Arctic-Fratricide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

9.7%

Resolved

110

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-10 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 89% -$20

Other

25% 77% -$5

Sports

24% 0% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	05-28 05:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	5	$3.5K	1,757	1,757	+0	No	-$3	01-15 05:00
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$1.9K	980	980	+0	No	-$2	01-27 03:05
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$1.9K	953	953	+0	No	-$1	01-27 03:04
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	2	$1.8K	896	888	+8	No	-$1	01-06 08:17
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$1.8K	889	880	+9	No	-$1	01-06 08:19
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.7K	854	854	+0	No	-$2	01-08 05:19
will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	2	$1.7K	849	840	+9	No	-$1	01-08 05:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 7-13?	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$0	09-11 06:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 12?	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$0	10-10 02:46
Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$0	08-24 05:47
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$51	26	25	+1	No	+$0	06-11 07:20
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	2	$49	26	25	+1	open	—	05-28 05:49
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$40	21	20	+1	No	$0	03-09 01:31
will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	2	$39	20	19	+1	No	+$0	06-25 07:49
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$34	19	16	+3	No	+$0	03-05 01:38
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$24	13	11	+2	No	$0	03-09 01:31
Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	+$0	06-25 07:49
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-06 06:09
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	$0	03-09 01:32
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Gold	+$0	01-24 06:31
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-19 02:05
ethereum above 3500 on january 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-19 02:05
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-03 02:01
bitcoin above 80k on march 30	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	03-28 03:06
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-03 02:00
bitcoin above 80k on april 2	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	03-31 03:06
bitcoin above 74k on march 29	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	03-28 03:06
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	03-20 06:54
dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game2	2	$17	22	0	+22	Aurora	+$5	08-13 02:00
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	$0	03-09 01:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 02:46:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x8326d6…
09-11 06:58:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 7-13?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x25d027…
08-24 05:47:54	Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x623a49…
08-13 02:31:34	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xb65867…
08-13 02:00:07	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	GamerLegion	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0xcaef27…
08-13 02:00:04	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game2	Aurora	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x223358…
08-13 01:59:48	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x8ea22d…
08-13 01:58:49	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game2	Aurora	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x73754f…
08-13 01:58:16	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game1	GamerLegion	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xcd5d58…
08-13 01:57:48	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13	GamerLegion	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x77ea7b…
08-13 01:55:22	dota2 ironwi ngx 2026 08 12 game2	Iron Wing	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x678b8a…
08-13 01:53:24	dota2 ironwi ngx 2026 08 12 game2	Iron Wing	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x3a58e3…
08-13 01:52:46	dota2 ironwi ngx 2026 08 12 game1	Iron Wing	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0xe04926…
08-13 01:52:12	dota2 ironwi ngx 2026 08 12	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0x5a7056…
07-18 07:06:30	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xd4f5c3…
07-18 07:06:10	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbf7af5…
07-18 07:05:49	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x717fdc…
07-18 07:05:36	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1d9772…
07-12 07:59:46	bitcoin above 58k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdf1de5…
07-12 07:59:38	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4c6f1…
07-12 07:59:23	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96cca0…
07-12 07:59:13	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc7dc76…
07-12 07:58:59	will ethereum reach 2000 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x370a75…
07-12 07:58:49	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x89695b…
07-12 07:58:37	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026 526	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x006768…
07-12 07:57:14	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc62433…
06-25 07:51:37	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb087da…
06-25 07:51:19	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcecb07…
06-25 07:50:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd134b4…
06-25 07:49:43	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x640edf…
06-25 07:49:31	Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0d59e5…
06-11 07:30:27	Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4410e9…
06-11 07:29:42	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd8ab22…
06-11 07:20:54	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5b25a2…
06-06 06:10:04	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8d4dff…
06-06 06:09:46	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x82d4e9…
06-06 06:09:30	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa4b156…
06-06 06:09:12	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x41b8a7…
06-06 06:08:57	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8eadc6…
05-28 05:57:02	Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xa2fc33…
05-28 05:56:37	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf2c53c…
05-28 05:56:15	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5c066c…
05-28 05:55:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa4760e…
05-28 05:49:41	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xa29a6c…
05-19 06:42:15	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x26d929…
05-19 06:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb5322a…
05-19 06:41:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5ca251…
05-11 02:46:38	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd9eebf…
05-11 02:45:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x538d54…
05-11 02:45:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd99a13…
05-11 02:45:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9d178d…
05-11 02:44:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe1b9e5…
05-01 02:56:04	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb62022…
04-14 01:08:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf5257b…
04-14 01:08:29	bitcoin above 62k on april 16	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52fd7d…
04-14 01:08:25	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc11e51…
04-03 02:01:47	bitcoin above 58k on april 4	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb26ef0…
04-03 02:01:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd07bbb…
04-03 02:01:19	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7ab542…
04-03 02:01:05	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa270c9…
04-03 02:00:49	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xac1d7f…
04-03 02:00:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe1d0bb…
03-31 03:07:33	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 2	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x96cd31…
03-31 03:07:17	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 1	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x26cccd…
03-31 03:07:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 31	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xefcdd0…
03-31 03:06:51	bitcoin above 80k on april 2	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdea14b…
03-31 03:06:43	bitcoin above 80k on april 1	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x023d11…
03-31 03:06:31	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfcc5ed…
03-28 03:07:35	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 30	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc84992…
03-28 03:07:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 29	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa02277…
03-28 03:07:05	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x02e695…
03-28 03:06:53	bitcoin above 80k on march 30	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7d0018…
03-28 03:06:41	bitcoin above 74k on march 29	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb5beef…
03-28 03:06:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 28	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5a6e61…
03-20 06:54:51	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb6a497…
03-20 06:54:39	will bitcoin reach 88k march 16 22	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xab7fa3…
03-20 06:54:21	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa0901e…
03-20 06:54:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 20	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x65073a…
03-20 06:53:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3a5835…
03-20 06:53:15	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe34e61…
03-09 01:34:09	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf150c8…
03-09 01:33:31	bitcoin above 82k on march 12	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2e81fa…
03-09 01:33:23	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9c409…
03-09 01:33:17	bitcoin above 58k on march 10	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5b1e3b…
03-09 01:33:09	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa43d27…
03-09 01:32:57	ethereum above 2600 on march 12	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x121e59…
03-09 01:32:51	ethereum above 2600 on march 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ece4a…
03-09 01:32:43	ethereum above 1500 on march 10	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xad24f0…
03-09 01:32:37	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3177b…
03-09 01:32:11	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcb07dc…
03-09 01:32:01	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd675e4…
03-09 01:31:53	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd87d3a…
03-09 01:31:45	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x2d1a0b…
03-05 01:46:21	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd27471…
03-05 01:46:01	will opinion launch a token on march 6	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb73018…
03-05 01:45:27	ethereum above 1800 on march 5	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x32e3ef…
03-05 01:45:03	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfed589…
03-05 01:44:41	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdff8cf…
03-05 01:44:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1f325b…
03-05 01:38:49	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd7adfe…