Ornery-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

158

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-13 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 55% +$22

Other

3% 22% $-6

Politics

1% 0% $-2

Sports

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$39	44	43	+1	Up	+$8	05-10 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$34	33	33	+0	open	—	04-29 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$28	30	19	+11	Up	+$6	05-10 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$28	32	24	+8	Up	+$2	05-10 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	5	$26	36	31	+5	Down	+$4	05-10 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$26	26	26	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 18:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	6	$26	25	25	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 14:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$25	37	37	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 14:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$24	26	20	+6	Down	$-0	05-10 16:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 14:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$23	17	17	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 16:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$23	22	22	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 14:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$23	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 16:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$22	30	26	+4	Up	$-0	05-10 14:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$21	45	17	+28	Up	$-3	05-10 14:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	6	$20	19	19	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$18	21	21	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 19:28
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	5	$17	18	14	+4	Up	+$1	05-10 02:22
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 16:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$17	18	18	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$16	13	13	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 01:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$16	37	20	+17	Up	+$0	05-10 13:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$16	32	15	+17	Down	+$2	05-10 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$15	21	16	+6	open	—	04-29 19:52
Saint-Malo: Celine Naef vs Anna Blinkova	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$15	22	14	+8	Up	+$3	05-10 19:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$14	15	10	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 00:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 20:00:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc8956b…
05-13 00:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x76d899…
05-13 00:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x41ef28…
05-13 00:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x9dff46…
05-13 00:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfd3e85…
05-13 00:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfa53c7…
05-13 00:04:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x860a8b…
05-13 00:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x70f8a6…
05-13 00:02:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x2bbcc0…
05-13 00:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x02a1aa…
05-12 23:59:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x14dd9a…
05-10 20:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb816aa…
05-10 19:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x241bdd…
05-10 19:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9ce27d…
05-10 19:48:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7b5446…
05-10 19:47:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x55a9a9…
05-10 19:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x68c6d1…
05-10 19:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0xb865c8…
05-10 19:46:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0xaec276…
05-10 19:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8c0565…
05-10 19:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6c9e64…
05-10 19:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1b59ab…
05-10 19:42:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x378aeb…
05-10 19:41:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x650e25…
05-10 19:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x770380…
05-10 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x971079…
05-10 19:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdf7e12…
05-10 19:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbc0d29…
05-10 19:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa67e3e…
05-10 19:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2f76fd…
05-10 19:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa271a5…
05-10 19:28:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x242448…
05-10 19:27:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x037677…
05-10 19:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0xd48b38…
05-10 19:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb7adda…
05-10 19:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5863e6…
05-10 19:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x596ab5…
05-10 19:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x601c76…
05-10 19:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x201da3…
05-10 19:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2ac36f…
05-10 19:16:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x125d08…
05-10 19:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x2e4932…
05-10 19:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x92f1bc…
05-10 19:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4cc082…
05-10 19:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x33a202…
05-10 19:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4ff86e…
05-10 19:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x290d0f…
05-10 19:07:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x1ef474…
05-10 19:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x56ffb9…
05-10 19:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xbac53c…
05-10 19:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x93bbf2…
05-10 19:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x53ad91…
05-10 19:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc5fc0a…
05-10 19:01:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4b8f97…
05-10 19:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xd47673…
05-10 18:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0x18f64f…
05-10 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2a8927…
05-10 18:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaa9656…
05-10 18:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x574374…
05-10 18:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4efe44…
05-10 18:51:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x7701b8…
05-10 18:50:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5a9dc3…
05-10 18:50:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0xf3e6f1…
05-10 18:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x26f35e…
05-10 18:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1dbabc…
05-10 18:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x353abc…
05-10 16:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0x3f4af6…
05-10 16:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x27a2d0…
05-10 16:13:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x796718…
05-10 16:12:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xe47c22…
05-10 16:10:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x07f972…
05-10 16:06:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	33	38¢	$13	0x3dbcab…
05-10 16:05:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb2871b…
05-10 15:42:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa6e3fa…
05-10 14:56:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x60bca3…
05-10 14:55:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0b32b1…
05-10 14:50:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x289143…
05-10 14:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x68fffe…
05-10 14:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd62c93…
05-10 14:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8416fa…
05-10 14:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0xf87782…
05-10 14:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbd9637…
05-10 14:32:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc9cc92…
05-10 14:31:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xa717eb…
05-10 14:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x50c2dd…
05-10 14:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0xe42fb6…
05-10 14:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x12158d…
05-10 14:26:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf523db…
05-10 14:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x8be934…
05-10 14:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbb2604…
05-10 14:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0xca2380…
05-10 14:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x057cd2…
05-10 14:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x59ad4f…
05-10 14:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x669632…
05-10 14:17:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xfc2eb0…
05-10 14:16:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc1da65…
05-10 14:16:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x944421…
05-10 14:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x53e9d9…
05-10 14:14:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbf0864…
05-10 14:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x607ff6…