Kaleidoscopic-Sermon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

875

Trades

5,303

lifetime

Volume

$1.64M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$310

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-18 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Other

84% 80% -$104,245

Sports

12% 63% +$20,302

Crypto

4% 71% -$935

Politics

0% 88% +$21

Tech

0% 100% +$156

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl mac not 2026 03 04 not	6	$108.0K	122,568	100	+122,468	No	+$14,708	03-04 22:17
sea com lec 2026 02 28 com	47	$59.7K	34,986	34,651	+334	Yes	+$9,871	02-28 15:56
nhl car van 2026 03 04	34	$49.7K	66,990	30	+66,960	Hurricanes	+$17,361	03-05 05:38
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	83	$47.3K	22,479	26,278	-3,799	Yes	+$955	02-15 12:21
sea int gen 2026 02 28 int	54	$47.1K	61,176	0	+61,176	Yes	+$14,099	02-28 21:12
epl che bur 2026 02 21 che	49	$45.5K	56,171	0	+56,171	No	-$45,499	02-19 10:06
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	57	$41.5K	41,949	1,835	+40,114	Yes	+$2,149	02-11 10:55
epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	5	$37.3K	54,058	0	+54,058	No	-$37,300	03-04 09:33
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	61	$36.5K	17,112	20,828	-3,716	Yes	+$364	02-11 10:29
sea com pis 2026 03 22 com	6	$29.4K	16,483	16,461	+22	Yes	+$3,533	03-22 14:42
sea rom cre 2026 02 22 rom	2	$24.6K	32,956	0	+32,956	Yes	+$8,334	02-22 19:27
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 ast	20	$22.1K	42,447	0	+42,447	No	-$22,072	02-27 04:18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	6	$21.2K	12,219	12,219	+0	Yes	+$3,141	05-17 21:32
sea rom lec 2026 03 22 rom	3	$19.0K	9,739	9,739	+0	Yes	+$477	03-22 18:55
lal bil bet 2026 03 22 bil	6	$18.9K	9,765	9,765	+0	Yes	+$571	03-22 19:28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	7	$17.7K	20,546	0	+20,546	Yes	+$2,884	05-16 08:03
fl1 ren met 2026 03 22 ren	3	$17.5K	22,907	0	+22,907	No	-$17,454	03-22 16:12
nba den uta 2026 03 02	11	$16.3K	19,356	50	+19,306	Nuggets	+$3,086	03-03 04:39
lal rea get 2026 03 02 get	22	$15.3K	16,292	0	+16,292	Yes	-$10,082	03-02 22:02
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$14.6K	9,043	9,043	+0	Yes	+$3,427	03-18 19:40
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	2	$14.0K	22,633	0	+22,633	Yes	+$8,602	02-13 09:54
lol up omg 2026 01 30	8	$14.0K	7,021	7,021	+0	Oh My God	+$2	01-30 12:14
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	2	$12.9K	8,096	8,096	+0	Yes	+$3,311	03-10 21:49
lol t1a broc 2026 02 04 game3	4	$12.2K	12,194	0	+12,194	T1 Academy	+$12	02-04 10:22
fl1 psg met 2026 02 21 psg	5	$11.8K	12,787	0	+12,787	Yes	+$1,009	02-21 20:27
fl1 rcl met 2026 03 08 rcl	12	$11.7K	15,159	0	+15,159	Yes	+$3,487	03-08 09:42
epl wol ars 2026 02 18 ars	5	$11.6K	15,078	0	+15,078	No	-$11,646	02-18 08:17
bun fre bay 2026 04 04 bay	1	$11.6K	16,541	0	+16,541	Yes	+$4,962	04-04 05:29
lol we lng 2026 02 11 game2	22	$11.0K	11,612	0	+11,612	Team WE	-$11,005	02-11 10:46
bun dor bay 2026 02 28 bay	40	$10.3K	5,860	5,860	+0	Yes	+$1,441	02-28 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 09:21:39	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	4,908	75¢	$3,681	0x0ec3fc…
10-17 10:04:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x26a531…
10-17 10:03:15	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	3,707	80¢	$2,966	0x83c941…
08-31 23:02:42	San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2,381	21¢	$500	0x412916…
08-30 06:18:40	mlb bos nyy 2026 08 30	Boston Red Sox	SELL	945	52¢	$491	0x7149cb…
08-30 06:18:25	mlb cin chc 2026 08 30	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	1,117	45¢	$500	0xb9350e…
08-30 06:16:49	mlb bos nyy 2026 08 30	Boston Red Sox	BUY	945	53¢	$500	0x6c7693…
08-30 06:15:22	atp samuel machac 2026 08 30	Tomas Machac	BUY	2,273	44¢	$1,000	0xf8801e…
08-29 02:12:30	Bengals vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	2,660	38¢	$1,000	0xd3b157…
08-29 00:51:03	Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves	Colorado Rockies	BUY	2,500	20¢	$500	0xa9e6b2…
08-28 23:46:49	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x1006b8…
08-28 04:41:48	Rams vs. Chargers	Rams	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x18f5ad…
