Those-Bust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

469

Trades

2,261

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-27 23:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 51% -$27

Other

6% 49% +$1

Politics

3% 50% +$22

Sports

2% 58% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+30	$4	12¢	$3	-$1	10-24 03:50
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	+2	$1	76¢	$1	+$0	10-18 11:07
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+11	$1	13¢	$1	+$0	10-24 23:26
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	10-17 08:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC	29	$31	47	33	+14	Down	+$4	02-21 00:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 00:00 UTC	28	$31	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	03-25 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC	15	$30	88	0	+88	Up	-$30	03-01 00:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 00:00 UTC	20	$30	33	33	+0	Up	+$4	03-02 00:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 00:00 UTC	21	$30	32	32	+0	Up	+$6	03-17 00:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 00:00 UTC	30	$29	36	30	+7	Up	+$2	02-20 00:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 00:00 UTC	30	$29	30	29	+0	Down	+$1	03-22 00:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 00:00 UTC	26	$27	36	14	+22	Down	-$4	02-19 00:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 00:15 UTC	19	$27	25	25	+0	Down	+$12	03-08 00:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 00:00 UTC	27	$26	33	27	+6	Up	-$4	03-11 00:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC	19	$26	34	13	+21	Down	-$1	03-01 00:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC	20	$23	26	22	+4	Up	-$2	02-28 00:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:00 UTC	28	$23	34	25	+9	Up	-$3	02-22 00:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC	20	$22	23	22	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 00:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	19	$22	26	19	+8	Down	+$0	03-24 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 00:00 UTC	27	$22	31	23	+8	Up	+$4	03-18 00:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 00:00 UTC	19	$22	25	22	+3	Up	+$1	02-17 00:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:00 UTC	20	$20	30	20	+11	Up	-$6	02-22 00:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC	18	$19	21	21	+0	Down	+$2	03-04 00:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC	13	$19	20	13	+7	Up	+$7	03-07 00:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:00 UTC	20	$19	24	13	+11	Up	$0	02-14 00:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 00:00 UTC	20	$18	26	16	+10	Down	-$4	03-15 00:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC	17	$18	34	12	+22	Down	+$1	02-21 00:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	13	$18	43	25	+18	Down	+$1	03-24 00:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 00:00 UTC	16	$18	24	17	+7	Down	+$1	02-19 00:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 00:00 UTC	18	$18	20	14	+6	Down	+$3	02-15 00:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 00:00 UTC	18	$18	17	16	+0	Down	+$0	03-03 00:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:00 UTC	12	$17	23	9	+14	Up	-$4	03-12 00:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 00:00 UTC	25	$17	21	15	+6	Up	-$2	03-10 00:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 05:00 UTC	13	$17	18	18	+0	Up	+$6	03-20 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:07:15	M25 Tamworth: Alex Bulte vs Ymerali Ibraimi	Alex Bulte	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd3b78c…
10-26 01:03:59	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Kings	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a11ba…
10-25 19:24:27	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x092a5f…
10-25 16:50:14	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xbfc8aa…
10-25 16:21:51	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xb6bb3f…
10-25 14:55:59	Will Gumayusi have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x86ee37…
10-25 14:44:23	Will there be 1+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1220b9…
10-25 13:12:56	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x826470…
10-25 13:10:48	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x87709b…
10-25 05:33:17	Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x05fe3f…
10-25 02:46:33	Will Smash have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x390779…
10-24 23:26:09	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x591005…
10-24 21:12:05	Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1d15ed…
10-24 20:30:12	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcb0680…
10-24 20:11:29	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfbc3b5…
10-24 19:02:51	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xff3f00…
10-24 16:30:59	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Aaron Pico	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd71a77…
10-24 07:24:38	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe36316…
10-24 03:50:20	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5089f5…
10-24 03:50:20	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x17e669…
10-24 03:34:03	Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x383ffe…
10-24 03:34:03	Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x332445…
10-24 03:15:57	Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xab32e7…
10-23 22:10:51	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c501a…
10-23 19:30:15	Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x65b23e…
10-23 17:56:18	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6a133a…
10-23 17:56:17	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x95064f…
10-23 12:47:32	Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x309d94…
10-23 07:45:35	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xfe4fcd…
10-23 07:45:11	Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0a4ec8…
10-23 07:44:15	Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe5bae9…
