Fortunate-Quicksand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$829

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

9,041

Trades

15,010

lifetime

Volume

$42.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Other

97% 69% -$826

Sports

3% 66% -$12

Politics

0% 74% +$23

Crypto

0% 59% -$14

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	—	+3	$2	46¢	$1	-$1	10-29 16:13
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		+1	$1	73¢	$1	$0	10-28 09:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp bicknel walton 2026 07 20	7	$529	307	307	+0	Adam Walton	+$84	07-20 21:29
wta zidanse ibragim 2026 07 20	4	$523	419	419	+0	Alevtina Ibragimova	-$150	07-21 21:53
atp sil assche 2026 07 20	7	$506	270	270	+0	Luca Van Assche	+$34	07-20 18:45
Generali Open: Laslo Djere vs Quentin Halys	2	$443	230	230	+0	Quentin Halys	+$16	07-21 13:38
atp paldani roncade 2026 07 20	5	$423	242	242	+0	Franco Roncadelli	+$61	07-21 10:34
wta bondar uchijim 2026 07 20	3	$399	210	210	+0	Anna Bondar	+$21	07-20 19:40
atp zh kokkina 2026 07 21	2	$320	174	174	+0	Thanasi Kokkinakis	+$16	07-21 19:27
wta oliynyk schunk 2026 07 21	2	$283	157	157	+0	Oleksandra Oliynykova	+$22	07-21 18:22
wta sherif badosa 2026 07 19	3	$259	208	206	+2	Mayar Sherif	-$3	07-20 07:01
atp aguilar jacquet 2026 07 21	3	$255	326	0	+326	Kyrian Jacquet	-$255	07-21 13:52
atp dias virtane 2026 07 20	3	$248	132	132	+0	Otto Virtanen	+$14	07-21 17:35
atp minaur svajda 2026 07 03	11	$239	131	131	+0	Alex de Minaur	+$21	07-04 13:13
wta podrez lee 2026 07 20	3	$237	132	132	+0	Carol Young Suh Lee	+$28	07-20 13:55
wta tauson krejcik 2026 07 18	4	$235	124	124	+0	Barbora Krejcikova	+$12	07-18 21:25
atp borges luz 2026 07 21	2	$229	121	121	+0	Nuno Borges	+$1	07-21 13:42
atp vallejo darderi 2026 07 18	3	$223	123	122	+1	Luciano Darderi	+$22	07-18 14:14
Madrid Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Sofia Kenin	2	$217	113	113	+0	Sofia Kenin	+$9	04-22 18:25
atp rinderk djokovi 2026 07 03	3	$213	117	117	+0	Novak Djokovic	+$20	07-03 15:57
Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana	2	$213	114	113	+0	Tomas Machac	+$14	04-22 19:10
itf hede hoeyera 2026 07 22	2	$210	232	0	+232	Ludvig Fredrik Hede	-$210	07-22 09:26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneeva	4	$199	136	136	+0	Alina Korneeva	+$31	05-05 11:51
wta samson joint 2026 07 20	3	$180	214	0	+214	Maya Joint	+$34	07-21 11:25
Madrid Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Royer	2	$175	92	92	+0	Alejandro Tabilo	+$9	04-22 19:52
wta parks sakkari 2026 07 17	3	$171	91	91	+0	Maria Sakkari	+$11	07-17 18:00
atp aguilar dzumhur 2026 07 18	6	$169	93	93	+0	Daniel Merida Aguilar	+$17	07-18 19:15
Brazzaville: Elijah Sanogo vs Ivan Marrero	2	$157	85	85	+0	Ivan Marrero	+$13	05-04 20:41
atp kym clarke 2026 07 20	3	$155	90	90	+0	Jerome Kym	+$25	07-20 20:21
lol edg omg 2026 02 11	5	$153	118	62	+56	Oh My God	-$28	02-10 13:21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Barbora Krejcikova vs Elsa Jacquemot	4	$146	84	84	+0	Barbora Krejcikova	+$6	05-05 11:07
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Svyatoslav Gulin	2	$145	82	81	+1	Timofey Skatov	+$18	04-22 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:31:43	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf3ca0e…
10-29 16:28:52	Vólos NPS vs. APS Atrómitos Athinón: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3261b3…
10-29 16:28:31	W75 Toronto: Katherine Sebov vs Thara Gowda	Katherine Sebov	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9c06f3…
10-29 16:27:47	Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs Roshan Hunters (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group B	Level Up Academy	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x78a1dc…
10-29 16:27:20	Counter-Strike: Acend vs Saint Sinners - Map 2 Winner	Acend	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x38f637…
10-29 16:26:43	Counter-Strike: B8 vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5b89bc…
10-29 16:25:20	Will APS Atrómitos Athinón win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc328f7…
10-29 16:15:31	SC Austria Lustenau vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x24ca75…
10-29 16:15:26	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdd8a38…
10-29 16:14:49	Kuopion Palloseura vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe1065c…
10-29 16:14:43	Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0a6cff…
10-29 16:14:32	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x159d3b…
10-29 16:14:25	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5c8666…
10-29 16:13:38	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7f7448…
10-29 16:08:05	Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9017cf…
10-29 16:07:49	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9f46bb…
10-29 16:07:29	Courmayeur: Anna Blinkova vs Katarina Zavatska	Anna Blinkova	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe41639…
10-29 16:05:31	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. HC Sochi	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb02efc…
10-29 16:04:01	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x340ae6…
10-29 12:44:16	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Tommy Paul	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xfcde6b…
10-29 12:43:52	Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1dd876…
10-29 12:43:17	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa3f3ce…
10-29 12:43:11	Mobis Phoebus vs. KCC Egis	Mobis Phoebus	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0xc3fd51…
10-29 12:42:04	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x480a4a…
10-29 12:41:53	Carabobo FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd0c85e…
10-29 12:41:44	Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey King	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x85eb4d…
10-29 12:41:16	Will PKR Svay Rieng win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x47d258…
10-29 12:36:46	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x52cc9f…
10-29 12:33:07	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x514cf2…
10-29 12:32:47	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Tommy Paul	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1f46b9…
10-29 12:08:53	Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x249c54…
10-29 12:08:32	Sioux Falls (Doubles): Galarneau/Verdugo vs Hilderbrand/Pavel	Hilderbrand/Pavel	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x69070d…
10-29 12:07:49	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8a3621…
10-29 12:07:31	FC Inter Turku vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe5fb52…
