x98ded3…
03-24 12:59:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0xb7e81d…
03-24 10:48:43	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	552	0¢	$2	0x3931f7…
03-24 10:47:23	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	SELL	2,956	0¢	$3	0x576d37…
03-22 02:41:09	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x5ac0ed…
03-22 02:41:03	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc21401…
03-22 02:40:53	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3195e1…
03-22 02:40:45	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xda233d…
03-22 02:40:39	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x0990ba…
03-21 15:24:31	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	2,600	55¢	$1,430	0xd7994a…
03-21 15:24:03	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	259	54¢	$140	0xe2fd27…
03-21 14:21:27	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x7efe57…
03-21 14:21:27	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	326	8¢	$25	0x6a5c10…
03-21 14:18:55	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xfc046b…
03-21 14:18:55	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xd5d4b0…
03-21 14:18:55	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	35	10¢	$3	0x5a124d…
03-21 14:18:55	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	371	10¢	$38	0x2e33a4…
03-21 14:18:55	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x13c388…
03-21 14:17:15	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	41	13¢	$5	0xf03437…
03-21 14:17:07	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x64e776…
03-21 14:16:45	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	159	15¢	$24	0x300a87…
03-21 14:16:45	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x11b4e3…
03-21 13:54:23	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	2,429	0¢	$4	0xe5a6b7…
03-21 13:53:57	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	231	17¢	$39	0x1d50aa…
03-21 13:53:47	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xec3286…
03-21 13:53:39	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x767a4e…
03-21 13:53:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	64	20¢	$13	0x5c60b7…
03-21 13:53:23	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6405e3…
03-21 13:53:17	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x31d49d…
03-21 13:53:09	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	651	20¢	$132	0x93c1bd…
03-21 13:53:03	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	200	20¢	$41	0xaa9590…
03-21 13:52:43	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	81	20¢	$17	0x136043…
03-21 13:52:35	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x7d0000…
03-21 01:43:05	will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	137	2¢	$2	0x2a25fb…
03-21 01:42:53	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	211	3¢	$6	0x96ce9c…
03-21 01:42:09	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$1	0x6181c2…
03-21 01:41:59	will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	746	1¢	$6	0xca1928…
03-21 01:41:03	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x7a1c75…
03-20 06:27:09	cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20	Santa Clara Broncos	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x7765a3…
03-20 06:22:49	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	42	75¢	$31	0x1b7ef1…
03-20 06:21:05	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	1,887	76¢	$1,434	0x05ecc6…
03-20 06:20:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 14c	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcbcb37…
03-20 06:20:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 14c	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xaf857d…