Rotating-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$515

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$2.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 09-01 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$2

Sports

37% 100% +$508

Tech

8% 100% +$4

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$412	213	213	+0	No	+$0	03-26 04:48
Pistons vs. Magic	5	$388	901	0	+901	Magic	+$507	04-27 01:37
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	+$0	03-10 10:10
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 6	2	$178	91	91	+0	No	+$4	02-07 04:32
will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	02-28 08:35
will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	02-28 08:39
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 7 2026	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	02-05 10:12
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$77	79	0	+79	No	+$1	02-05 10:15
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 7 be less than 1500000	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	02-05 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 4?	2	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	07-03 06:58
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$15	208	208	+0	No	+$0	03-24 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C or below on July 1?	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-01 03:33
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$12	222	222	+0	No	+$1	03-16 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-30 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 1?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-01 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 10?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-09 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 29?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-29 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-30 07:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-21 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 16?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-16 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C or below on July 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-08 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 24?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-23 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on June 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-29 10:23
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 7?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-06 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 10?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-09 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-21 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on July 1?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-30 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 07:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x519d9e…
09-01 06:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf27a35…
09-01 06:56:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa98068…
07-27 08:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb31c7f…
07-27 08:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a78c8…
07-27 08:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xb638eb…
07-21 06:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b24c9…
07-21 06:57:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x03a72b…
07-21 06:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb3ac17…
07-21 06:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdecb23…
07-21 06:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfb70bf…
07-09 08:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8455e…
07-09 08:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd76958…
07-09 08:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd9fa20…
07-09 08:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c19fe…
07-09 08:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6c51a…
07-08 09:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe9dafe…
07-08 09:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7800ac…
07-08 09:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x18d7b9…
07-07 03:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3816d…
07-07 03:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on July 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa74ab5…
07-07 03:34:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on July 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x18ccd8…
07-06 09:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76096c…
07-06 09:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x292ece…
07-06 09:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x35ffc5…
07-06 09:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x539994…
07-06 09:21:02	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1d2a3a…
07-06 09:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on July 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa553a5…
07-03 07:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe57009…
07-03 07:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d8d5d…
07-03 07:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa78431…
07-03 06:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb82de0…
07-03 06:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xcd3a02…
07-03 06:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36c7d9…
07-01 03:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2e502…
07-01 03:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x6cd0d6…
07-01 03:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec26a0…
06-30 07:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa307d…
06-30 07:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa9c13b…
06-30 07:13:29	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x793b48…
06-30 07:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30e86b…
06-30 07:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xac3032…
06-30 07:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xf3bfb6…
06-29 10:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb46f09…
06-29 10:22:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x649b04…
06-29 10:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf28410…
06-23 10:20:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x223461…
06-23 10:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa501e4…
06-23 10:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4f8210…
06-22 02:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd8d17e…
06-22 02:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xba1781…
06-22 02:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x80de7e…
06-22 02:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x52a134…
06-22 02:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd69acf…
06-22 02:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4ff21…
06-18 03:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e330f…
06-18 03:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b69c8…
06-18 03:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea5211…
06-17 06:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x600adb…
06-17 06:20:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x497166…
06-17 06:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x11108b…
06-16 07:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0a5001…
06-16 07:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xdd1dde…
06-16 07:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27fab3…
06-16 07:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x72361c…
06-16 07:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x29dc27…
06-16 07:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb76354…
05-22 07:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x368f6d…
05-22 07:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8234f7…
05-22 07:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b5fda…
05-22 07:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7abfd9…
05-22 06:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5e908…
04-27 01:37:42	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x3b4a41…
04-27 01:37:38	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa39cbe…
04-27 01:37:28	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x7169b9…
04-27 01:37:26	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	839	43¢	$361	0xc24934…
04-26 15:13:56	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xfaf065…
03-26 04:48:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	93	97¢	$90	0x596eda…
03-26 04:47:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xdd590d…
03-26 04:47:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x7b2e14…
03-25 07:18:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	141	97¢	$136	0xd78e24…
03-25 07:16:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$69	0xe02ce7…
03-24 06:27:53	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	208	4¢	$8	0x13862e…
03-23 07:19:35	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	64	4¢	$2	0x7ada38…
03-23 07:19:09	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	144	4¢	$5	0xb5ec55…
03-16 16:04:05	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xbcc61a…
03-16 16:04:05	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x92c73c…
03-16 16:04:05	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x2aee4b…
03-16 16:00:35	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1e9de8…
03-16 15:55:47	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x75d6d6…
03-16 15:55:47	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x1bb984…
03-16 07:46:07	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$1	0x7016b9…
03-16 07:45:59	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xff8cd5…
03-16 07:45:59	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$2	0xe13b65…
03-16 07:45:59	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x7ea4e4…
03-16 07:45:59	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$2	0x54b101…
03-10 10:10:57	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xf5f3e5…
02-28 08:39:03	will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x673916…
02-28 08:37:15	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x7a32b0…
02-28 08:35:11	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xbd4d1c…