10-29 12:06:59	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa35bc7…
10-29 12:06:44	BG Tampines Rovers vs. PKR Svay Rieng: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd8c93f…
10-29 12:06:43	BG Tampines Rovers vs. PKR Svay Rieng: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x367865…
10-29 11:35:23	Mobis Phoebus vs. KCC Egis	Mobis Phoebus	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa59928…
10-29 11:34:56	Nepal Premier League: Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gurkhas	Janakpur Bolts	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8450ce…
10-29 11:34:46	Mobis Phoebus vs. KCC Egis	KCC Egis	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x1fa7e7…
10-29 11:34:32	Mobis Phoebus vs. KCC Egis	Mobis Phoebus	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0c6991…
10-29 11:34:19	Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x11ed46…
10-29 11:32:53	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x23f762…
10-29 10:48:08	Mobis Phoebus vs. KCC Egis	KCC Egis	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x82fbff…
10-29 10:43:37	BG Tampines Rovers vs. PKR Svay Rieng: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x38462a…
10-29 10:42:26	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9f45de…
10-29 10:42:11	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1c5bca…
10-29 10:41:40	Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1202d6…
10-29 10:41:31	Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x20e1c7…
10-29 10:41:14	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7df9d3…
10-29 10:41:13	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x658ec2…
10-29 10:30:23	BG Tampines Rovers vs. PKR Svay Rieng: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcb4ffe…
10-29 10:22:58	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x315931…
10-29 10:22:14	Will PKR Svay Rieng win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xebbf2c…
10-29 10:20:43	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe3cee9…
10-29 09:14:16	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4decf7…
10-29 09:14:11	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x441461…
10-29 09:14:04	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x569d9d…
10-29 09:13:52	Swiss Indoors Basel (Doubles): Cabral/Tracy vs Bernet/Stricker	Cabral/Tracy	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb29784…
10-29 09:13:40	itf veldma1 blazko1 2026 10 29	Klara Veldman	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd5f5a6…
10-29 07:18:22	Nepal Premier League: Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gurkhas	Janakpur Bolts	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba07db…
10-29 07:04:59	Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2dd85e…
10-29 07:04:52	BG Tampines Rovers vs. PKR Svay Rieng: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8bcb12…
10-29 06:52:59	Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva	Elena Rybakina	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd8f03c…
10-29 06:52:37	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x757bc9…
10-29 06:51:56	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Jil Teichmann	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x841443…
10-29 06:48:05	Guangzhou Open (Doubles): Stollar/Wu vs Cho/Cho	Stollar/Wu	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x65d7ce…
10-29 05:38:49	Ningbo: Naoya Honda vs Liam Broady	Liam Broady	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2b799a…
10-29 05:38:08	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x987d0e…
10-29 05:37:53	Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x205a2b…
10-29 05:36:58	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4630e9…
10-29 05:36:34	Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova	Naomi Osaka	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x62f8bb…
10-29 05:36:10	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xadf47c…
10-28 23:01:20	CSD Municipal vs. Comunicaciones FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9cb555…
10-28 23:01:11	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x16c920…
10-28 23:00:14	Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2a2d65…
10-28 22:58:08	CD Malacateco vs. Aurora FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1bf964…
10-28 22:58:04	CB 1939 Canarias vs. Reyer Venezia	CB 1939 Canarias	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2e44e3…
10-28 22:57:34	W35 Sydney: Hikaru Sato vs Renee Alame	Hikaru Sato	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2e1e6f…
10-28 22:57:20	Metropolitanos FC vs. Portuguesa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdf6104…
10-28 22:57:08	Queretaro: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5a2c12…
10-28 22:56:40	Carabobo FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbcd305…
10-28 22:56:37	Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6eb03d…
10-28 22:56:16	Clube do Remo vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd5ee23…
10-28 22:56:02	EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1b4d99…
10-28 22:55:34	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x474bd6…
10-28 22:54:13	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x432e4b…
10-28 22:53:41	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x96b8cf…
10-28 22:53:07	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0c0716…
10-28 22:52:34	Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0aff6d…
10-28 22:49:59	Will CSD Cobán Imperial vs. CSD Suchitepéquez end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xa1bf95…
10-28 22:49:01	CSD Cobán Imperial vs. CSD Suchitepéquez: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd3b87e…
10-28 22:48:46	Sao Jose dos Campos vs. Unifacisa	Unifacisa	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8f98da…
10-28 22:48:11	Will CSD Cobán Imperial vs. CSD Suchitepéquez end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb1a9f7…
10-28 22:46:32	Sioux Falls: Mees Rottgering vs Kaylan Bigun	Mees Rottgering	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x901733…
10-28 22:45:56	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x725d0b…
10-28 22:45:35	Counter-Strike: Hermine Esports Club vs TTG Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	TTG Esports	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfb9818…
10-28 22:45:16	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x73a103…
10-28 22:28:32	Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbc2d75…
10-28 22:28:22	Will CSD Suchitepéquez win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4bddf0…