Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$749

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-10-01

last 10-29 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

68% 50% +$183

Other

32% 40% -$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes		+71	$55	70¢	$50	-$5	10-01 20:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%?	1	$100	147	+147	open	—	10-22 06:10
Will PP win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$100	145	+145	open	—	10-22 21:09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$80	279	+279	Yes	+$199	10-01 20:57
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?	1	$66	132	+132	No	-$66	10-10 19:24
Will PP win the most seats in Huesca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$60	81	+81	open	—	10-23 08:53
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$55	71	+71	open	—	10-01 20:55
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?	1	$50	67	+67	No	+$17	10-14 18:11
Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$50	56	+56	open	—	10-23 08:53
Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$35	40	+40	open	—	10-23 08:54
Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?	3	$31	50	+50	open	—	10-24 08:40
Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$20	44	+44	open	—	10-22 21:09
Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 11:59 PM?	1	$20	96	+96	open	—	10-22 04:39
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	2	$18	55	+55	open	—	10-29 11:38
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	1	$16	48	+48	No	-$16	10-05 11:27
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	1	$15	40	+40	Yes	-$15	10-25 13:51
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	1	$14	18	+18	open	—	10-26 09:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$10	16	+16	Yes	+$6	10-01 20:58
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$9	30	+30	Yes	-$9	10-03 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:38:22	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa500da…
10-29 10:00:25	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xa7329b…
10-26 09:13:14	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xd71811…
10-25 13:51:53	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x286902…
10-24 08:40:56	Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x72eea5…
10-24 08:40:54	Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4570fd…
10-24 08:12:20	Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	36	62¢	$23	0xf24645…
10-23 08:54:05	Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xa4817b…
10-23 08:53:56	Will PP win the most seats in Huesca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0xbb3027…
10-23 08:53:36	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xc9fd8f…
10-22 21:09:38	Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x24b9e5…
10-22 21:09:06	Will PP win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x674fcd…
10-22 06:10:43	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x8bdc2a…
10-22 04:39:36	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0xccccd0…
10-14 18:11:33	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xc0aad3…
10-10 19:24:40	Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?	Yes	BUY	132	50¢	$66	0x964c08…
10-05 11:27:38	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	48	33¢	$16	0xf91f89…
10-03 11:58:30	Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x70b29b…
10-01 20:58:54	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x17042d…
10-01 20:57:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	279	29¢	$80	0x6926be…
10-01 20:55:36	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	71	78¢	$55	0x598a02…