Extraneous-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

294

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-06 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

95% 99% -$10

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	11-06 10:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:03
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 14:16
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-28 10:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:05
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:20
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 15:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:22
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:46
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 15c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:10
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:08
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 05:40
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:06
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 35c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:20
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:47
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:01
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:53
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:47
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:03:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x423875…
11-05 00:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa75b80…
11-03 17:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46e862…
11-03 07:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x512c90…
11-02 10:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82d0b2…
11-01 07:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a09a1…
10-31 07:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70b37d…
10-30 09:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bf6c4…
10-29 07:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4fcc9…
10-28 04:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc43c6d…
10-27 07:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd295b2…
10-26 05:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fd474…
10-24 06:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc852b3…
10-22 09:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7a067…
10-20 04:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf79f2…
10-19 06:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50dc14…
10-18 07:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ac93f…
10-17 07:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93ccce…
10-16 05:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0169c7…
10-15 06:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82aec5…
10-14 07:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e663d…
10-13 14:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabe169…
10-13 04:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7905ef…
10-12 04:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x329882…
10-11 03:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9febaa…
10-08 05:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54bada…
10-07 08:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x192abd…
10-06 07:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x735c3c…
10-04 09:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b6db0…
10-03 03:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa01e91…
10-02 07:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb4468…
10-01 07:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	No	SELL	73	0¢	$0	0x93cb63…
10-01 07:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0xf768d0…
09-30 07:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea687e…
09-29 07:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2db18c…
09-28 08:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c2183…
09-27 02:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb56d8f…
09-25 07:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a5d16…
09-24 06:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9ffb9…
09-23 05:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f6b80…
09-22 06:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd981e5…
09-21 08:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f188c…
09-20 03:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x123cb6…
09-19 06:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x563f1d…
09-18 01:09:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8d779…
09-17 03:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74f1ce…
09-16 08:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7b5b3…
09-15 23:33:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b482e…
09-15 02:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x682fc5…
09-14 00:53:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x575bd0…
09-13 12:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7dffd7…
09-12 07:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4729c1…
09-11 01:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71859a…
09-10 01:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x855512…
09-09 01:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7a6aa…
09-08 01:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd9f46…
09-07 01:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfea80…
09-06 01:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2022a5…
09-05 09:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9733d7…
09-04 08:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x618452…
09-03 01:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07ff9f…
09-01 01:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33b49e…
08-30 00:13:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0b5ee…
08-29 05:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b7f95…
08-28 01:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc10ed0…
08-27 01:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x329290…
08-26 02:01:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7df027…
08-25 06:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9077f5…
08-24 07:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cf8f7…
08-23 07:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x071db4…
08-22 06:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2dec7a…
08-21 01:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe006cc…
08-20 05:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x026b26…
08-19 07:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7a21b…
08-18 00:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc379bd…
08-17 06:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf02bdc…
08-16 01:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0df38…
08-15 02:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x232806…
08-14 01:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72a757…
08-13 00:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x556350…
08-12 06:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12267d…
08-11 00:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x600997…
08-10 00:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb58126…
08-09 07:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9e0ae…
08-09 00:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc85568…
08-08 00:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94c516…
08-07 00:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4d7b1…
08-06 00:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27d39b…
08-05 00:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x758593…
08-04 03:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbbf7e…
08-03 00:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab82e1…
08-02 00:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e9e26…
08-01 00:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cc064…
07-31 07:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeeedfa…
07-30 00:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67afde…
07-29 00:16:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b4a9b…
07-28 00:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7000f6…
07-27 01:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x462bd7…
07-26 01:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54e3fa…
07-25 00:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bdabc…