Arctic-Pond — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

473

Trades

2,631

lifetime

Volume

$3.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-14 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% $-85

Other

1% 28% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769694300	17	$134	98	97	+1	open	—	01-29 13:59
solana up or down january 28 7pm et	13	$95	373	102	+271	open	—	01-29 00:49
sol updown 15m 1770214500	34	$78	97	96	+1	open	—	02-04 14:29
bitcoin up or down february 3 7pm et	35	$63	191	191	+0	open	—	02-04 00:47
sol updown 15m 1770219900	17	$44	55	37	+19	open	—	02-04 15:58
sol updown 4h 1770339600	39	$42	65	65	+0	open	—	02-06 03:49
xrp updown 15m 1769649300	7	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	01-29 01:26
sol updown 15m 1769650200	6	$41	39	39	+1	open	—	01-29 01:39
sol updown 15m 1769634900	3	$40	366	10	+355	open	—	01-28 21:30
sol updown 15m 1769643900	8	$40	253	112	+141	open	—	01-28 23:58
eth updown 15m 1769648400	7	$39	24	23	+1	open	—	01-29 01:14
btc updown 5m 1773931500	15	$39	33	27	+6	open	—	03-19 14:49
btc updown 5m 1773933600	14	$38	27	27	+0	open	—	03-19 15:24
btc updown 5m 1773933900	16	$36	31	30	+0	open	—	03-19 15:29
sol updown 15m 1770164100	9	$36	182	182	+1	open	—	02-04 00:20
btc updown 15m 1773931500	12	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	03-19 14:54
bitcoin up or down february 7 6pm et	27	$35	81	78	+2	open	—	02-07 23:53
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$35	37	37	+0	Up	+$32	05-10 09:39
btc updown 15m 1770080400	24	$34	59	58	+1	open	—	02-03 01:08
eth updown 15m 1770081300	8	$34	33	33	+0	open	—	02-03 01:25
eth updown 15m 1770163200	16	$31	94	19	+75	open	—	02-04 00:14
btc updown 15m 1773338400	21	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	03-12 18:12
sol updown 15m 1770246000	12	$29	39	39	+0	open	—	02-04 23:14
btc updown 15m 1770079500	22	$28	32	21	+11	open	—	02-03 00:59
btc updown 15m 1770081300	16	$26	39	38	+0	open	—	02-03 01:25
btc updown 15m 1770506100	19	$25	38	35	+3	open	—	02-07 23:29
bitcoin up or down january 29 7am et	3	$25	48	43	+5	open	—	01-29 12:40
btc updown 5m 1774100400	24	$23	36	35	+0	open	—	03-21 13:44
btc updown 5m 1773918300	8	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	03-19 11:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$22	38	38	+0	Down	+$20	05-13 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 03:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x92ecf5…
05-14 02:47:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe00605…
05-14 02:17:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x17e7be…
05-14 00:37:19	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x1347f4…
05-14 00:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x79b78e…
05-14 00:05:53	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd83244…
05-14 00:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x80d8f2…
05-14 00:02:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x096f9e…
05-14 00:01:51	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd8702b…
05-13 21:47:24	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6f9578…
05-13 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0xec01b3…
05-13 21:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9c1ba7…
05-13 21:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xaf7669…
05-13 21:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xdfef8a…
05-13 21:07:16	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x293d14…
05-13 17:46:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9e9e13…
05-13 15:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb76225…
05-13 13:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x8c7096…
05-13 12:11:14	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x88cc06…
05-13 12:07:25	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x2ab4bf…
05-13 12:06:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x75652c…
05-13 12:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd64ae0…
05-13 12:02:24	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x7030c2…
05-13 10:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd7d921…
05-13 10:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xf9610c…
05-13 10:27:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcc00db…
05-13 10:27:09	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd1ebc2…
05-13 10:27:07	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9f9356…
05-13 10:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xa14db0…
05-13 10:12:14	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x7ef4f9…
05-13 10:05:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x1316ce…
05-13 09:36:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xadd3d8…
05-13 08:41:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xc61bb2…
05-13 08:32:14	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x617ac3…
05-13 08:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x7e2457…
05-13 08:27:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0xb28e54…
05-13 08:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x9f2f2e…
05-13 08:07:24	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xca03fe…
05-13 07:42:05	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xa526b8…
05-13 07:02:06	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x6db0b2…
05-13 06:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x68fb2b…
05-13 06:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xe9e96c…
05-13 04:36:41	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x50be43…
05-13 04:36:13	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xc00611…
05-13 04:33:53	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x0936c2…
05-13 04:32:25	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x99eb60…
05-13 04:31:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x3eec52…
05-13 04:22:09	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x81e497…
05-13 04:06:17	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x61bbc1…
05-13 03:27:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xaada94…
05-13 03:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xa773ad…
05-13 01:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xb1f025…
05-13 01:21:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x09af11…
05-13 01:12:25	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xe8afb6…
05-13 00:21:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x226db5…
05-12 23:47:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x992ce7…
05-12 23:37:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x77897e…
05-12 23:37:08	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x60a25b…
05-12 23:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xcca172…
05-12 23:36:49	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x887c36…
05-12 23:35:06	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xe16298…
05-12 23:32:23	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x0b3f8a…
05-12 23:27:15	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x247d15…
05-10 20:49:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4d7677…
05-10 20:49:41	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x29ac60…
05-10 20:37:28	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x11debf…
05-10 20:34:43	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xa75a28…
05-10 20:33:42	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x2a7a62…
05-10 20:33:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x5cddbf…
05-10 20:33:07	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xdcc083…
05-10 20:32:32	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x4e8cc3…
05-10 20:32:25	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x948d56…
05-10 20:31:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x81423d…
05-10 20:17:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xe6f6b6…
05-10 20:16:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x5b9fbc…
05-10 20:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x27b07b…
05-10 20:16:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xab398e…
05-10 19:52:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xac8161…
05-10 19:52:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x0b09a5…
05-10 19:52:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xe2c4d8…
05-10 19:51:49	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x38b594…
05-10 19:16:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x18e04a…
05-10 19:12:18	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x7d9650…
05-10 19:06:28	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe29556…
05-10 19:05:21	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x918755…
05-10 19:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xbae918…
05-10 19:01:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0xfd00e4…
05-10 19:01:55	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0xa210c1…
05-10 19:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xc4367b…
05-10 19:01:30	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xb12fa2…
05-10 19:01:13	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x94487d…
05-10 18:37:07	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xb5cff1…
05-10 17:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xc7b882…
05-10 17:51:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x531808…
05-10 17:47:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x734150…
05-10 17:43:45	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xb2cc75…
05-10 17:37:32	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xdc307f…
05-10 17:37:09	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x86dd70…
05-10 17:26:29	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x924b8b…
05-10 17:21:45	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x99e51b…