Subdued-Institute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

435

Trades

3,388

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 06-09 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 46% $-47

Other

25% — —

Sports

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	15	$242	191	168	+23	open	—	04-27 21:44
cbb ucsd hawaii 2026 02 07	5	$206	120	120	+0	open	—	02-08 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$189	195	186	+9	open	—	04-26 00:32
epl bou mun 2026 03 20 mun	4	$186	123	123	+0	open	—	03-20 22:21
epl ars eve 2026 03 14 eve	3	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	03-10 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$179	225	0	+225	open	—	04-25 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$176	176	166	+10	open	—	04-26 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$170	353	334	+19	open	—	04-26 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$166	250	0	+250	open	—	04-26 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	7	$151	178	41	+137	open	—	04-25 22:49
epl wes mac 2026 03 14 wes	3	$147	80	80	+0	open	—	03-14 21:46
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bil	3	$146	80	80	+0	open	—	03-07 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$145	75	75	+0	open	—	04-27 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$143	95	93	+2	open	—	04-27 21:48
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 ray	2	$140	76	76	+0	open	—	03-21 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$136	116	91	+25	open	—	04-26 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$136	166	25	+141	open	—	04-25 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	9	$133	146	33	+112	open	—	04-25 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$130	134	0	+134	open	—	04-25 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$126	158	39	+119	open	—	04-25 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$122	124	16	+108	open	—	04-25 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$116	142	12	+130	open	—	04-25 20:49
lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 ray	14	$113	220	20	+200	open	—	02-11 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$109	167	47	+120	open	—	04-25 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	11	$106	84	78	+5	open	—	04-26 00:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$105	12,040	0	+12,040	open	—	06-02 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$103	135	0	+135	open	—	04-25 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$99	105	0	+105	open	—	04-26 05:28
epl liv tot 2026 03 15 tot	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	03-15 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 07:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:07:10	wta jovic ruzic 2026 06 09	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2cf52c…
06-02 19:42:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,469	1¢	$94	0xf07343…
06-02 17:07:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x4aa4fe…
06-02 17:06:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x623e51…
05-31 13:03:53	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x31e82f…
05-31 13:02:01	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd78929…
05-31 12:58:17	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	Elina Svitolina	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xb2e1b6…
05-31 12:34:04	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	Elina Svitolina	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xff4faf…
05-31 10:06:52	Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	Marta Kostyuk	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x8b20c5…
05-31 09:42:27	Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x300434…
05-21 21:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xd8ac3f…
05-21 21:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x1be378…
05-21 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0xe4070b…
05-21 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xbfc052…
05-21 21:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x07723d…
05-21 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x073952…
05-21 21:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xfe143c…
05-21 21:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xd21b70…
05-21 21:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x0ad546…
05-21 21:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x86205c…
05-21 21:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xc3e39d…
05-21 21:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x82c9fa…
05-21 21:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xa2fc79…
05-21 20:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc11ebd…
05-21 20:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x33e4e1…
05-21 20:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0xd81f84…
05-21 20:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0x796c9e…
05-21 20:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x37f650…
05-21 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x82fc2e…
05-21 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6fbe6c…
05-21 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x196d39…
05-21 20:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xcf2500…
05-21 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x6921d4…
05-21 20:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x327192…
05-21 20:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x7c942f…
05-21 20:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x3e39fa…
05-21 20:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xb7df2f…
05-21 20:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x3b9ee4…
05-21 20:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x52e18c…
05-21 20:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1c0668…
05-21 20:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x76b0fc…
05-21 20:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x05258b…
05-21 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x9b09a3…
05-21 20:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd1d7dd…
05-21 20:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc0a166…
05-21 20:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4798dd…
05-21 20:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xee3e07…
05-21 20:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x2efddf…
05-21 20:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x015035…
05-21 20:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xad1363…
05-21 17:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xfdab12…
05-21 17:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x91faf5…
05-21 16:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x67da8e…
05-21 15:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xf789f5…
05-21 14:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4bfa82…
05-21 14:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x891999…
05-21 14:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe338e8…
05-21 14:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x43403b…
05-21 14:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x2c932a…
05-21 13:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5efef5…
05-21 12:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x843c5d…
05-21 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xd9e2a5…
05-21 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x5928b6…
05-21 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x00f29a…
05-21 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x2a4e9e…
05-21 11:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4eea9d…
05-21 11:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa1ebfa…
05-21 11:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3cdc33…
05-21 11:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe8ffb2…
05-21 11:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc9012d…
05-21 11:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x691805…
05-21 11:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x5ae8cc…
05-21 11:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x33689e…
05-21 11:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x27b92f…
05-21 11:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4a7b70…
05-21 11:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xceea67…
05-21 11:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa2a746…
05-21 11:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd89d9f…
05-21 11:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5cfb29…
05-21 10:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x279ac4…
05-21 10:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	530	5¢	$25	0x3f483a…
05-21 10:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	510	2¢	$10	0xc1896e…
05-21 10:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x175c77…
05-21 10:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1bb7e8…
05-21 10:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe3b075…
05-21 10:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x7f5373…
05-21 09:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x76d727…
05-21 09:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xce27f7…
05-21 09:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7066d8…
05-21 09:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xbf536a…
05-21 07:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7d4ef6…
05-21 07:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2977c6…
05-21 07:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x5635ad…
05-21 07:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb1f072…
05-21 07:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf5233f…
05-21 07:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x8ca572…
05-21 07:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xc9fb8f…
05-21 07:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8b4ae0…
05-21 07:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x76f69d…
05-21 07:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x141460…