Scarce-Algorithm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$680

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-01 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$44	43	43	+0	Down	+$24	05-05 14:19
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$34	26	26	+0	Down	+$14	05-05 14:13
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$32	27	27	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 15:32
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-05 13:18
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$27	29	29	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$23	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$20	29	29	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$19	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$18	17	17	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$15	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$15	152	0	+152	Up	$-15	05-05 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	2	$15	20	20	+0	Up	$-5	05-06 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$13	38	38	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 13:46
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$12	85	78	+7	Up	$-8	05-05 18:12
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$12	18	18	+0	Up	$-8	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$11	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 12:33
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$11	53	22	+31	Up	$-9	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$11	116	116	+0	Down	$-9	05-05 10:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	+$10	05-07 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Up	$-10	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Up	$-10	05-05 12:40
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$10	37	0	+37	Down	$-10	05-05 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$10	33	0	+33	Up	$-10	05-05 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	Up	$-10	05-05 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$10	60	0	+60	Down	+$50	05-05 13:21
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	$-10	05-05 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$10	143	0	+143	Down	$-10	05-05 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 09:28:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc1adcc…
05-31 16:18:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x28736f…
05-27 17:55:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x2d0e07…
05-26 16:01:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x56ef0e…
05-25 16:57:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x5fb255…
05-25 16:53:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x298675…
05-24 19:46:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x1c9eba…
05-24 16:56:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xcd6393…
05-21 16:00:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xf5ae64…
05-21 15:58:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6c9af4…
05-20 15:49:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	364	1¢	$4	0xfdff4c…
05-20 15:33:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x2c4eab…
05-20 15:30:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x58176a…
05-20 09:15:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb69c1c…
05-19 17:54:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xddf185…
05-19 17:43:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x400ebf…
05-18 14:59:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x1164d3…
05-18 14:50:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x4c3114…
05-18 14:44:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x77a998…
05-18 14:43:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xf59636…
05-14 09:26:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xd8f9a7…
05-14 05:58:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	523	1¢	$5	0xc9c23f…
05-14 05:42:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x4f5ece…
05-13 18:23:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xdc41d1…
05-07 19:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xec48c9…
05-06 17:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x459d24…
05-06 14:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x3b9d0c…
05-05 18:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x090688…
05-05 18:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xa13321…
05-05 18:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1bda92…
05-05 18:12:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	78	3¢	$2	0x83d07b…
05-05 18:11:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0xfcaa8f…
05-05 17:54:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xc8e6d2…
05-05 17:52:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x3a38eb…
05-05 15:32:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0xf45a6b…
05-05 15:30:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xff9291…
05-05 15:26:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0x8e9422…
05-05 15:25:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc959cd…
05-05 15:23:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x6b6ffb…
05-05 15:20:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xe32122…
05-05 15:16:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xfc44e0…
05-05 15:12:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf38426…
05-05 14:56:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9b3620…
05-05 14:53:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x4c41b4…
05-05 14:44:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xa22f3f…
05-05 14:44:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xf288ab…
05-05 14:40:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x33ee39…
05-05 14:38:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x3d2dc2…
05-05 14:19:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	43	80¢	$34	0x20804a…
05-05 14:17:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa82f87…
05-05 14:13:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0x1ce80b…
05-05 14:10:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x667ca3…
05-05 14:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x29af89…
05-05 14:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x486c49…
05-05 14:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7ccb22…
05-05 13:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x500f74…
05-05 13:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7e34d9…
05-05 13:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe7e476…
05-05 13:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0x29c6b2…
05-05 13:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x29c731…
05-05 13:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x91b301…
05-05 13:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x800b04…
05-05 13:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xfb0052…
05-05 13:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcb76cd…
05-05 13:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x4d04cf…
05-05 13:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x9e1623…
05-05 13:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x3bc4ae…
05-05 13:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x51457e…
05-05 13:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x98748a…
05-05 13:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x73e849…
05-05 13:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0x100322…
05-05 13:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd87f03…
05-05 13:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe7cc88…
05-05 12:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x919837…
05-05 12:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0xda729b…
05-05 12:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe33178…
05-05 12:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x3c2f23…
05-05 12:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x62e79a…
05-05 12:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$9	0xad6f6e…
05-05 12:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x784d6b…
05-05 12:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xc885d9…
05-05 12:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x28cdd3…
05-05 12:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x99fb85…
05-05 12:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x148425…
05-05 12:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x396da3…
05-05 12:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x21cb53…
05-05 12:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x463654…
05-05 12:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x734aae…
05-05 12:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x95de3f…
05-05 12:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x11224a…
05-05 12:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x865538…
05-05 10:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	116	1¢	$1	0x89ee63…
05-05 10:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x659482…
05-05 10:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5894bf…
05-05 10:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xc01e2b…
05-05 10:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd06a09…
05-05 10:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd5b936…
05-05 10:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x3449ec…
05-05 10:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7813f7…
05-05 10:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x69d764…