10-18 11:12:09	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc79de4…
10-18 11:07:30	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x99ae30…
10-18 11:06:59	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5f1df5…
10-17 21:21:08	Will there be 2+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x06d3fb…
10-17 19:55:21	Missouri vs. Ole Miss	Ole Miss	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x687999…
10-17 19:54:18	Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)	Arkansas	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd770d3…
10-17 08:51:06	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3a2b8c…
10-16 17:00:19	Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x89db8f…
10-16 13:21:48	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x334715…
10-16 13:20:16	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6cf38d…
10-16 13:19:45	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3bdbe8…
10-16 12:14:18	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x688a38…
10-16 09:05:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4a477f…
10-16 09:05:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3175e6…
10-14 14:50:58	will trump say si during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf8cbc2…
10-14 13:06:20	will trump say healthcare during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd8c1ba…
10-14 13:02:36	will trump say waitress this week 20261018	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb7f8fc…
10-14 13:01:12	will trump say mardi gras this week 20261018	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x446747…
10-14 12:37:17	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbbf05f…
10-14 12:37:12	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x127e34…
10-14 12:30:48	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7805f3…
10-14 12:30:29	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd5d35c…
10-13 06:15:42	will trump say reagan during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x83cb6f…
10-13 05:38:40	will trump say si during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf064c4…
10-13 05:37:06	will trump say si during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x30dbaf…
10-13 05:37:04	will trump say si during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4277d6…
10-13 03:06:54	will trump say si during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xad72e8…
10-12 12:37:53	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9f2cf2…
10-12 12:09:54	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x62f0ad…
10-12 04:02:06	Will Trump say "Coal" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xb0f71d…
10-11 21:22:02	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x454ef2…
10-11 21:18:07	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xa71b89…
10-11 19:54:39	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7ff6d5…
10-11 16:44:09	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xaedda4…
10-11 14:56:07	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe82ed0…
10-11 06:15:23	Browns vs. Jets	Browns	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3f37c5…
10-10 21:29:13	Will Trump say "Coal" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x737b55…
10-10 15:49:09	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeef61b…
10-10 15:27:19	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x32314d…
10-10 13:02:21	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2762b0…
10-10 06:03:30	Will Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x98d36a…
10-09 10:30:09	val t1 pr1 2026 10 09	Paper Rex	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe08ac0…
10-09 08:51:22	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x40431a…
10-09 04:47:28	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc49a46…
10-09 04:23:18	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9c4f88…
10-09 01:49:47	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x1cb3e3…
10-09 01:21:03	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $181 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x84fca7…
10-09 00:54:03	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x52df4c…
10-08 17:25:29	will nvda reach 236 by october 5 2026 from october 8	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc3300d…
10-08 12:36:15	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcb82be…
10-08 09:39:41	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x90a98d…
10-08 01:40:32	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x19458a…
10-07 12:09:53	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x716187…
10-07 11:54:56	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x909523…
10-06 20:04:32	Will Trump say "Merit" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xcd7273…
10-06 12:45:13	Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcfcc73…
10-06 12:18:12	Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd591f5…
10-06 08:50:34	Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1d2d5a…
10-06 08:19:04	Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x72d6a0…
10-06 08:02:33	Will Trump say "Beat Meat" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc20891…
10-06 05:54:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2e3cfb…
10-06 02:45:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe2f0ab…
10-05 12:52:56	will jynxzi ron and los beat the minecraft challenge by october 9 20261004	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9dcf84…
10-05 10:35:29	will trump say tractor during his midterm rally in nebraska october 5	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5e360a…
10-05 07:34:23	spx opens up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x300bbb…
10-05 07:08:40	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x501d55…
10-05 05:05:59	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xb60eb1…
10-03 02:47:41	Will Trump say "Somalia" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3edd77…
10-03 02:45:50	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1c7789…