Failing-Worry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,004

Trades

2,065

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-29 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 204 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$6

Sports

16% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6f179…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb4ce2…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6e993…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8e5899…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2fa1bf…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4af89c…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8382c5…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd6211…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x012e8f…
10-20 18:36:33	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fb716…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cd1ab…
10-15 20:32:36	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x068dfe…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cecf8…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2bbf41…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95c61c…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c32fb…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x370a97…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70f53a…
10-13 01:33:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x70c261…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfeefa4…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4b258…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbb9c19…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef6cfa…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16164b…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcd921…
10-07 14:42:13	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0aeb6c…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x69a628…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd1d75…
10-06 22:21:09	Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana	Guido Justo	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4765e0…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2a447…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0debe0…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb48f04…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a050…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xca1bd8…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a1de3…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb7367c…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc53997…
10-02 14:15:32	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7b14a4…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a94e…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1316bc…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd70c6c…
10-01 12:07:32	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf15af9…
10-01 11:34:20	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x227e84…
09-30 23:54:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xccc601…
09-30 12:28:00	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x71499d…
09-30 01:55:50	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe704db…
09-29 13:58:48	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc47a08…
09-29 13:18:56	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaa3c38…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc20915…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x20842b…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb12e71…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6eb984…
09-27 20:16:14	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d7d4f…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62ef00…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1c6ca…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x896496…
09-27 01:56:06	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x014173…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bd62e…
09-26 20:01:33	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x628dbd…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd882e8…
09-26 19:22:33	Virginia Tech vs. Boston College	Virginia Tech	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecdffd…
09-26 16:16:12	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d2cf1…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd122f2…
09-25 23:23:14	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41a9b5…
09-25 22:58:51	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x098e2b…
09-25 10:32:17	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b376a…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e3e38…
09-24 09:38:48	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae53c2…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0bdc6…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c3c92…
09-23 04:45:14	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x05222a…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe9d65…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c3018…
09-21 02:19:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc11885…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc233f8…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f68ef…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc01176…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa17df9…
09-19 20:39:09	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c8f6e…
09-19 11:36:24	Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57423f…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf81cd5…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65766d…
09-17 17:00:24	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7a555…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x188c33…
09-17 14:00:54	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23093b…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81a125…
09-15 18:32:07	crint ind afg 2026 09 15	India	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b5ed7…
09-15 12:52:39	Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Brute	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x751c90…
09-14 18:04:51	Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5bfd9…
09-13 14:59:09	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x549180…
09-13 09:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44832d…
09-12 03:18:54	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x953dcf…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x233722…
09-11 20:32:57	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269e15…
09-11 19:25:48	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x948608…
09-11 16:02:16	Will Lokomotiv Tashkent win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e711e…
09-11 13:25:16	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdaf424…
09-11 02:58:30	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x054153…
09-10 20:29:00	Counter-Strike: mellren vs MORROW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Play-In Play-In	mellren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffb10d…
09-10 18:48:19	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2f27b…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:30
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	04-24 02:46
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:26
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	04-24 02:46
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	3	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25
Will diaomei Win TFT Set 17 Tacticians crown?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-27 05:32
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:26