Unkempt-Loggia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$232

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

2,073

Trades

5,839

lifetime

Volume

$514.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$212

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-28 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 41% +$2,448

Other

32% 37% -$12,008

Politics

1% 26% -$209

Sports

1% 33% -$327

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	+1,679	$318	10¢	$160	-$159	10-27 02:36
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	+1,053	$84	4¢	$41	-$43	10-27 14:25
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	+1,157	$43	1¢	$12	-$31	10-27 07:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	28	$22.3K	16,007	16,007	+0	No	+$8,982	03-24 21:10
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	21	$12.5K	21,676	21,676	+0	Yes	-$10,948	03-31 23:17
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	19	$12.4K	4,417	17,309	-12,892	No	-$5,368	02-03 01:14
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	24	$10.7K	8,288	17,903	-9,615	No	-$5,844	03-23 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 07:30 UTC	195	$10.1K	7,078	6,968	+110	Down	+$2,856	01-21 07:37
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	31	$9.5K	13,487	11,858	+1,629	No	+$899	03-19 08:32
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	20	$9.0K	7,349	7,349	+0	Yes	+$1,296	02-28 09:08
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	24	$8.8K	14,391	14,391	+0	No	-$1,113	04-01 13:50
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	10	$7.5K	4,586	4,586	+0	Yes	+$590	02-25 14:28
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	15	$7.1K	5,457	5,457	+0	Yes	+$911	02-27 16:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 12:30 UTC	62	$6.9K	4,842	4,782	+61	Down	+$1,978	01-24 12:37
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?	35	$6.4K	4,506	4,506	+0	Yes	+$1,929	03-30 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 17:30 UTC	55	$6.0K	4,002	4,002	+0	Down	+$1,957	01-23 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 02:30 UTC	105	$6.0K	4,056	4,056	+0	Up	+$2,028	02-07 02:45
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$5.6K	4,664	4,664	+0	No	+$1,809	03-06 03:14
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	23	$5.6K	7,118	6,089	+1,029	Yes	+$1,406	03-31 06:20
bitcoin above 68k on march 1	66	$5.5K	10,499	10,499	+0	No	-$3,972	03-01 09:35
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	17	$4.7K	4,409	4,409	+0	No	+$852	01-30 11:32
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	11	$4.7K	2,955	2,955	+0	No	+$1,096	03-19 13:39
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	8	$4.2K	5,387	5,387	+0	Yes	+$132	03-31 12:30
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	19	$4.0K	5,478	5,478	+0	No	-$278	02-28 09:09
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	5	$3.3K	4,082	4,082	+0	Yes	-$232	03-01 09:33
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	7	$3.1K	2,465	2,465	+0	Yes	+$1,250	03-12 15:37
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	46	$3.1K	2,303	2,303	+0	No	+$1,086	02-23 16:22
infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	7	$2.7K	2,068	2,068	+0	No	+$841	01-31 14:36
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	3	$2.7K	7,849	6,292	+1,557	Yes	-$2,584	03-01 17:00
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	11	$2.7K	3,000	2,000	+1,000	No	+$1,547	02-06 08:09
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	6	$2.7K	3,198	2,198	+1,000	Yes	+$549	01-23 12:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 01:30 UTC	47	$2.6K	1,759	1,731	+27	Down	+$756	01-12 01:37
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	11	$2.6K	4,209	3,209	+1,000	Yes	-$202	03-07 07:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:46:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	573	12¢	$69	0x855110…
10-28 01:29:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	288	11¢	$32	0x457434…
10-28 00:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	242	17¢	$41	0x4ff069…
10-27 14:25:27	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0xf7fc50…
10-27 12:54:51	Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	73	25¢	$18	0x440fed…
10-27 12:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	64	25¢	$16	0x91101c…
10-27 12:54:41	Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0x9a6cb9…
10-27 07:53:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,157	4¢	$43	0xb74312…
10-27 07:50:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	182	20¢	$36	0x1b76ca…
10-27 02:36:11	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x996264…
10-27 02:32:18	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	369	21¢	$77	0xd23f22…
10-27 00:04:47	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x7f0c92…
10-27 00:04:32	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0xdb4b51…
10-26 10:34:24	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	323	19¢	$61	0xcbdc80…
10-26 10:33:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	BUY	110	8¢	$9	0x91dab4…
10-26 10:15:21	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	BUY	697	8¢	$55	0x4d998e…
10-26 10:15:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	347	18¢	$62	0x6a8a94…
10-26 04:19:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	BUY	84	7¢	$6	0x0e5412…
10-26 00:55:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xa43be2…
10-25 22:28:21	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	531	18¢	$96	0xfe4645…
10-25 14:54:33	Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf1b2b4…
10-25 09:28:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xf5921b…
10-25 09:26:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	592	17¢	$98	0xd80c5b…
