Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$798

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 05-10 08:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% — —

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

14% 44% +$49

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$50	277	0	+277	open	—	03-02 21:19
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$40	105	0	+105	open	—	01-15 08:59
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$40	129	0	+129	open	—	01-22 18:47
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-01 17:28
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 oliveira win by ko tko	2	$31	136	136	+0	open	—	03-08 05:04
will israel strike lebanon on march 4 2026	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	03-02 21:21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$28	68	0	+68	open	—	04-19 16:21
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$25	125	0	+125	open	—	02-06 05:51
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$25	125	0	+125	open	—	02-06 05:51
will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	1	$25	71	0	+71	open	—	02-06 05:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	02-28 06:32
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$24	28	28	+0	open	—	02-22 08:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$24	52	52	+0	open	—	05-10 08:39
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$20	48	48	+0	open	—	03-08 11:05
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	1	$20	76	0	+76	open	—	03-08 14:59
will israel strike lebanon on january 19 2026	2	$16	22	22	+0	open	—	01-18 07:56
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	02-09 10:41
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	1	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	03-02 21:18
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$15	230	0	+230	open	—	03-08 15:01
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 totals 0pt5	1	$15	108	0	+108	open	—	03-08 02:24
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$13	330	0	+330	open	—	03-08 15:03
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$12	127	127	+0	open	—	04-18 23:06
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$10	111	111	+0	open	—	01-16 03:50
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$10	464	0	+464	open	—	03-08 15:03
will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	02-06 05:49
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$10	500	0	+500	open	—	03-11 08:32
ucl bvb int 2026 01 28 bvb	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	01-28 15:21
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$10	402	0	+402	open	—	03-04 15:33
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	01-15 08:55
bitcoin up or down on february 1	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-01 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 08:39:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	27¢	$14	0x68027a…
05-09 16:51:21	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x65adbb…
05-09 16:50:48	UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)	Jeremy Stephens	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xeb156a…
05-09 16:50:00	Will Joshua Van win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x91868a…
05-09 16:43:41	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf26228…
05-09 16:43:32	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2c4dd3…
05-09 16:42:06	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x008ac6…
05-01 12:04:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x563b65…
05-01 12:02:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x4d16cb…
04-19 16:21:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0x9c18b5…
04-19 16:20:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x36725f…
04-18 23:06:36	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	6¢	$7	0x97c9d4…
04-18 11:25:56	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x17d53c…
04-01 19:54:31	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0xbd7d62…
04-01 19:53:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	293	3¢	$10	0xbb1f41…
03-11 08:32:23	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x695773…
03-08 15:03:25	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	464	2¢	$10	0x1253de…
03-08 15:03:19	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	376	3¢	$10	0x7fb8bc…
03-08 15:03:07	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xe4b72a…
03-08 15:02:49	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x150c75…
03-08 15:01:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	230	7¢	$15	0x7697b9…
03-08 14:59:37	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x7fc765…
03-08 11:05:11	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	48	22¢	$10	0x0ecd95…
03-08 05:04:09	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 oliveira win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	136	12¢	$16	0xfe08e5…
03-08 02:25:43	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 oliveira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x239752…
03-08 02:24:39	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 totals 0pt5	Under	BUY	108	14¢	$15	0x55893b…
03-04 15:33:37	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	402	2¢	$10	0x3a875f…
03-02 21:21:51	will israel strike lebanon on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x1d22a5…
03-02 21:21:15	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x04ffea…
03-02 21:19:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	228	18¢	$40	0x931cb3…
03-02 21:18:55	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x7e8ee1…
03-01 17:28:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x002f5b…
03-01 17:09:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xd25686…
03-01 17:08:35	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x00b706…
03-01 17:05:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xe1a336…
02-28 06:32:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xfbe19e…
02-27 11:14:13	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x243e97…
02-22 08:20:54	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	28	52¢	$14	0x01f0b0…
02-09 10:41:01	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x9233f3…
02-06 05:52:31	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x28ad44…
02-06 05:52:09	will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xd636e8…
02-06 05:51:31	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x4fee90…
02-06 05:51:09	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x4e270b…
02-06 05:49:35	will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x421feb…
02-04 21:31:29	will trump say anarchist this week february 8	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4133cc…
02-04 21:31:01	will trump say tiktok this week february 8	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa62406…
02-04 21:30:55	will trump say no no no this week february 8	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb2d91c…
02-01 16:39:18	bitcoin up or down on february 1	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x569aa1…
02-01 16:38:36	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x5e9aa7…
01-28 15:22:11	ucl asm juv 2026 01 28 juv	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd01362…
01-28 15:21:33	ucl bvb int 2026 01 28 bvb	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x76a537…
01-28 15:20:17	ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 fcb1	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x17486a…
01-23 09:29:34	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6e59b0…
01-22 18:54:14	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x74114e…
01-22 18:54:00	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8ba470…
01-22 18:49:06	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xacae69…
01-22 18:48:50	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x949b09…
01-22 18:47:44	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0x356d12…
01-18 07:56:38	will israel strike lebanon on january 19 2026	Yes	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x5be97d…
01-17 09:32:04	will israel strike lebanon on january 19 2026	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe7183f…
01-16 03:50:34	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0xc03d5b…
01-15 08:59:12	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x4075be…
01-15 08:55:54	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc75904…
01-15 08:55:46	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x985617…