08-28 01:45:31	49ers vs. Raiders	49ers	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0xa66ffb…
08-28 01:05:52	Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees	Houston Astros	SELL	2,401	80¢	$1,921	0xbbb162…
08-27 05:21:21	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	1,887	53¢	$1,000	0x9906c2…
08-27 05:20:54	Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees	Houston Astros	BUY	2,401	42¢	$1,000	0xba535f…
08-27 05:20:45	Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x69424d…
08-27 02:22:24	Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	2,273	44¢	$1,000	0x991c06…
08-26 22:42:48	Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	4,397	72¢	$3,159	0x702edc…
08-26 21:18:46	Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	3,333	15¢	$500	0x0553af…
08-26 20:57:12	Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	2,222	45¢	$1,000	0x1ccfeb…
08-26 20:56:49	Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	1,064	47¢	$500	0x92709b…
08-26 03:29:51	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	926	83¢	$768	0xc01331…
08-26 02:12:01	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x7c8cd8…
08-26 01:44:36	Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x3caa0f…
08-26 01:20:25	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0x6d740f…
08-25 19:49:46	Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x8b2077…
08-25 05:48:28	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	2,246	90¢	$2,021	0xec2256…
08-25 05:01:19	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	996	50¢	$500	0x52f7b0…
08-25 04:48:54	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0xbd1fbc…
08-25 02:31:36	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	3,472	82¢	$2,847	0x5b12a4…
08-25 02:11:55	Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	968	31¢	$300	0x940149…
08-25 01:52:52	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1,389	36¢	$500	0x476a9e…
08-24 06:26:46	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x231567…
08-24 06:24:43	Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	1,110	45¢	$500	0xcd5fc5…
08-24 06:24:33	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0xb5f3cf…
08-23 23:41:22	wnba ind chi 2026 08 23	Indiana Fever	BUY	1,677	60¢	$1,000	0xa3049a…
08-23 20:28:45	Athletics vs. Houston Astros	Athletics	BUY	734	34¢	$250	0x1181d2…
08-23 04:15:09	mlb pit lad 2026 08 23	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	1,724	29¢	$500	0x682f29…
08-23 04:13:10	mlb stl phi 2026 08 23	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	1,471	34¢	$500	0xebdb69…
08-23 02:13:33	ufc ant gre3 2026 08 22	Gregory Rodrigues	BUY	1,471	34¢	$500	0xaf505c…
08-23 00:42:03	nfl phi ne 2026 08 22	Eagles	SELL	926	72¢	$667	0x53b676…
08-22 22:43:03	nfl phi ne 2026 08 22	Eagles	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x9f9450…
08-22 22:38:28	mlb sf bos 2026 08 22 spread home 1pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	472	53¢	$250	0xb9dad1…
08-22 05:11:10	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	1,087	46¢	$500	0x6446ac…
08-22 05:10:52	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21 spread home 1pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	806	93¢	$747	0x3f42c2…
08-22 04:11:39	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21 spread home 1pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	806	31¢	$250	0x4f5890…
08-22 02:42:18	mlb min sd 2026 08 21	San Diego Padres	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x238367…
08-22 02:00:06	mlb wsh mia 2026 08 21	Washington Nationals	BUY	1,488	34¢	$500	0xa75901…
08-22 01:17:22	wnba min wsh 2026 08 21	Washington Mystics	BUY	770	26¢	$200	0x603539…
08-22 00:21:42	mlb stl phi 2026 08 21	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	1,136	56¢	$636	0xd90bfc…
08-21 23:52:31	mlb stl phi 2026 08 21	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	4,545	22¢	$1,000	0xf695c2…
08-21 00:10:58	wnba ind dal 2026 08 20	Dallas Wings	BUY	1,613	31¢	$500	0xca99cc…
08-21 00:04:52	wnba ind dal 2026 08 20	Dallas Wings	BUY	1,251	40¢	$500	0xf95781…
07-14 20:11:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,942	51¢	$1,000	0x7f60ea…
07-14 15:20:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	1,923	26¢	$500	0xb58a60…