10-25 09:25:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	294	35¢	$104	0x5e8111…
10-25 09:20:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	562	20¢	$113	0xe65f37…
10-25 02:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xabc63f…
10-25 00:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	52¢	$34	0x16b241…
10-24 18:00:45	Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2eb9af…
10-24 18:00:39	Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8a4107…
10-24 17:59:39	Spread: Brighton and Hove Albion WFC (-3.5)	Brighton and Hove Albion WFC	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x6851b2…
10-24 17:50:44	Spread: Manchester City WFC (-1.5)	Manchester City WFC	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x84db1c…
10-24 17:50:12	Manchester United WFC vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf43c03…
10-24 17:50:05	Manchester United WFC vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x53341d…
10-24 17:10:09	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x04801d…
10-24 17:10:00	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x521bd1…
10-24 17:09:51	Will Trump say "Filibuster" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdd2894…
10-24 17:09:44	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x17d020…
10-24 17:09:33	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5dae7f…
10-24 17:09:23	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc2e846…
10-24 16:59:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd2f69c…
10-24 16:59:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x23a8ee…
10-24 16:58:57	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0xda56d8…
10-24 16:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x3691cc…
10-24 15:30:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 27?	No	BUY	513	8¢	$40	0x89109b…
10-24 15:25:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	134	94¢	$125	0x5c18a9…
10-24 15:25:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x36421c…
10-24 15:25:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0xdce264…
10-24 15:25:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xca1601…
10-24 15:17:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x3b524c…
10-24 15:17:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x1db60e…
10-24 15:16:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x527e89…
10-24 15:15:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?	No	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x878c42…
10-24 14:27:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	215	50¢	$107	0xaae095…
10-24 10:26:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	66	10¢	$7	0x11212c…
10-24 10:23:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x9944aa…
10-24 10:22:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x64aa26…
10-24 10:22:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	246	11¢	$27	0xfee12f…
10-24 10:22:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x3e27ab…
10-24 10:21:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	591	8¢	$49	0x45681d…
10-24 07:22:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October?	Yes	SELL	113	4¢	$5	0x50713b…
10-23 03:15:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October?	Yes	BUY	113	8¢	$9	0xe431bd…
10-22 08:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x7ab426…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf754c9…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	47¢	$23	0xf11890…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xedddc7…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0xe534c2…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbf55f8…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xbcd97b…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xad4dbc…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0xab87ab…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xa9e9b3…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0xa8aaa2…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x944fdf…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x905a30…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8d5bcf…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x88a0b5…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0x83912d…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x7b3418…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x731273…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x64d826…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x542f99…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x52fff5…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x46e541…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x441828…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x33502c…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x3313e8…
10-22 08:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2344c4…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfe42ae…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf40065…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa58e9a…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x92a251…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x69dcdd…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5e869e…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x471eb6…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x171d19…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x131232…
10-22 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0575c8…
10-22 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	374	53¢	$197	0x8ce3a1…
10-22 08:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x0a600b…
10-22 08:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x65aec1…