Flawed-Kettledrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$906

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

1,482

Trades

2,733

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-27 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Other

96% 18% -$989

Crypto

4% 49% +$83

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal lev sev 2026 04 23 total 2pt5	2	$505	259	255	+4	Under	+$9	04-23 19:03
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?	3	$326	289	289	+0	Yes	+$66	05-02 16:57
lib boc bar 2026 04 14 total 1pt5	3	$270	172	170	+2	Over	+$72	04-15 01:52
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	2	$249	135	135	+0	Yes	+$20	07-19 21:17
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	2	$245	131	130	+0	Yes	+$16	04-04 16:15
bun stu hsv 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	3	$242	250	185	+65	Under	-$6	04-12 17:21
col fio cry 2026 04 16 total 3pt5	2	$231	133	132	+1	Under	+$32	04-16 21:04
aus ccm per 2026 04 04 draw	2	$220	120	120	+0	Yes	+$20	04-04 08:09
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	2	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	04-26 14:12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga end in a draw?	2	$187	101	98	+3	Yes	+$10	05-11 21:19
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	2	$186	96	96	+0	Yes	+$6	06-29 22:30
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?	3	$185	240	240	+0	No	-$155	05-11 21:15
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	5	$150	79	79	+0	Yes	+$7	03-26 22:09
fif col fra 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	2	$145	124	124	+0	Colombia	-$88	03-29 21:00
sea com int 2026 04 12 int	2	$129	100	98	+2	Yes	+$69	04-12 20:42
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 draw	5	$124	269	0	+269	No	-$124	04-19 14:56
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 4pt5	2	$121	71	71	+1	Under	+$21	04-07 20:56
lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 total 1pt5	2	$121	71	71	+1	Over	+$21	04-23 21:06
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5	3	$119	83	83	+0	Under	+$9	05-06 08:47
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?	2	$113	64	64	+0	Yes	+$13	05-01 20:57
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?	3	$107	148	25	+123	No	-$103	05-02 15:25
mls nyc mia 2026 03 22 mia	2	$104	55	55	+0	Yes	+$4	03-22 19:07
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$102	78	78	+0	Yes	+$2	05-15 20:27
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	68	68	+0	France	+$0	07-18 21:56
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	2	$99	74	74	+0	No	-$1	06-15 21:15
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	2	$97	58	57	+1	Over	+$17	04-19 16:55
j1100 kaw kas 2026 04 12 total 1pt5	2	$72	42	42	+0	Over	+$12	04-12 08:31
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	5	$64	107	107	+0	Over	+$52	05-06 20:55
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	4	$61	268	0	+268	No	-$61	04-15 20:54
Will Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?	2	$60	56	56	+0	Yes	+$51	04-29 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:47:56	Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 4 - 1 1. FC Union Berlin?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x35335e…
10-27 13:47:38	Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 4 - 0 1. FC Union Berlin?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xca73e6…
10-27 13:46:38	Exact Score: Hamburger SV 0 - 4 Eintracht Frankfurt?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x0b2769…
10-27 13:46:30	Exact Score: Hamburger SV 1 - 4 Eintracht Frankfurt?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x2d4fdd…
10-26 15:28:03	Exact Score: CR Flamengo 5 - 1 CA Mineiro?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xafb468…
10-26 15:25:20	Exact Score: US Boulogne Côte d'Opale 3 - 2 Stade de Reims?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x322997…
10-26 15:24:36	Exact Score: US Boulogne Côte d'Opale 1 - 4 Stade de Reims?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x6f6e90…
10-26 15:20:59	Exact Score: CD Santa Clara 0 - 5 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xcfeb91…
10-26 15:20:50	Exact Score: CD Santa Clara 1 - 4 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x407f01…
10-25 15:59:20	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x8a67d6…
10-25 15:56:41	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xaaaabd…
10-25 15:54:38	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xf76d0c…
10-25 15:50:41	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x13e450…
10-25 15:27:20	Exact Score: SC Freiburg 4 - 1 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0xc5b550…
10-25 15:27:20	Exact Score: SC Freiburg 4 - 1 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x7e67d5…
10-25 15:23:35	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 4 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x19396e…
10-25 15:23:20	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 4 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x24522a…
10-25 15:07:08	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x8f3dff…
10-24 18:26:57	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 4 - 1 Paris FC?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xd68bde…
10-24 18:26:27	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 3 - 1 Paris FC?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8c2081…
10-24 18:23:08	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 3 - 0 Paris FC?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x22e902…
10-22 21:31:18	Exact Score: CR Flamengo 3 - 3 Estudiantes de La Plata?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0xfb434e…
10-22 20:43:39	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xf39e37…
10-22 20:42:47	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xec499e…
10-22 20:40:18	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x624673…
10-22 20:28:53	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xbea543…
10-22 20:26:30	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x02f54b…
10-22 20:19:36	Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 2 - 3 Crystal Palace FC?	Yes	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0xc05513…
10-22 20:04:17	Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 2 - 3 Crystal Palace FC?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x68646c…
10-22 18:59:12	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x8c1aa5…
10-22 18:41:42	Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x754271…
10-22 14:04:53	Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 3 Stade Rennais FC 1901?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xa19f9a…
10-22 14:04:45	Exact Score: Juventus FC 1 - 3 Stade Rennais FC 1901?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x34a91f…
10-22 14:04:26	Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2d3644…
10-22 14:04:14	Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xee2fff…
10-20 18:58:03	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x312089…
10-20 17:25:39	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 3 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xd21fc8…
10-20 17:25:11	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 4 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x280649…
10-20 17:24:36	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x42683a…
