Cautious-Helmet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

286

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$4.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-30 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

99% 99% -$10

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	10-30 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	10-29 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 28?	1	$17	18	+18	No	+$0	10-28 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-27 12:23
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-26 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 25?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-25 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-22 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-20 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-19 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 18?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-18 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-17 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-16 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-15 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-14 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-12 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 11?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-11 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-08 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-07 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on October 5?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-05 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-03 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 2?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-02 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-01 13:46
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-30 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-28 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 27?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-27 11:52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-26 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 24?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	09-24 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-23 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-22 09:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5738f7…
10-29 15:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd476f1…
10-28 09:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xb28c2a…
10-27 12:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x07d941…
10-26 15:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe51873…
10-25 09:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4905bf…
10-22 11:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8f268f…
10-20 08:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8e11de…
10-19 10:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe4d417…
10-18 15:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc22875…
10-17 16:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x77fbda…
10-16 16:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x749553…
10-15 14:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x60cdb0…
10-14 13:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6b8e10…
10-13 11:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x773a3b…
10-12 12:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1ad885…
10-11 13:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9ec7e5…
10-08 12:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x596372…
10-07 07:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1d7a5c…
10-05 13:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on October 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd29bc0…
10-03 10:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xba8f5d…
10-02 14:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb4777f…
10-01 13:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb44b9d…
09-30 07:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf271f0…
09-28 14:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe5190c…
09-27 11:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4af635…
09-26 05:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc482c9…
09-24 09:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x277b41…
09-23 10:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd7a119…
09-22 09:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5d0de8…
09-21 14:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1f3806…
09-20 06:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x389bb1…
09-19 11:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0854b0…
09-18 09:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x85fb81…
09-17 04:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x909188…
09-16 09:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6ab85a…
09-15 14:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x40688a…
09-13 08:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7baab3…
09-11 10:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1fab38…
09-10 13:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x53e086…
09-09 08:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xde3974…
09-08 13:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x066170…
09-07 09:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xaaa6cb…
09-06 12:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0xa7a402…
09-05 09:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xd39d51…
09-04 03:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7eb6f6…
09-02 08:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf57eee…
08-30 14:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa06316…
08-29 10:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8a9905…
08-28 10:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8ca905…
08-27 09:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3986af…
08-26 09:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4fc3ca…
08-25 09:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x568344…
08-24 15:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5120d5…
08-24 01:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2b4b44…
08-22 11:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7a89d0…
08-21 09:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xccc514…
08-20 12:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcd497f…
08-18 14:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9e86df…
08-17 09:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x89b012…
08-16 14:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x30220a…
08-14 07:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa5c9b3…
08-13 09:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc58930…
08-12 10:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8a0b1b…
08-11 07:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6916c1…
08-10 09:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xade4a1…
08-09 07:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x66a31c…
08-08 08:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb54cd1…
08-07 10:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x72d0f9…
08-06 08:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x64c113…
08-05 08:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x00b6c8…
08-04 09:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8b393f…
08-03 08:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x246f86…
08-02 06:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x80a527…
08-01 07:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x133ff8…
07-30 08:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9e7386…
07-29 07:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x45fddb…
07-28 08:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x450ccb…
07-27 14:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xab935c…
07-26 08:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x101ee3…
07-25 13:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe5a99c…
07-24 14:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 24?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xec2e2e…
07-23 08:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7464cf…
07-22 02:19:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xefd8c7…
07-21 06:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf38a13…
07-20 12:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x19c06c…
07-19 05:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 19?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xdcc8b5…
07-18 07:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xba7127…
07-17 07:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0d86c1…
07-15 22:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfce279…
07-15 10:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xccf91d…
07-14 09:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1c1e2c…
07-13 09:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x94807a…
07-12 07:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x495d28…
07-11 10:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb4c90d…
07-10 16:33:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe729da…
07-09 09:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb02a0e…
07-08 10:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9cb6f4…
07-07 08:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x443660…
07-06 03:10:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1f562c…