Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$28,809

Trades

2,908

Unique wallets

324

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-05-17

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-17 03:47

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Lively-Authenticity +4,227 Buttery-Trace +1,554 Wobbly-Guard +1,546 Second-Hand-Graduation +1,000 Phony-Slider +1,000 (anon) +871 Incompatible-Coincidence +817 Rash-Consul +765

NO holders

Lively-Authenticity +4,977 Orange-Forte +1,593 Buttery-Trace +1,473 Phony-Slider +1,000 Incompatible-Coincidence +906 Sturdy-Chinchilla +777 (anon) +739 Round-Vintner +542

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -4.7¢ (top1%: 36% YES on $15.1K vs crowd: 41% YES on $24.8K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	47	$6.6K	$10.3K	$3.6K
🐬 Dolphin	91	$1.6K	$3.1K	$1.6K
🐟 Fish	106	$1.4K	$859	+$556
🦐 Shrimp	80	$434	$489	$55

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	49	$5.4K	$9.7K	$4.3K
🏆 Top 5%	36	$586	$1.2K	$646
✅ Top 10%	19	$110	$67	+$43
Median	23	$27	$412	$386
Below median	74	$1.4K	$647	+$726
⚠️ Bottom 10%	41	$296	$564	$268
🔻 Bottom 5%	56	$805	$1.2K	$442
💀 Bottom 1%	26	$1.4K	$870	+$564

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+4,977	$2,620	$2,620	77	05-17 00:54
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+4,227	$1,714	$1,714	61	05-17 00:57
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	Down	+1,593	$1,592	$1,592	18	05-17 03:47
Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9	Up	+1,554	$706	$706	95	05-17 00:55
Wobbly-Guard 0x0f96…06ce	Up	+1,546	$792	$792	29	05-17 00:44
Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9	Down	+1,473	$728	$728	103	05-17 00:54
Second-Hand-Graduation 0x2121…a08f	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	1	05-17 00:57
Phony-Slider 0x0be5…cf29	Up	+1,000	$400	$400	15	05-17 00:46
Phony-Slider 0x0be5…cf29	Down	+1,000	$400	$400	10	05-17 00:01
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	Down	+906	$452	$452	63	05-17 00:56
(anonymous) 0x7cd2…3079	Up	+871	$392	$392	62	05-17 00:55
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	Up	+817	$331	$331	34	05-17 00:55
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Down	+777	$748	$748	4	05-17 00:57
Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85	Up	+765	$301	$301	13	05-17 00:49
(anonymous) 0x7cd2…3079	Down	+739	$369	$369	58	05-17 00:55
Round-Vintner 0x0eef…dc37	Down	+542	$268	$268	33	05-17 00:55
Leading-Annual 0x7457…1ec9	Down	+535	$229	$229	21	05-17 00:46
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Down	+521	$312	$312	14	05-17 00:46
Mellow-Coconut 0x12d0…f8ed	Up	+500	$250	$250	3	05-16 22:23
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	Down	+462	$385	$385	18	05-17 00:55
Plump-Sauerkraut 0xd950…5e86	Down	+359	$157	$157	96	05-17 00:57
Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604	Down	+324	$321	$321	1	05-17 00:57
Plump-Sauerkraut 0xd950…5e86	Up	+324	$169	$169	81	05-17 00:55
Bewitched-Necessity 0xcf61…7b09	Up	+318	$29	$29	1	05-17 00:55
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Up	+315	$226	$226	5	05-17 00:09
Quiet-Mud 0x47bc…7940	Up	+300	$150	$150	4	05-17 00:28
Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662	Up	+300	$164	$164	1	05-17 00:44
Scarce-Review-Backdrop 0x9322…1c04	Down	+300	$297	$297	1	05-17 00:57
(anonymous) 0xc545…64c5	Down	+299	$171	$285	25	05-17 00:53
Round-Vintner 0x0eef…dc37	Up	+293	$142	$142	14	05-17 00:52
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+287	$156	$156	53	05-17 00:54
Magnificent-Fanlight 0x4c81…8ea1	Up	+279	$197	$197	30	05-17 00:43
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	Down	+260	$120	$120	8	05-16 23:59
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+260	$257	$257	4	05-17 00:57
Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278	Up	+251	$116	$116	61	05-17 00:56
(anonymous) 0xaa5a…a24c	Down	+242	$136	$136	35	05-17 00:57
Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278	Down	+241	$120	$120	54	05-17 00:57
Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7	Down	+231	$168	$168	21	05-17 00:55
Energetic-Testimony 0x9935…a245	Down	+229	$193	$193	13	05-17 00:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+229	$94	$94	42	05-17 00:55
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	Up	+223	$171	$183	59	05-17 00:53
Joint-Mentor 0xe858…22b1	Up	+220	$0	$0	5	05-17 00:58
(anonymous) 0xea4b…fafa	Up	+220	$90	$90	10	05-17 00:46
Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93	Down	+206	$204	$204	3	05-17 00:57
Petty-Collapse 0xcacf…c5e1	Up	+200	$120	$120	1	05-17 00:21
Ignorant-Banker 0xee8f…819d	Up	+200	$30	$30	2	05-17 00:56
(anonymous) 0xb657…7a1b	Up	+200	$2	$2	5	05-17 00:57
Petty-Collapse 0xcacf…c5e1	Down	+200	$54	$54	15	05-17 00:18
(anonymous) 0x3e06…2ab1	Up	+185	$96	$96	1	05-16 23:57
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	Down	+180	$114	$114	6	05-17 00:46
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	Down	+178	$98	$98	20	05-17 00:55
Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7	Up	+166	$118	$118	27	05-17 00:43
(anonymous) 0xc545…64c5	Up	+150	$98	$170	10	05-17 00:46
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	Up	+147	$64	$64	22	05-17 00:56
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	Up	+147	$89	$89	19	05-17 00:52
Vigorous-Cargo 0xd535…9fae	Up	+130	$58	$58	22	05-17 00:56
(anonymous) 0xb2c1…ed43	Down	+120	$114	$114	2	05-17 00:56
Vigorous-Cargo 0xd535…9fae	Down	+118	$51	$51	21	05-17 00:55
Glum-Subscription 0x8d00…0121	Down	+116	$115	$115	1	05-17 00:57
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	Down	+106	$30	$172	65	05-17 00:56