10-20 14:44:17	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 5 - 0 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa0d5ed…
10-20 14:40:17	Exact Score: SSC Napoli 5 - 2 FK Bodø/Glimt?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x6109b3…
10-20 14:39:57	Exact Score: SSC Napoli 5 - 1 FK Bodø/Glimt?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xa3eeaf…
10-19 14:02:47	Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 5 - 1 Coventry City FC?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xf7073f…
10-19 14:02:39	Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 5 - 0 Coventry City FC?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xaf9734…
10-18 18:44:48	Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 4 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0x044de7…
10-18 18:37:08	Exact Score: Juventus FC 1 - 4 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa462f0…
10-18 18:37:08	Exact Score: Juventus FC 1 - 4 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x724cf1…
10-18 18:05:44	Exact Score: Juventus FC 1 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xce817e…
10-18 18:05:36	Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x4c9244…
10-18 18:04:24	Exact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 0 - 0 OGC Nice?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xbbb986…
10-18 17:52:48	AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	901	0¢	$1	0x66e830…
10-18 17:52:30	AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc1dfc8…
10-18 16:37:15	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 3 Sevilla FC?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xddd3aa…
10-18 15:02:23	Exact Score: AC Milan 5 - 1 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeb785d…
10-18 15:02:23	Exact Score: AC Milan 5 - 1 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x678814…
10-18 15:02:15	Exact Score: AC Milan 5 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x4bc296…
10-18 14:42:23	Exact Score: FC Groningen 0 - 0 AFC Ajax?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x610151…
10-18 09:06:42	Gangwon FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8e5267…
10-18 09:05:44	Gangwon FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x58d83d…
10-18 09:05:41	Gangwon FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	28	2¢	$0	0xcde36c…
10-17 21:09:06	Exact Score: New England Revolution 2 - 4 Chicago Fire FC?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0xe9f17a…
10-17 21:08:54	Exact Score: New England Revolution 1 - 4 Chicago Fire FC?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xccf9c2…
10-17 21:08:42	Exact Score: New England Revolution 0 - 3 Chicago Fire FC?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x51d88b…
10-17 18:40:03	Exact Score: AS Roma 0 - 2 Genoa CFC?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x6c3ae3…
10-17 18:39:36	Exact Score: AS Roma 0 - 3 Genoa CFC?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x682ba1…
10-17 17:59:30	Exact Score: Telstar 1963 5 - 1 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x695189…
10-17 17:57:18	Exact Score: Telstar 1963 3 - 3 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x0c323c…
10-17 17:37:15	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xb6cec4…
10-17 17:36:29	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x2cf4b2…
10-17 16:30:24	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 4 - 2 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x55687b…
10-17 15:57:47	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa80371…
10-17 15:31:44	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 0 - 0 Elche CF?	Yes	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0xdd9f10…
10-17 15:02:06	Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 3 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x6504cf…
10-17 15:01:44	Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 4 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x274bbf…
10-17 14:14:54	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 3 Elche CF?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x9f7f76…
10-17 14:10:29	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 0 - 0 Elche CF?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x0e2898…
10-17 14:09:48	Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xde8b12…
10-17 14:00:30	Exact Score: Brentford FC 3 - 3 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4a03ae…
10-16 18:13:29	Exact Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 4 - 0 1. FC Köln?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xafb94c…
10-16 18:11:32	Exact Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 5 - 1 1. FC Köln?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x4d29c1…
10-16 18:11:21	Exact Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 4 - 0 1. FC Köln?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xe54b4e…
10-15 14:39:20	Exact Score: FC Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 4 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xf28c25…
10-15 14:38:47	Exact Score: Olympique de Marseille 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf32e6f…
10-15 14:38:38	Exact Score: Olympique de Marseille 4 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xa79a70…
10-15 14:37:22	Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 2 Celtic FC?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xfcc1f2…
10-15 14:36:41	Exact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 0 - 0 Crystal Palace FC?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf7e4b6…
10-14 14:32:24	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 3 Fenerbahçe SK?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x9e0fd0…
10-14 14:32:10	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 3 Fenerbahçe SK?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x42da39…
10-14 14:31:43	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 0 Fenerbahçe SK?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x648316…
10-14 14:31:15	Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 0 - 4 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x81208d…
10-14 14:31:03	Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 1 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1cf421…
10-14 14:30:55	Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 0 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa45e60…
10-13 20:24:46	Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 1 PSV?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x7137c0…
10-13 14:03:22	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 5 - 3 Sporting CP?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x7bb9f5…
10-13 14:02:59	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 4 - 3 Sporting CP?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x627ba8…
10-13 14:02:50	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 3 - 2 Sporting CP?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x59f343…
10-12 21:00:48	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	56	5¢	$3	0x391771…
10-12 20:21:08	Exact Score: Coventry City FC 3 - 1 Newcastle United FC?	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x1c90d1…
10-12 20:20:32	Exact Score: Coventry City FC 3 - 0 Newcastle United FC?	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0xa8fefc…
10-12 19:04:47	Exact Score: Coventry City FC 1 - 0 Newcastle United FC?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x17168d…