07-12 03:34:16	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	24,178	4¢	$1,000	0x38ba57…
07-09 20:02:49	mlb cle min 2026 07 09	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	5,185	99¢	$5,134	0xa4ccdb…
07-09 07:15:04	mlb cle min 2026 07 09	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	3,704	54¢	$2,000	0x4708f8…
07-09 07:13:46	mlb cle min 2026 07 09	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	1,481	54¢	$800	0xe60822…
07-09 03:26:07	mlb ari sd 2026 07 08	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2,031	25¢	$500	0x819c5e…
07-08 06:31:50	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	2,273	22¢	$500	0x0cbb6f…
07-08 06:25:38	wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08	Elise Mertens	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0xb305be…
07-08 06:20:04	mlb oak det 2026 07 08	Athletics	BUY	2,381	42¢	$1,000	0xae73c3…
07-08 04:21:26	mlb col lad 2026 07 07	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1,868	27¢	$500	0xdcfe3a…
07-08 01:19:22	mlb hou wsh 2026 07 07	Houston Astros	SELL	1,147	94¢	$1,072	0x49e8c1…
07-07 23:32:14	mlb oak det 2026 07 07	Athletics	BUY	2,083	24¢	$500	0x93db71…
07-07 22:52:19	mlb hou wsh 2026 07 07	Houston Astros	BUY	1,147	44¢	$500	0x311a28…
07-07 22:39:07	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	1,020	49¢	$500	0xa54533…
07-07 05:50:31	wta pegula gauff 2026 07 07	Coco Gauff	BUY	1,220	41¢	$500	0x8c5162…
07-07 03:57:02	atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	1,316	38¢	$500	0x260aa6…
07-06 20:55:52	mlb ari sd 2026 07 06	San Diego Padres	BUY	935	53¢	$500	0xb5a942…
07-06 00:58:47	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x47618d…
07-04 02:49:25	mlb sd lad 2026 07 03	San Diego Padres	BUY	4,348	46¢	$2,000	0xab74c8…
07-03 23:22:37	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	1,794	11¢	$200	0xd6022d…
07-03 23:08:31	mlb pit wsh 2026 07 03	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	782	32¢	$250	0x723b74…
07-03 20:57:22	mlb cws cle 2026 07 03	Chicago White Sox	BUY	1,087	46¢	$500	0x496fd1…
07-03 04:39:50	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	250	50¢	$125	0x181ea8…
07-03 03:23:59	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	250	60¢	$151	0x1c4d68…
07-03 02:58:35	mlb sd lad 2026 07 02	San Diego Padres	SELL	1,389	73¢	$1,014	0xf153ae…
07-03 01:44:08	mlb det tex 2026 07 02	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2,500	20¢	$500	0x9139b3…
07-03 01:28:37	mlb sd lad 2026 07 02	San Diego Padres	BUY	1,389	36¢	$500	0xe7ae7a…
07-03 01:12:52	mlb stl atl 2026 07 02	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0x18f463…
07-03 01:04:20	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	8,034	25¢	$2,000	0x47b82b…
07-03 00:57:25	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	SELL	565	6¢	$34	0x68efff…
07-03 00:56:50	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	SELL	2,714	7¢	$180	0x156bf1…
07-02 07:07:20	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	3,279	30¢	$1,000	0x563046…
07-02 07:05:25	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x96adb4…
07-02 07:03:34	atp fery virtane 2026 07 01	Arthur Fery	BUY	2,308	43¢	$1,000	0x5185a0…
07-01 22:55:11	mlb pit phi 2026 07 01	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	2,403	42¢	$1,000	0xba5d98…
07-01 19:25:17	mlb nym tor 2026 07 01	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1,907	52¢	$1,000	0x60ffe0…
07-01 03:19:38	mlb laa sea 2026 06 30	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	3,704	27¢	$1,000	0x90fefd…
07-01 03:19:17	mlb lad oak 2026 06 30	Athletics	SELL	1,895	2¢	$45	0x75f1b9…
07-01 01:52:56	mlb lad oak 2026 06 30	Athletics	BUY	1,895	26¢	$500	0x2fc334…
07-01 00:54:46	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1,712	29¢	$500	0x603730…
07-01 00:35:04	mlb cws bal 2026 06 30	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	877	5¢	$44	0xec2b3a…
07-01 00:33:56	mlb sd chc 2026 06 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	2,505	40¢	$1,000	0x286a55…
06-30 23:50:08	mlb wsh bos 2026 06 30	Washington Nationals	BUY	1,431	35¢	$500	0xbb299f…
06-30 20:24:25	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	4,348	23¢	$1,000	0xab004b…
06-30 20:24:11	mlb cws bal 2026 06 30	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0xdb1989…