Reasonable-Satellite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$299

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-19 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-1

Politics

39% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.3K	1,176	1,176	+0	open	—	03-29 23:36
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	5	$2.2K	1,714	1,714	+0	open	—	03-29 16:42
will tisza win 8089 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$2.2K	1,194	1,194	+0	open	—	03-29 19:28
Will France strike Iran by April 30?	2	$2.2K	1,165	1,165	+0	open	—	03-29 18:44
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	7	$2.1K	1,135	1,135	+0	open	—	03-30 03:45
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$213	1,038	1,038	+0	open	—	03-29 18:23
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$91	998	998	+0	open	—	03-29 23:27
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$75	710	710	+0	Yes	$-1	03-29 19:15
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	3	$69	388	388	+0	No	+$0	03-29 23:48
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$68	971	971	+0	open	—	03-29 16:30
fr2 rei rst 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	04-18 03:22
bra2 cri csc 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	06-15 05:12
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	06-09 12:38
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread home 1pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	06-28 05:41
will xrp reach 1pt4 on march 29	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-29 14:01
per1 cal csh 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	07-19 02:00
eth updown 15m 1769510700	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	01-27 10:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 02:00:22	per1 cal csh 2026 07 19 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xda1392…
06-28 05:41:17	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xff461c…
06-15 05:12:45	bra2 cri csc 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x572235…
06-09 12:38:21	Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x27fe35…
04-18 03:22:22	fr2 rei rst 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xbb722b…
03-30 03:45:44	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	163	88¢	$143	0xe8def5…
03-30 00:00:20	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x96f7e8…
03-29 23:58:44	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	957	94¢	$903	0x25ae28…
03-29 23:54:58	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	189	94¢	$178	0xf16d67…
03-29 23:54:58	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	259	94¢	$244	0x7e490a…
03-29 23:54:58	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	270	94¢	$255	0x2fa27a…
03-29 23:54:58	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	417	94¢	$393	0x202c2a…
03-29 23:48:40	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	9¢	$24	0xc0fbfb…
03-29 23:48:40	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	9¢	$11	0xb47dd4…
03-29 23:43:54	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	388	9¢	$35	0xc132bf…
03-29 23:36:40	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,176	96¢	$1,132	0x1d7664…
03-29 23:33:08	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xf2f890…
03-29 23:33:08	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,103	96¢	$1,062	0x382dd9…
03-29 23:27:24	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	998	4¢	$43	0x5ee62b…
03-29 23:22:12	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	998	5¢	$48	0x6c2e8e…
03-29 19:28:16	will tisza win 8089 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	1,194	93¢	$1,113	0xe3475f…
03-29 19:25:34	will tisza win 8089 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	1,194	93¢	$1,115	0x2298d0…
03-29 19:15:32	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	710	5¢	$37	0x7d2385…
03-29 19:12:28	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	710	5¢	$38	0x3aeb8b…
03-29 18:44:38	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,165	95¢	$1,103	0x0e188c…
03-29 18:39:54	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,165	95¢	$1,103	0x3aeaa9…
03-29 18:23:38	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	850	11¢	$92	0x62efa7…
03-29 18:23:38	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	11¢	$20	0x5c6df2…
03-29 18:18:28	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,038	10¢	$101	0x01582d…
03-29 16:42:04	will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	Yes	SELL	766	96¢	$734	0xe907c1…
03-29 16:42:04	will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	Yes	SELL	380	96¢	$364	0x4c521a…
03-29 16:38:04	will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	Yes	BUY	1,146	96¢	$1,096	0x0ebf0d…
03-29 16:30:48	Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	453	3¢	$15	0xece5b3…
03-29 16:30:48	Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	518	3¢	$18	0x92a33a…
03-29 16:27:28	Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	971	4¢	$35	0xe3a7da…
03-29 16:20:56	will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	No	SELL	568	4¢	$22	0xe6266c…
03-29 16:16:42	will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	No	BUY	568	4¢	$22	0xc6cc45…
03-29 14:01:36	will xrp reach 1pt4 on march 29	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x49f3f1…
01-27 10:57:07	eth updown 15m 1769510700	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdd3859…