Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

112

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-10

last 11-07 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 63% -$37

Politics

31% 50% -$2

Other

30% 60% -$56

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	5	$72	109	109	+0	Yes	-$28	09-21 06:28
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	4	$66	63	63	+0	Yes	+$36	09-22 19:25
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$40	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	09-18 08:01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$40	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 15:31
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	2	$33	39	0	+39	PARIVISION	-$33	10-07 15:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$30	38	0	+38	Yes	+$8	09-12 16:27
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$28	29	29	+0	No	+$8	09-19 20:01
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	4	$27	73	0	+73	No	-$27	09-20 08:34
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	1	$26	34	0	+34	Yes	+$8	10-06 08:56
Will France win on 2026-10-05?	3	$25	25	25	+0	Yes	-$9	10-05 19:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	10-06 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 16:06
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	09-22 04:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$20	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 20:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$19	19	19	+0	open	—	10-07 17:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$19	94	94	+0	open	—	09-18 15:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-08 08:24
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	3	$15	46	26	+21	No	-$5	09-21 07:23
cs2 shin g2 2026 10 05	1	$15	17	0	+17	G2	+$2	10-05 08:41
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	2	$15	15	15	+0	G2 Esports	-$5	10-08 10:04
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	2	$14	39	39	+0	No	-$6	09-19 07:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$13	14	14	+0	No	-$7	10-02 05:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	1	$12	17	0	+17	No	-$12	10-06 13:59
Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 16:07
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-06 06:34
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-05 07:41
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	10-19 16:16
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	10-05 11:30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	10-20 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-23 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 17:33:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xdc6ad9…
10-26 17:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xbb1cac…
10-26 16:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x537af5…
10-26 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xdd3079…
10-26 16:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc0e89d…
10-26 16:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x76b36c…
10-23 14:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0x231302…
10-23 14:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x9026d7…
10-23 13:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x10fb65…
10-23 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5eabdd…
10-23 12:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x77095f…
10-22 16:59:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x634486…
10-22 14:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x101434…
10-22 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe3248e…
10-22 14:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe608ac…
10-22 13:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfa5269…
10-22 13:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x22e2f3…
10-22 13:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x01bcad…
10-22 13:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfa5a4e…
10-20 16:23:14	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x386598…
10-20 14:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xff9b5a…
10-20 14:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcc487e…
10-20 14:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x48952b…
10-20 14:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x67b744…
10-20 14:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x072564…
10-20 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2c0824…
10-20 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x16f6f9…
10-20 13:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x41563c…
10-19 16:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x49df07…
10-19 16:16:51	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3f4ae5…
10-19 13:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1e0991…
10-19 13:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x03b2b3…
10-16 18:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x09a6e6…
10-16 18:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe8950c…
10-16 17:36:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x91e325…
10-16 16:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbd3f0e…
10-16 15:57:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6fce4b…
10-16 15:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb8c4be…
10-16 14:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcb6d19…
10-15 17:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x37fd66…
10-15 16:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xfa115b…
10-15 15:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5bba5a…
10-15 15:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x971a8f…
10-15 15:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x504b8f…
10-15 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4ac75b…
10-15 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x70e193…
10-15 14:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfde19d…
10-15 14:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x714eb6…
10-15 14:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb45e4f…
10-15 14:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1bbeb0…
10-15 14:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xd8c410…
10-15 14:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x279de0…
10-15 14:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x90b90a…
10-15 13:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x06f99d…
10-15 13:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x961e9b…
10-15 13:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x45bcc7…
10-15 13:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x539cf5…
10-14 16:16:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x10119b…
10-14 14:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8a0338…
10-14 14:21:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xdc735c…
10-14 14:16:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x7d6831…
10-14 14:11:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x24eb01…
10-14 14:06:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x95f2bd…
10-14 14:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9a6830…
10-14 06:57:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfc410a…
10-12 12:03:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xaf990b…
10-12 11:51:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xf4d0f5…
10-12 11:50:47	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x5afe51…
10-09 15:41:03	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5d247a…
10-09 12:11:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x3b8379…
10-09 04:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x67c88b…
10-08 10:04:06	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0xd59ab9…
10-08 08:24:47	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd59984…
10-08 08:24:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xbe750f…
10-07 18:07:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc02462…
10-07 17:52:52	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0x60d6f6…
10-07 15:24:25	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0xd0b72a…
10-07 12:04:16	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x18b9d7…
10-06 13:59:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xdf675f…
10-06 13:58:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x37d8d6…
10-06 08:56:57	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0xafa115…
10-06 06:34:49	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x5fcf0c…
10-05 19:47:59	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x2d2394…
10-05 16:09:46	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xccdafb…
10-05 16:09:28	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe6b74a…
10-05 16:08:58	bitcoin above 84k on october 6 2026	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xafb75c…
10-05 15:31:47	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0x7c1e39…
10-05 11:30:29	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd31fc5…
10-05 08:41:35	cs2 shin g2 2026 10 05	G2	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xb7d1e6…
10-05 07:41:22	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xdac8f6…
10-04 08:17:10	Dolphins vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd12197…
10-03 21:17:44	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3d5310…
10-03 16:27:18	Alabama vs. Mississippi State	Alabama	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x0d76cf…
10-02 17:13:35	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x33ec92…
10-02 16:07:30	Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe19376…
10-02 16:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbc5d3c…
10-02 05:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xce5e9a…
10-02 05:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1f723e…
10-02 05:22:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x7f50d5…
09-24 18:41:36	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x028462…