Moral-Waveform — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$149

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-05 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 71% +$2

Other

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	3	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	Down	$-1	05-14 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-31 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-31 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 00:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 22:58:19	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa55dca…
06-02 23:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc38b72…
06-02 22:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfcaff6…
06-01 02:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1c2aad…
05-31 22:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x610501…
05-31 21:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x855e2c…
05-31 21:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe50ccd…
05-31 20:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa634a8…
05-20 01:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xac7759…
05-20 00:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x031d59…
05-20 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8c17da…
05-19 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x316a3c…
05-19 22:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0xfc0bc0…
05-19 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x3bdb57…
05-18 10:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x9c5a76…
05-18 10:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xba58a5…
05-18 09:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xef4a8b…
05-18 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2d0020…
05-18 07:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x1bf237…
05-18 07:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc2766c…
05-18 04:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x255772…
05-17 23:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa80158…
05-17 22:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xb72303…
05-17 22:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6e3515…
05-17 22:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf667ba…
05-17 11:01:39	Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x666280…
05-17 10:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x342384…
05-17 09:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3d92e2…
05-17 08:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3419a8…
05-17 07:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xa9e268…
05-17 07:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x57569d…
05-17 05:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x9bee2c…
05-17 05:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc98b52…
05-17 04:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2a332e…
05-17 03:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd11e32…
05-17 02:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x86838b…
05-17 01:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x2d98c8…
05-17 01:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7734a4…
05-17 00:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xa30b3f…
05-17 00:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe227a8…
05-17 00:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe2dfcf…
05-16 23:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x17de49…
05-16 22:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcc78da…
05-16 21:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x083a92…
05-16 08:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x889bd1…
05-16 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x2d057f…
05-16 08:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x28b92c…
05-16 08:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1052d9…
05-16 00:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x51ea3c…
05-16 00:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1d8415…
05-15 22:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x704484…
05-15 03:09:32	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe38517…
05-15 02:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x755b7b…
05-15 01:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe2c4aa…
05-15 01:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd21c27…
05-15 01:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1148df…
05-15 01:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xab25e9…
05-15 01:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x955394…
05-15 01:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8411d8…
05-15 01:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x838e9e…
05-15 01:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x7461f8…
05-15 01:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcbd5f4…
05-15 01:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x050ffc…
05-15 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbbbc6c…
05-15 01:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa3abfb…
05-15 01:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa00096…
05-15 00:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x93ed06…
05-15 00:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb80b0a…
05-15 00:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xe95c7d…
05-15 00:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x26a42b…
05-15 00:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x30ae27…
05-15 00:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x5d124c…
05-15 00:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x08fec0…
05-15 00:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xcc1091…
05-15 00:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x89c95b…
05-15 00:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbf6842…
05-15 00:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x357f7f…
05-15 00:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xef27a7…
05-15 00:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x346c71…
05-14 23:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2fc274…
05-14 22:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc73ab5…
05-14 22:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x59eb6b…
05-14 10:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6b95c1…
05-14 09:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcf79d2…
05-14 09:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x409b0d…
05-14 09:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9390f4…
05-14 08:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9090eb…
05-14 08:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9a93bf…
05-14 08:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x94bd40…
05-14 08:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xb906c6…
05-14 08:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x322be3…
05-14 07:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x841ba6…
05-14 07:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbce931…
05-14 07:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb5b480…
05-14 06:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4225ad…
05-14 06:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe8873b…
05-14 06:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xffdb1a…
05-14 06:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd1c724…
05-14 06:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfabc70…
05-14 05:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x541a7d…